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Market Pulse archive
BearishJul 16, 2026Daily report

Market Pullbacks leads today's Market Pulse

The primary section leads a full evidence-backed report across cards, sets, grading, sales volume, modeled prices, and sealed products.

Tracked

42,882

Up

462

Down

722

Top move

+32.3%

Market breadth

Metric: Share of cards with a recorded direction · Window: 7-day measurement window · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

Breadth uses 1,184 cards with a recorded direction. The 42,882 tracked-card universe is shown separately; unclassified cards are not labeled flat.

Exact market breadth counts
UpDownRecorded directionTracked universe
4627221,18442,882

Since the previous report

What changed

  • 4 more cards rose than in the previous report (462 today).
  • New to the lead coverage: Roxie's Performance and Greninja ex.
  • Notable Declines is today's primary read; every available core market domain is covered with non-duplicative evidence.

Price reset

Notable Declines

The market is experiencing notable declines, with Hero's Cape (SV05 Temporal Forces #152/162) down 28.4% to $18.23, supported by a low sales volume of just 19 units over the past 30 days.

Decliners — 14-Day Price Comparison

Metric: Indexed price, first valid observation = 100 · Window: 14-day recorded price history · Source: PokeLoupe recorded market-price history · Graph shows the first 4 series; the exact table retains all 6.

Hero's Cape - SV05 Temporal Forces #152/162Mega Floette ex - ME04 Chaos Rising #117/086Greninja ex - SV06 Twilight Masquerade #106/167Roxie's Performance - ME04 Chaos Rising #112/086
116.568.6Jul 2Jul 12
Exact evidence7 rows
Exact values for Decliners — 14-Day Price Comparison
DateHero's Cape - SV05 Temporal Forces #152/162Mega Floette ex - ME04 Chaos Rising #117/086Greninja ex - SV06 Twilight Masquerade #106/167Roxie's Performance - ME04 Chaos Rising #112/086Team Rocket's Dugtrio - ME Ascended Heroes #239/217Altaria - SWSH12 Silver Tempest Trainer Gallery #TG11/TG30
Jul 2$20.01$44.82$6.16$2.58$14.62$8.95
Jul 3$19.78$43.38$5.34$2.81$13.32$8.79
Jul 4$19.70$42.81$5.54$2.69$13.15$8.79
Jul 5$19.46$42.79$5.65$2.92$12.98$8.60
Jul 6$18.43$43.02$5.43$2.77$12.86$8.33
Jul 9$15.07$38.58$4.96$2.46$11.72$7.55
Jul 12$14.99$32.23$4.47$2.65$10.60$6.42
Exact evidence6 rows
Evidence table — Decliner Evidence
Market
$3.02
30d Sales
137
7d Change
-33.7%
30d Change
-33.7%
Market
$4.93
30d Sales
84
7d Change
-29.8%
30d Change
-45.7%
Market
$18.23
30d Sales
19
7d Change
-28.4%
30d Change
-37.2%
Market
$32.91
30d Sales
350
7d Change
-27.7%
30d Change
-33.9%
Market
$6.51
30d Sales
164
7d Change
-27.7%
30d Change
-23.5%
Market
$10.19
30d Sales
279
7d Change
-26.9%
30d Change
-30.3%
  • Roxie's Performance (ME04 Chaos Rising #112/086) has also seen a significant drop of 33.7%, now priced at $3.02, with a total of 137 sales indicating weakening demand.

Grading read

Grading Watch

The 30-day PSA 10 premium snapshot reveals significant premiums for several cards: Gardevoir, with a raw price of $9.32, commands a PSA 10 price of $287.31, resulting in a 30.8x premium from 4 sales.

Premium multiple and confirmed sales

Metric: PSA 10 price divided by raw price · Window: 30-day grading premium snapshot · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

Exact evidence6 rows
Evidence table — PSA 10 Grading Premiums
Raw
$9.32
PSA 10
$287.31
Premium
30.8x
PSA 10 Sales
4
Raw
$7.20
PSA 10
$206.18
Premium
28.6x
PSA 10 Sales
4
Raw
$7.89
PSA 10
$225.00
Premium
28.5x
PSA 10 Sales
10
Raw
$59.18
PSA 10
$1,684.98
Premium
28.5x
PSA 10 Sales
15
Raw
$20.32
PSA 10
$570.20
Premium
28.1x
PSA 10 Sales
10
Raw
$14.57
PSA 10
$357.38
Premium
24.5x
PSA 10 Sales
6
Exact values for PSA 10 Grading Premiums
CardRawPSA 10PremiumPSA 10 Sales
Gardevoir card image
Gardevoir
$9.32$287.3130.8x4
Manaphy card image
Manaphy
$7.20$206.1828.6x4
Pikachu card image
Pikachu
$7.89$225.0028.5x10
Haunter card image
Haunter
$59.18$1,684.9828.5x15
Ditto card image
Ditto
$20.32$570.2028.1x10
Xerneas card image
Xerneas
$14.57$357.3824.5x6
  • Similarly, Manaphy's raw price of $7.20 translates to a PSA 10 value of $206.18, reflecting a 28.6x premium from 4 sales.
  • Other notable premiums include Pikachu at 28.5x and Ditto at 28.1x, indicating strong collector interest in high-grade cards despite the overall market decline.

Momentum read

Top Movers

Among the top gainers, Buddy-Buddy Poffin (ME01 Mega Evolution #167/132) leads with a price increase of 32.3%, now valued at $5.95, supported by 142 sales over the past 30 days.

Top Gainers — 14-Day Price Comparison

Metric: Indexed price, first valid observation = 100 · Window: 14-day recorded price history · Source: PokeLoupe recorded market-price history · Graph shows the first 4 series; the exact table retains all 6.

Cyrano - SV08 Surging Sparks #230/191Dachsbun ex - SV07 Stellar Crown #160/142Relicanth - SV05 Temporal Forces #173/162Larry's Staraptor - ME Ascended Heroes #249/217
135.985.6Jul 2Jul 12
Exact evidence7 rows
Exact values for Top Gainers — 14-Day Price Comparison
DateCyrano - SV08 Surging Sparks #230/191Dachsbun ex - SV07 Stellar Crown #160/142Relicanth - SV05 Temporal Forces #173/162Larry's Staraptor - ME Ascended Heroes #249/217Mega Gardevoir ex - ME01 Mega Evolution #159/132Buddy-Buddy Poffin - ME01 Mega Evolution #167/132
Jul 2$3.21$4.20$10.64$4.38$4.76$4.92
Jul 3$3.24$4.13$10.60$4.88$5.03$5.45
Jul 4$3.27$4.22$10.61$4.63$5.24$5.66
Jul 5$3.33$4.17$10.90$4.79$5.18$5.96
Jul 6$3.19$4.83$11.55$4.60$5.15$6.21
Jul 9$2.86$4.90$14.09$4.87$5.09$6.72
Jul 12$2.90$4.28$13.17$5.26$5.84$6.80
Exact evidence6 rows
Evidence table — Top Mover Evidence
Market
$5.95
30d Sales
142
7d Change
+32.3%
30d Change
+28.5%
Market
$4.42
30d Sales
62
7d Change
+28.7%
30d Change
+32.7%
Market
$5.31
30d Sales
147
7d Change
+27.0%
30d Change
+12.5%
Market
$11.80
30d Sales
72
7d Change
+23.8%
30d Change
+12.7%
Market
$3.04
30d Sales
18
7d Change
+20.8%
30d Change
-4.2%
Market
$4.85
30d Sales
118
7d Change
+22.9%
30d Change
-0.4%
Exact values for Top Mover Evidence
CardSetMarket30d Sales7d Change30d Change
Buddy-Buddy Poffin card image
Buddy-Buddy Poffin
ME01 Mega Evolution set image
ME01 Mega Evolution2025 Pokemon TCG
$5.95142+32.3%+28.5%
Dachsbun ex card image
Dachsbun ex
SV07 Stellar Crown set image
SV07 Stellar Crown2024 Pokemon TCG
$4.4262+28.7%+32.7%
Mega Gardevoir ex card image
Mega Gardevoir ex
ME01 Mega Evolution set image
ME01 Mega Evolution2025 Pokemon TCG
$5.31147+27.0%+12.5%
Relicanth card image
Relicanth
SV05 Temporal Forces set image
SV05 Temporal Forces2024 Pokemon TCG
$11.8072+23.8%+12.7%
Cyrano card image
Cyrano
SV08 Surging Sparks set image
SV08 Surging Sparks2024 Pokemon TCG
$3.0418+20.8%-4.2%
Larry's Staraptor card image
Larry's Staraptor
ME Ascended Heroes set image
ME Ascended Heroes2026 Pokemon TCG
$4.85118+22.9%-0.4%
  • Dachsbun ex (SV07 Stellar Crown #160/142) follows closely, rising 28.7% to $4.42, while Mega Gardevoir ex (ME01 Mega Evolution #159/132) has increased by 27.0% to $5.31, indicating a selective interest in specific cards despite the overall market downturn.

Volume read

Volume Watch

Morpeko ex (ME05 Pitch Black) has seen a significant volume spike, achieving 4.3 times its typical sales with 48 units sold compared to an average of 11.

Current sales versus typical weekly sales

Metric: Current and typical 7-day sales · Window: Current 7-day sales versus 30-day weekly baseline · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

Exact evidence6 rows
Evidence table — Volume Spike Evidence
Market
$164.69
Price Change
-2.2%
Volume Multiple
4.3x
Current 7d Sales
48
Typical 7d Sales
11
Market
$160.67
Price Change
+4.2%
Volume Multiple
4.3x
Current 7d Sales
26
Typical 7d Sales
6
Market
$15.48
Price Change
0.0%
Volume Multiple
4.3x
Current 7d Sales
13
Typical 7d Sales
3
Market
$11.08
Price Change
0.0%
Volume Multiple
4.3x
Current 7d Sales
26
Typical 7d Sales
6
Market
$9.51
Price Change
0.0%
Volume Multiple
4.3x
Current 7d Sales
22
Typical 7d Sales
5
Market
$11.80
Price Change
0.0%
Volume Multiple
4.3x
Current 7d Sales
44
Typical 7d Sales
10
Exact values for Volume Spike Evidence
CardSetMarketPrice ChangeVolume MultipleCurrent 7d SalesTypical 7d Sales
Morpeko ex card image
Morpeko ex
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$164.69-2.2%4.3x4811
Mega Zeraora ex card image
Mega Zeraora ex
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$160.67+4.2%4.3x266
Crushing Hammer card image
Crushing Hammer
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$15.480.0%4.3x133
Silvally card image
Silvally
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$11.080.0%4.3x266
Brave Bangle card image
Brave Bangle
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$9.510.0%4.3x225
Manectric card image
Manectric
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$11.800.0%4.3x4410
  • This unusual activity, despite a slight price decrease of 2.2%, suggests renewed interest and potential demand shifts for this card.
  • Other cards from the same set, including Mega Zeraora ex and Silvally, also exhibited similar volume increases, indicating a broader trend within the ME05 Pitch Black set.

Sector read

Set Comparisons

The ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) set has underperformed the market average with a 7-day change of -10.3%, which is 9.8% below the market average decline of -0.5%.

7-Day Performance Relative to Market

Metric: Vs Market · Window: 7-day measurement window · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

Exact evidence3 rows
Evidence table — Set Comparison Evidence
30d Sales
3,402
7d Change
-3.4%
Vs Market
-2.9%
30d Change
-5.1%
Cards Tracked
21
30d Sales
13,811
7d Change
-3.1%
Vs Market
-2.5%
30d Change
-8.8%
Cards Tracked
69
30d Sales
10,869
7d Change
-10.3%
Vs Market
-9.8%
30d Change
-27.6%
Cards Tracked
24
Exact values for Set Comparison Evidence
Set30d Sales7d ChangeVs Market30d ChangeCards Tracked
SV03 Obsidian Flames set image
SV03 Obsidian Flames2023 Pokemon TCG
3,402-3.4%-2.9%-5.1%21
ME Ascended Heroes set image
ME Ascended Heroes2026 Pokemon TCG
13,811-3.1%-2.5%-8.8%69
ME04 Chaos Rising set image
ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
10,869-10.3%-9.8%-27.6%24

Set read

Set Value Tracker

The estimated tracked-card basket value for ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) is $731.81, reflecting a significant 15.2% decrease over the past 7 days, with 10,869 card sales indicating a lack of buyer support.

Estimated Tracked-Card Basket Value Changes (7 Day)

Metric: 7d Change · Window: 7-day measurement window · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

Exact evidence6 rows
Set performers
7d Change
+1.1%
Card Sales
8,706
Total Value
$6,150.99
7d Change
+0.9%
Card Sales
4,787
Total Value
$3,786.76
7d Change
+0.6%
Card Sales
5,435
Total Value
$1,384.86
Exact values for Estimated Tracked-Card Basket Value Changes (7 Day)
Set7d ChangeCard SalesTotal Value
Prize Pack Series Cards set image
Prize Pack Series Cards2022 Pokemon TCG
+1.1%8,706$6,150.99
SV Black Bolt set image
SV Black Bolt2025 Pokemon TCG
+0.9%4,787$3,786.76
ME02 Phantasmal Flames set image
ME02 Phantasmal Flames2025 Pokemon TCG
+0.6%5,435$1,384.86
Set laggers
7d Change
-15.2%
Card Sales
10,869
Total Value
$731.81
7d Change
-5.9%
Card Sales
6,771
Total Value
$641.71
7d Change
-4.3%
Card Sales
6,795
Total Value
$1,981.04
Exact values for Estimated Tracked-Card Basket Value Changes (7 Day)
Set7d ChangeCard SalesTotal Value
ME04 Chaos Rising set image
ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
-15.2%10,869$731.81
ME03 Perfect Order set image
ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
-5.9%6,771$641.71
SV Scarlet and Violet 151 set image
SV Scarlet and Violet 1512023 Pokemon TCG
-4.3%6,795$1,981.04
  • Conversely, the Prize Pack Series Cards (2022) set has an estimated basket value of $6,150.99, with a modest increase of 1.1% and 8,706 sales, highlighting its relative strength in the current market.

Set read

Set Spotlight: Prize Pack Series Cards (2022)

The Prize Pack Series Cards (2022) set features an average 7-day price change of +2.0% and an average composite score of 25.

Featured set profile

Snapshot profile · Window: 7-day measurement window · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

Year
2022
Top Card
Jolteon V
Cards Tracked
51
Composite Score
25.00
Exact evidence1 row
Evidence table — Prize Pack Series Cards Evidence
Year
2022
Top Card
Jolteon V
Cards Tracked
51
Composite Score
25.00
Average 7d Change
+2.0%
High Momentum Cards
1
Exact values for Prize Pack Series Cards Evidence
SetYearTop CardCards TrackedComposite ScoreAverage 7d ChangeHigh Momentum Cards
Prize Pack Series Cards set image
Prize Pack Series Cards2022 Pokemon TCG
2022Jolteon V5125.00+2.0%1
  • With 51 cards tracked and only one exhibiting high momentum, the standout card remains Jolteon V, which has garnered attention amidst a generally bearish market.

Fair value read

Solid Value Plays

Current pricing for Muk at $11.11 shows a significant modeled reference gap of 352.3% against a reference price of $50.25, with a 67% confidence level.

Market price and modeled reference range

Metric: Market price compared with modeled reference · Window: Latest modeled-reference snapshot · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

Exact evidence6 rows
Evidence table — Current Price vs Modeled Reference
Market
$11.11
Confidence
67%
Model Gap %
+352.3%
Modeled Reference
$50.25
Market
$17.57
Confidence
75%
Model Gap %
+318.4%
Modeled Reference
$73.51
Market
$5.66
Confidence
57%
Model Gap %
+288.0%
Modeled Reference
$21.96
Market
$5.70
Confidence
75%
Model Gap %
+263.2%
Modeled Reference
$20.70
Market
$6.43
Confidence
75%
Model Gap %
+258.9%
Modeled Reference
$23.08
Market
$8.08
Confidence
75%
Model Gap %
+258.0%
Modeled Reference
$28.93
Exact values for Current Price vs Modeled Reference
CardMarketConfidenceModel Gap %Modeled Reference
Muk card image
Muk
$11.1167%+352.3%$50.25
Penny card image
Penny
$17.5775%+318.4%$73.51
Sylveon V card image
Sylveon V
$5.6657%+288.0%$21.96
Hisuian Zoroark VSTAR card image
Hisuian Zoroark VSTAR
$5.7075%+263.2%$20.70
Zamazenta V card image
Zamazenta V
$6.4375%+258.9%$23.08
Drayton card image
Drayton
$8.0875%+258.0%$28.93
  • Penny, priced at $17.57, has a modeled reference gap of 318.4%, with a 75% confidence level, indicating substantial discrepancies between current market prices and modeled valuations.

Pack read

Pack Value Plays

Sealed product price-per-pack comparisons reveal several options: Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] at $14.62 for 2 packs ($7.31/pack), Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon] at $22.29 for 3 packs ($7.43/pack), and Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster Bundle at $15.99 for 6 packs ($2.67/pack), providing various price points for collectors.

Lowest observed price per pack

Metric: $/Pack · Window: Latest sealed-product snapshot · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot · Showing 3 of 12 products

  1. 01
    Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster Bundle

    $2.67/ pack$15.99 · 6 packs

  2. 02
    Perfect Order Booster Pack

    $5.74/ pack$5.74 · 1 packs

  3. 03
    Chaos Rising Booster Pack

    $6.21/ pack$6.21 · 1 packs

Exact evidence12 rows
Price per Pack — Sealed Product Comparison
Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] (1-tab)
Market
$14.62
Packs
2
$/Pack
$7.31
Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon]
Market
$22.29
Packs
3
$/Pack
$7.43
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Emboar & Inkay]
Market
$15.53
Packs
2
$/Pack
$7.77
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Feraligatr & Budew]
Market
$16.41
Packs
2
$/Pack
$8.21
Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster Bundle
Market
$15.99
Packs
6
$/Pack
$2.67
Perfect Order Booster Pack
Market
$5.74
Packs
1
$/Pack
$5.74
Chaos Rising Booster Pack
Market
$6.21
Packs
1
$/Pack
$6.21
Chaos Rising Single Pack Blister [Toxel]
Market
$6.61
Packs
1
$/Pack
$6.61
Journey Together Booster Pack
Market
$6.66
Packs
1
$/Pack
$6.66
Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster Pack
Market
$6.84
Packs
1
$/Pack
$6.84
Perfect Order Sleeved Booster Pack
Market
$7.18
Packs
1
$/Pack
$7.18
Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita]
Market
$21.86
Packs
3
$/Pack
$7.29
Exact values for Price per Pack — Sealed Product Comparison
ProductSetMarketPacks$/Pack
Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] (1-tab)
Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
$14.622$7.31
Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon]
ME04 Chaos Rising set image
ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
$22.293$7.43
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Emboar & Inkay]
Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
$15.532$7.77
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Feraligatr & Budew]
Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
$16.412$8.21
Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster Bundle
Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
$15.996$2.67
Perfect Order Booster Pack
ME03 Perfect Order set image
ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
$5.741$5.74
Chaos Rising Booster Pack
ME04 Chaos Rising set image
ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
$6.211$6.21
Chaos Rising Single Pack Blister [Toxel]
ME04 Chaos Rising set image
ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
$6.611$6.61
Journey Together Booster Pack
SV09 Journey Together set image
SV09 Journey Together2025 Pokemon TCG
$6.661$6.66
Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster Pack
ME04 Chaos Rising set image
ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
$6.841$6.84
Perfect Order Sleeved Booster Pack
ME03 Perfect Order set image
ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
$7.181$7.18
Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita]
ME03 Perfect Order set image
ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
$21.863$7.29

Coverage

42,882 cards

7d sales evidence

59,962

Novelty

68% new entities

Data as of

2026-07-16

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Market Pulse is generated from PokeLoupe market data and AI-assisted analysis, then checked against its structured source values before publication. It is factual market context for collector research, not a recommendation. Inspect current listing photos, seller details, condition, and live marketplace pricing before acting.