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Market Pulse archive
BearishJul 14, 2026Daily report

Set Spotlight leads today's Market Pulse

The primary section leads a full evidence-backed report across cards, sets, grading, sales volume, modeled prices, and sealed products.

Tracked

42,831

Up

454

Down

709

Top move

+36.4%

Market breadth

Metric: Share of cards with a recorded direction · Window: 7-day measurement window · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

Breadth uses 1,163 cards with a recorded direction. The 42,831 tracked-card universe is shown separately; unclassified cards are not labeled flat.

Exact market breadth counts
UpDownRecorded directionTracked universe
4547091,16342,831

Since the previous report

What changed

  • 7 more cards rose than in the previous report (454 today).
  • New to the lead coverage: Shiinotic and SV08 Surging Sparks.
  • Set Spotlight: SV08 Surging Sparks is today's primary read; every available core market domain is covered with non-duplicative evidence.

Set read

Set Spotlight: SV08 Surging Sparks

This set comprises 45 tracked cards, with a composite score averaging 30, indicating a diverse card mix.

Featured set profile

Snapshot profile · Window: 7-day measurement window · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

Year
2024
Top Card
Shiinotic
Cards Tracked
45
Composite Score
30.00
Exact evidence1 row
Evidence table — SV08 Surging Sparks Evidence
Year
2024
Top Card
Shiinotic
Cards Tracked
45
Composite Score
30.00
Average 7d Change
+2.4%
High Momentum Cards
0
Exact values for SV08 Surging Sparks Evidence
SetYearTop CardCards TrackedComposite ScoreAverage 7d ChangeHigh Momentum Cards
SV08 Surging Sparks set image
SV08 Surging Sparks2024 Pokemon TCG
2024Shiinotic4530.00+2.4%0
  • Notably, there are no cards in this set exhibiting high momentum, suggesting that the gains are broad-based rather than concentrated in a few high-demand items.

Grading read

Grading Watch

The 30-day snapshot of PSA 10 premiums reveals significant value in graded cards.

Premium multiple and confirmed sales

Metric: PSA 10 price divided by raw price · Window: 30-day grading premium snapshot · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

Exact evidence6 rows
Evidence table — PSA 10 Grading Premiums
Raw
$12.76
PSA 10
$416.75
Premium
32.7x
PSA 10 Sales
4
Raw
$10.91
PSA 10
$295.15
Premium
27.1x
PSA 10 Sales
3
Raw
$20.40
PSA 10
$442.81
Premium
21.7x
PSA 10 Sales
4
Raw
$23.12
PSA 10
$450.99
Premium
19.5x
PSA 10 Sales
7
Raw
$12.32
PSA 10
$239.00
Premium
19.4x
PSA 10 Sales
3
Raw
$13.02
PSA 10
$252.59
Premium
19.4x
PSA 10 Sales
6
Exact values for PSA 10 Grading Premiums
CardRawPSA 10PremiumPSA 10 Sales
Spidops ex card image
Spidops ex
$12.76$416.7532.7x4
Musharna card image
Musharna
$10.91$295.1527.1x3
Flareon card image
Flareon
$20.40$442.8121.7x4
Snorlax card image
Snorlax
$23.12$450.9919.5x7
Riolu card image
Riolu
$12.32$239.0019.4x3
Pidgeotto card image
Pidgeotto
$13.02$252.5919.4x6
  • For instance, Spidops ex has a raw price of $12.76 and a PSA 10 value of $416.75, resulting in a premium multiple of 32.7x with 4 PSA 10 sales.
  • Similarly, Musharna shows a raw price of $10.91 and a PSA 10 value of $295.15, achieving a 27.1x premium with 3 PSA 10 sales.

Momentum read

Top Movers

Among the top gainers this week, Shiinotic (SV08 Surging Sparks #194/191) increased to $3.67, marking a 36.4% rise.

Top Gainers — 14-Day Price Comparison

Metric: Indexed price, first valid observation = 100 · Window: 14-day recorded price history · Source: PokeLoupe recorded market-price history · Graph shows the first 4 series; the exact table retains all 6.

Shiinotic - SV08 Surging Sparks #194/191Dachsbun ex - SV07 Stellar Crown #160/142Relicanth - SV05 Temporal Forces #173/162Larry's Staraptor - ME Ascended Heroes #249/217
128.992.6Jun 30Jul 12
Exact evidence9 rows
Exact values for Top Gainers — 14-Day Price Comparison
DateShiinotic - SV08 Surging Sparks #194/191Dachsbun ex - SV07 Stellar Crown #160/142Relicanth - SV05 Temporal Forces #173/162Larry's Staraptor - ME Ascended Heroes #249/217Mega Gardevoir ex - ME01 Mega Evolution #159/132Buddy-Buddy Poffin - ME01 Mega Evolution #167/132
Jun 30$3.79$4.27$11.15$4.48$5.35$5.22
Jul 1$3.69$4.29$10.64$4.28$4.60$5.14
Jul 2$3.72$4.20$10.64$4.38$4.76$4.92
Jul 3$3.75$4.13$10.60$4.88$5.03$5.45
Jul 4$3.73$4.22$10.61$4.63$5.24$5.66
Jul 5$3.84$4.17$10.90$4.79$5.18$5.96
Jul 6$3.84$4.83$11.55$4.60$5.15$6.21
Jul 9$3.71$4.90$14.09$4.87$5.09$6.72
Jul 12$3.76$4.28$13.17$5.26$5.84$6.80
Exact evidence6 rows
Evidence table — Top Mover Evidence
Market
$3.67
30d Sales
32
7d Change
+36.4%
30d Change
+59.2%
Market
$6.18
30d Sales
158
7d Change
+32.3%
30d Change
+21.4%
Market
$4.43
30d Sales
72
7d Change
+28.7%
30d Change
+32.7%
Market
$5.44
30d Sales
159
7d Change
+27.0%
30d Change
+10.8%
Market
$12.71
30d Sales
78
7d Change
+23.8%
30d Change
+21.3%
Market
$4.85
30d Sales
123
7d Change
+22.9%
30d Change
-0.4%
  • Buddy-Buddy Poffin (ME01 Mega Evolution #167/132) reached $6.18, up by 32.3%.
  • Dachsbun ex (SV07 Stellar Crown #160/142) also saw a significant increase to $4.43, reflecting a 28.7% gain.

Volume read

Volume Watch

Mega Darkrai ex (ME05 Pitch Black) has experienced a notable spike in sales volume, reaching 4.3 times its typical 7-day sales with 15 current sales compared to a baseline of 4.

Current sales versus typical weekly sales

Metric: Current and typical 7-day sales · Window: Current 7-day sales versus 30-day weekly baseline · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

Exact evidence6 rows
Evidence table — Volume Spike Evidence
Market
$395.33
Price Change
0.0%
Volume Multiple
4.3x
Current 7d Sales
15
Typical 7d Sales
4
Market
$26.84
Price Change
0.0%
Volume Multiple
4.3x
Current 7d Sales
15
Typical 7d Sales
4
Market
$16.18
Price Change
0.0%
Volume Multiple
4.3x
Current 7d Sales
16
Typical 7d Sales
4
Market
$24.61
Price Change
-10.0%
Volume Multiple
4.3x
Current 7d Sales
10
Typical 7d Sales
2
Market
$18.90
Price Change
0.0%
Volume Multiple
4.3x
Current 7d Sales
17
Typical 7d Sales
4
Market
$75.96
Price Change
+9.7%
Volume Multiple
4.3x
Current 7d Sales
10
Typical 7d Sales
2
Exact values for Volume Spike Evidence
CardSetMarketPrice ChangeVolume MultipleCurrent 7d SalesTypical 7d Sales
Mega Darkrai ex card image
Mega Darkrai ex
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$395.330.0%4.3x154
Mega Darkrai ex card image
Mega Darkrai ex
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$26.840.0%4.3x154
Bastiodon card image
Bastiodon
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$16.180.0%4.3x164
Gwynn card image
Gwynn
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$24.61-10.0%4.3x102
Fomantis card image
Fomantis
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$18.900.0%4.3x174
Mewtwo card image
Mewtwo
Base Set set image
Base Set1999 Pokemon TCG
$75.96+9.7%4.3x102
  • This surge indicates heightened collector interest, despite its price remaining unchanged.
  • Additionally, Bastiodon (ME05 Pitch Black) also saw a volume increase to 4.3 times its typical sales, further emphasizing the demand for cards from this set.

Price reset

Notable Declines

Hero's Cape (SV05 Temporal Forces #152/162) has faced a significant decline, dropping to $16.25, down by 28.4%.

Decliners — 14-Day Price Comparison

Metric: Indexed price, first valid observation = 100 · Window: 14-day recorded price history · Source: PokeLoupe recorded market-price history · Graph shows the first 4 series; the exact table retains all 6.

Hero's Cape - SV05 Temporal Forces #152/162Mega Darkrai ex - ME05 Pitch Black #048/084Mega Floette ex - ME04 Chaos Rising #117/086Greninja ex - SV06 Twilight Masquerade #106/167
104.466.7Jun 30Jul 12
Exact evidence9 rows
Exact values for Decliners — 14-Day Price Comparison
DateHero's Cape - SV05 Temporal Forces #152/162Mega Darkrai ex - ME05 Pitch Black #048/084Mega Floette ex - ME04 Chaos Rising #117/086Greninja ex - SV06 Twilight Masquerade #106/167Team Rocket's Dugtrio - ME Ascended Heroes #239/217Altaria - SWSH12 Silver Tempest Trainer Gallery #TG11/TG30
Jun 30$20.58$44.01$6.45$14.24$8.70
Jul 1$20.95$44.60$6.37$14.51$8.88
Jul 2$20.01$44.82$6.16$14.62$8.95
Jul 3$19.78$43.38$5.34$13.32$8.79
Jul 4$19.70$42.81$5.54$13.15$8.79
Jul 5$19.46$42.79$5.65$12.98$8.60
Jul 6$18.43$43.02$5.43$12.86$8.33
Jul 9$15.07$14.98$38.58$4.96$11.72$7.55
Jul 12$14.99$10.97$32.23$4.47$10.60$6.42
Exact evidence6 rows
Evidence table — Decliner Evidence
Market
$16.25
30d Sales
12
7d Change
-28.4%
30d Change
-36.0%
Market
$5.12
30d Sales
79
7d Change
-29.8%
30d Change
-36.1%
Market
$31.52
30d Sales
356
7d Change
-27.7%
30d Change
-35.6%
Market
$6.40
30d Sales
170
7d Change
-27.7%
30d Change
-22.5%
Market
$11.09
30d Sales
293
7d Change
-26.9%
30d Change
-29.8%
Market
$10.38
30d Sales
25
7d Change
-26.8%
30d Change
-26.8%
  • Greninja ex (SV06 Twilight Masquerade #106/167) has also decreased to $5.12, reflecting a 29.8% decline.
  • Notably, Mega Floette ex (ME04 Chaos Rising #117/086) has fallen to $31.52, down 27.7%, amidst a total of 356 sales.

Sector read

Set Comparisons

SV08 Surging Sparks has outperformed the market, showing a 7-day average change of +2.4%, compared to the market average decline of -0.6%.

7-Day Performance Relative to Market

Metric: Vs Market · Window: 7-day measurement window · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

Exact evidence3 rows
Evidence table — Set Comparison Evidence
30d Sales
4,812
7d Change
+2.4%
Vs Market
+3.0%
30d Change
+2.8%
Cards Tracked
45
30d Sales
3,616
7d Change
-3.4%
Vs Market
-2.9%
30d Change
-4.1%
Cards Tracked
21
30d Sales
11,186
7d Change
-9.7%
Vs Market
-9.1%
30d Change
-28.4%
Cards Tracked
24
Exact values for Set Comparison Evidence
Set30d Sales7d ChangeVs Market30d ChangeCards Tracked
SV08 Surging Sparks set image
SV08 Surging Sparks2024 Pokemon TCG
4,812+2.4%+3.0%+2.8%45
SV03 Obsidian Flames set image
SV03 Obsidian Flames2023 Pokemon TCG
3,616-3.4%-2.9%-4.1%21
ME04 Chaos Rising set image
ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
11,186-9.7%-9.1%-28.4%24
  • In contrast, ME04 Chaos Rising has underperformed significantly, with a 7-day average decline of -9.7%.
  • This stark difference highlights the relative strength of SV08 Surging Sparks in a generally bearish environment.

Set read

Set Value Tracker

In contrast, ME04 Chaos Rising has an estimated basket value of $715.42, reflecting a 15.1% decline over the past week, indicating significant pressure on this set.

Estimated Tracked-Card Basket Value Changes (7 Day)

Metric: 7d Change · Window: 7-day measurement window · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

Exact evidence5 rows
Set performers
7d Change
+1.0%
Card Sales
9,966
Total Value
$6,741.87
7d Change
+0.5%
Card Sales
5,806
Total Value
$1,385.83
7d Change
+0.4%
Card Sales
4,874
Total Value
$3,686.14
Exact values for Estimated Tracked-Card Basket Value Changes (7 Day)
Set7d ChangeCard SalesTotal Value
Prize Pack Series Cards set image
Prize Pack Series Cards2022 Pokemon TCG
+1.0%9,966$6,741.87
ME02 Phantasmal Flames set image
ME02 Phantasmal Flames2025 Pokemon TCG
+0.5%5,806$1,385.83
SV Black Bolt set image
SV Black Bolt2025 Pokemon TCG
+0.4%4,874$3,686.14
Set laggers
7d Change
-15.1%
Card Sales
11,186
Total Value
$715.42
7d Change
-5.9%
Card Sales
7,044
Total Value
$650.01
Exact values for Estimated Tracked-Card Basket Value Changes (7 Day)
Set7d ChangeCard SalesTotal Value
ME04 Chaos Rising set image
ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
-15.1%11,186$715.42
ME03 Perfect Order set image
ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
-5.9%7,044$650.01

Fair value read

Solid Value Plays

Current market prices show significant gaps against modeled references.

Market price and modeled reference range

Metric: Market price compared with modeled reference · Window: Latest modeled-reference snapshot · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

Exact evidence6 rows
Evidence table — Current Price vs Modeled Reference
Market
$10.75
Confidence
67%
Model Gap %
+364.6%
Modeled Reference
$49.94
Market
$5.35
Confidence
76%
Model Gap %
+326.5%
Modeled Reference
$22.82
Market
$17.49
Confidence
76%
Model Gap %
+320.5%
Modeled Reference
$73.55
Market
$5.67
Confidence
53%
Model Gap %
+288.2%
Modeled Reference
$22.01
Market
$5.73
Confidence
76%
Model Gap %
+261.6%
Modeled Reference
$20.72
Market
$18.65
Confidence
76%
Model Gap %
+259.5%
Modeled Reference
$67.05
Exact values for Current Price vs Modeled Reference
CardMarketConfidenceModel Gap %Modeled Reference
Muk card image
Muk
$10.7567%+364.6%$49.94
Zamazenta V card image
Zamazenta V
$5.3576%+326.5%$22.82
Penny card image
Penny
$17.4976%+320.5%$73.55
Sylveon V card image
Sylveon V
$5.6753%+288.2%$22.01
Hisuian Zoroark VSTAR card image
Hisuian Zoroark VSTAR
$5.7376%+261.6%$20.72
Rotom ex card image
Rotom ex
$18.6576%+259.5%$67.05
  • For instance, Muk is priced at $10.75 with a modeled reference of $49.94, indicating a 364.6% model gap with 67% confidence.
  • Similarly, Zamazenta V is at $5.35 against a modeled reference of $22.82, presenting a 326.5% gap with 76% confidence.

Pack read

Pack Value Plays

In the current sealed product market, the Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister is priced at $21.91 for 3 packs, equating to $7.30 per pack.

Lowest observed price per pack

Metric: $/Pack · Window: Latest sealed-product snapshot · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot · Showing 3 of 12 products

  1. 01
    Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster Bundle

    $2.67/ pack$15.99 · 6 packs

  2. 02
    Perfect Order Booster Pack

    $6.15/ pack$6.15 · 1 packs

  3. 03
    Chaos Rising Booster Pack

    $6.32/ pack$6.32 · 1 packs

Exact evidence12 rows
Price per Pack — Sealed Product Comparison
Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon]
Market
$21.91
Packs
3
$/Pack
$7.30
Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] (1-tab)
Market
$14.70
Packs
2
$/Pack
$7.35
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Emboar & Inkay]
Market
$15.38
Packs
2
$/Pack
$7.69
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Feraligatr & Budew]
Market
$16.13
Packs
2
$/Pack
$8.07
Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster Bundle
Market
$15.99
Packs
6
$/Pack
$2.67
Perfect Order Booster Pack
Market
$6.15
Packs
1
$/Pack
$6.15
Chaos Rising Booster Pack
Market
$6.32
Packs
1
$/Pack
$6.32
Journey Together Booster Pack
Market
$6.74
Packs
1
$/Pack
$6.74
Chaos Rising Single Pack Blister [Toxel]
Market
$6.85
Packs
1
$/Pack
$6.85
Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster Pack
Market
$7.08
Packs
1
$/Pack
$7.08
Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita]
Market
$21.44
Packs
3
$/Pack
$7.15
Perfect Order Sleeved Booster Pack
Market
$7.22
Packs
1
$/Pack
$7.22
Exact values for Price per Pack — Sealed Product Comparison
ProductSetMarketPacks$/Pack
Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon]
ME04 Chaos Rising set image
ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
$21.913$7.30
Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] (1-tab)
Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
$14.702$7.35
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Emboar & Inkay]
Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
$15.382$7.69
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Feraligatr & Budew]
Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
$16.132$8.07
Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster Bundle
Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
$15.996$2.67
Perfect Order Booster Pack
ME03 Perfect Order set image
ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
$6.151$6.15
Chaos Rising Booster Pack
ME04 Chaos Rising set image
ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
$6.321$6.32
Journey Together Booster Pack
SV09 Journey Together set image
SV09 Journey Together2025 Pokemon TCG
$6.741$6.74
Chaos Rising Single Pack Blister [Toxel]
ME04 Chaos Rising set image
ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
$6.851$6.85
Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster Pack
ME04 Chaos Rising set image
ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
$7.081$7.08
Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita]
ME03 Perfect Order set image
ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
$21.443$7.15
Perfect Order Sleeved Booster Pack
ME03 Perfect Order set image
ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
$7.221$7.22
  • The Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] is available for $14.70 for 2 packs, translating to $7.35 per pack.
  • Additionally, the Perfect Order Booster Pack is priced at $6.15 for 1 pack.

Coverage

42,831 cards

7d sales evidence

54,643

Novelty

71% new entities

Data as of

2026-07-14

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Market Pulse is generated from PokeLoupe market data and AI-assisted analysis, then checked against its structured source values before publication. It is factual market context for collector research, not a recommendation. Inspect current listing photos, seller details, condition, and live marketplace pricing before acting.