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Market Pulse archive
BearishJul 24, 2026Daily report

Market Pullbacks leads today's Market Pulse

The primary section leads a full evidence-backed report across cards, sets, grading, sales volume, modeled prices, and sealed products.

Tracked

42,937

Up

359

Down

843

Top move

+45.6%

Market breadth

Metric: Share of cards with a recorded direction · Window: 7-day measurement window · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

Breadth uses 1,202 cards with a recorded direction. The 42,937 tracked-card universe is shown separately; unclassified cards are not labeled flat.

Exact market breadth counts
UpDownRecorded directionTracked universe
3598431,20242,937

Since the previous report

What changed

  • 12 more cards rose than in the previous report (359 today).
  • New to the lead coverage: Armarouge and Fomantis.
  • Notable Declines is today's primary read; every available core market domain is covered with non-duplicative evidence.

Price reset

Notable Declines

Mega Zeraora ex (ME05 Pitch Black #098/084) has plummeted to $8.28, reflecting a staggering 76.3% drop, supported by a 30-day sales volume of 182.

  • Primarina (ME05 Pitch Black #088/084) also experienced a severe decline of 87.1%, now priced at $6.89 with 410 sales in the last month.
  • These declines indicate a cooling demand rather than normal market fluctuations.

Decliners — 14-Day Price Comparison

Metric: Indexed price, first valid observation = 100 · Window: 14-day recorded price history · Source: PokeLoupe recorded market-price history · Graph shows the first 4 series; inspect exact values for all 6.

107.06.0Jul 12Jul 24
Inspect exact values8 rowsDecliners — 14-Day Price Comparison
Exact values for Decliners — 14-Day Price Comparison
Date
Fomantis card image
Fomantis - ME05 Pitch Black #085/084
Armarouge card image
Armarouge - ME05 Pitch Black #086/084
Primarina card image
Primarina - ME05 Pitch Black #088/084
Morpeko ex card image
Morpeko ex - ME05 Pitch Black #102/084
Crushing Hammer card image
Crushing Hammer - ME05 Pitch Black #105/084
Mega Zeraora ex card image
Mega Zeraora ex - ME05 Pitch Black #098/084
Jul 12$19.37$35.12$53.23$21.65$19.50$35.00
Jul 18$4.35$5.43$7.14$4.58$5.14$7.26
Jul 19$4.84$6.46$7.28$4.60$4.96$7.60
Jul 20$4.42$6.45$7.45$4.95$5.16$7.72
Jul 21$4.78$6.60$7.65$4.79$4.54$7.35
Jul 22$5.08$7.41$8.05$5.86$5.15$8.15
Jul 23$5.22$7.00$7.65$5.94$5.30$8.47
Jul 24$5.04$6.74$6.89$6.19$4.99$8.28
Inspect exact values6 rowsDecliner Evidence
Evidence table — Decliner Evidence
Market
$6.74
30d Sales
396
7d Change
-80.8%
30d Change
-93.3%
Market
$5.04
30d Sales
332
7d Change
-74.0%
30d Change
-74.0%
Market
$4.99
30d Sales
182
7d Change
-72.8%
30d Change
-72.8%
Market
$6.19
30d Sales
252
7d Change
-71.4%
30d Change
-74.2%
Market
$6.89
30d Sales
410
7d Change
-87.1%
30d Change
-91.4%
Market
$8.28
30d Sales
182
7d Change
-76.3%
30d Change
-76.3%
Exact values for Decliner Evidence
CardSetMarket30d Sales7d Change30d Change
Armarouge card image
Armarouge
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$6.74396-80.8%-93.3%
Fomantis card image
Fomantis
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$5.04332-74.0%-74.0%
Crushing Hammer card image
Crushing Hammer
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$4.99182-72.8%-72.8%
Morpeko ex card image
Morpeko ex
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$6.19252-71.4%-74.2%
Primarina card image
Primarina
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$6.89410-87.1%-91.4%
Mega Zeraora ex card image
Mega Zeraora ex
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$8.28182-76.3%-76.3%

Grading read

Grading Watch

The 30-day PSA 10 premium snapshot shows Stunfisk with a raw price of $6.00 and a PSA 10 price of $499.99, resulting in an 83.3x premium from 3 PSA 10 sales.

  • Charizard ex follows with a raw price of $6.25 and a PSA 10 price of $222.73, yielding a 35.6x premium from 6 PSA 10 sales.
  • These premiums highlight the significant value attached to graded cards in the current market.

Premium multiple and confirmed sales

Metric: PSA 10 price divided by raw price · Window: 30-day grading premium snapshot · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

$6.00 raw → $499.99 PSA 10

83.3x3 sales

$6.25 raw → $222.73 PSA 10

35.6x6 sales

$8.23 raw → $261.73 PSA 10

31.8x4 sales

$5.50 raw → $157.50 PSA 10

28.7x6 sales

$8.85 raw → $200.00 PSA 10

22.6x3 sales

$20.17 raw → $450.99 PSA 10

22.4x3 sales

Inspect exact values6 rowsPSA 10 Grading Premiums
Evidence table — PSA 10 Grading Premiums
Raw
$6.00
PSA 10
$499.99
Premium
83.3x
PSA 10 Sales
3
Raw
$6.25
PSA 10
$222.73
Premium
35.6x
PSA 10 Sales
6
Raw
$8.23
PSA 10
$261.73
Premium
31.8x
PSA 10 Sales
4
Raw
$5.50
PSA 10
$157.50
Premium
28.7x
PSA 10 Sales
6
Raw
$8.85
PSA 10
$200.00
Premium
22.6x
PSA 10 Sales
3
Raw
$20.17
PSA 10
$450.99
Premium
22.4x
PSA 10 Sales
3
Exact values for PSA 10 Grading Premiums
CardRawPSA 10PremiumPSA 10 Sales
Stunfisk card image
Stunfisk
$6.00$499.9983.3x3
Charizard ex card image
Charizard ex
$6.25$222.7335.6x6
Pikachu ex (Pikachu 60) card image
Pikachu ex (Pikachu 60)
$8.23$261.7331.8x4
Smeargle card image
Smeargle
$5.50$157.5028.7x6
Absol card image
Absol
$8.85$200.0022.6x3
Snorlax card image
Snorlax
$20.17$450.9922.4x3

Momentum read

Top Movers

Among the top gainers, Chandelure (SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery #TG04/TG30) has surged to $4.55, marking a 45.6% increase with 57 sales in the past 30 days.

  • Mega Chandelure ex (ME05 Pitch Black #099/084) follows closely, now priced at $9.48, up 39.8% with a robust sales volume of 215.
  • Morty's Conviction (SV05 Temporal Forces #201/162) also gained traction, rising to $4.13, reflecting a 39.2% increase.

Top Gainers — 14-Day Price Comparison

Metric: Indexed price, first valid observation = 100 · Window: 14-day recorded price history · Source: PokeLoupe recorded market-price history · Graph shows the first 4 series; inspect exact values for all 6.

158.680.3Jul 12Jul 24
Inspect exact values8 rowsTop Gainers — 14-Day Price Comparison
Exact values for Top Gainers — 14-Day Price Comparison
Date
Dachsbun ex card image
Dachsbun ex - SV07 Stellar Crown #160/142
Chandelure card image
Mega Chandelure ex - ME05 Pitch Black #099/084
Larry's Staraptor card image
Larry's Staraptor - ME Ascended Heroes #249/217
Morty's Conviction card image
Morty's Conviction - SV05 Temporal Forces #201/162
Mega Charizard X ex card image
Mega Charizard X ex - ME02 Phantasmal Flames #013/094
Chandelure card image
Chandelure - SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery #TG04/TG30
Jul 12$4.28$5.26$4.38$4.69$4.60
Jul 18$4.25$6.78$4.54$3.96$4.51$4.88
Jul 19$4.35$8.52$4.67$4.04$5.33$4.93
Jul 20$3.95$8.34$4.58$4.17$4.79$4.24
Jul 21$3.92$8.33$4.81$4.14$4.54$4.07
Jul 22$3.95$9.95$4.61$4.15$4.45$4.00
Jul 23$3.95$10.39$4.52$4.15$4.69$4.48
Jul 24$4.09$9.48$4.51$4.13$4.69$4.55
Inspect exact values6 rowsTop Mover Evidence
Evidence table — Top Mover Evidence
Market
$4.55
30d Sales
57
7d Change
+45.6%
30d Change
+58.3%
Market
$9.48
30d Sales
215
7d Change
+39.8%
30d Change
+39.8%
Market
$4.13
30d Sales
12
7d Change
+39.2%
30d Change
+108.2%
Market
$4.09
30d Sales
58
7d Change
+28.7%
30d Change
+32.7%
Market
$4.69
30d Sales
545
7d Change
+24.1%
30d Change
+9.6%
Market
$4.51
30d Sales
127
7d Change
+22.9%
30d Change
-0.4%

Volume read

Volume Watch

Volume spikes are evident with Gladion's Final Battle (ME05 Pitch Black), achieving 128 sales, which is 4.1 times the typical 7-day sales baseline of 31, alongside a price increase of 22.7%.

  • Similarly, Gwynn (ME05 Pitch Black) recorded 154 sales, 3.9 times the typical volume, indicating heightened interest despite the overall bearish market.

Current sales versus typical weekly sales

Metric: Current and typical 7-day sales · Window: Current 7-day sales versus 30-day weekly baseline · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

154 vs 403.9x+1.9%

142 vs 413.5x-38.0%

138 vs 403.5x-5.2%

128 vs 314.1x+22.7%

49 vs 133.9x-29.1%

16 vs 44.0x0.0%

Inspect exact values6 rowsVolume Spike Evidence
Evidence table — Volume Spike Evidence
Market
$32.06
Price Change
+22.7%
Volume Multiple
4.1x
Current 7d Sales
128
Typical 7d Sales
31
Market
$3.25
Price Change
0.0%
Volume Multiple
4.0x
Current 7d Sales
16
Typical 7d Sales
4
Market
$41.25
Price Change
+1.9%
Volume Multiple
3.9x
Current 7d Sales
154
Typical 7d Sales
40
Market
$190.79
Price Change
-29.1%
Volume Multiple
3.9x
Current 7d Sales
49
Typical 7d Sales
13
Market
$9.35
Price Change
-38.0%
Volume Multiple
3.5x
Current 7d Sales
142
Typical 7d Sales
41
Market
$4.02
Price Change
-5.2%
Volume Multiple
3.5x
Current 7d Sales
138
Typical 7d Sales
40
Exact values for Volume Spike Evidence
CardSetMarketPrice ChangeVolume MultipleCurrent 7d SalesTypical 7d Sales
Gladion's Final Battle card image
Gladion's Final Battle
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$32.06+22.7%4.1x12831
Snorlax card image
Snorlax
Pokemon GO set image
Pokemon GO2022 Pokemon TCG
$3.250.0%4.0x164
Gwynn card image
Gwynn
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$41.25+1.9%3.9x15440
Mega Darkrai ex card image
Mega Darkrai ex
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$190.79-29.1%3.9x4913
Mega Excadrill ex card image
Mega Excadrill ex
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$9.35-38.0%3.5x14241
Wailord ex card image
Wailord ex
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$4.02-5.2%3.5x13840

Sector read

Set Comparisons

The ME05 Pitch Black set has shown a significant average 7-day decline of 32.7%, underperforming the market average of -1.2% by 31.5%.

  • In contrast, Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery (2023) has an average 7-day change of -4.7%, also underperforming the market.
  • These comparisons highlight the challenges faced by recent sets in maintaining value.

7-Day Performance Relative to Market

Metric: Vs Market · Window: 7-day measurement window · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

Inspect exact values2 rowsSet Comparison Evidence
Evidence table — Set Comparison Evidence
30d Sales
5,874
7d Change
-4.7%
Vs Market
-3.4%
30d Change
-6.5%
Cards Tracked
66
30d Sales
7,932
7d Change
-32.7%
Vs Market
-31.5%
30d Change
-31.3%
Cards Tracked
31
Exact values for Set Comparison Evidence
Set30d Sales7d ChangeVs Market30d ChangeCards Tracked
Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery set image
Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery2023 Pokemon TCG
5,874-4.7%-3.4%-6.5%66
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
7,932-32.7%-31.5%-31.3%31

Set read

Set Value Tracker

The five strongest estimated tracked-card basket changes include SWSH10 Astral Radiance with a 7-day increase of 1.5% and a basket value of $385.01 from 331 sales.

  • Conversely, ME05 Pitch Black experienced a 32.9% decline, now valued at $1,028.82 with 7,932 sales, underscoring the volatility in recent set valuations.

Set Value Performance — Top 5, Market Average, Bottom 5

Metric: 7-day basket-value change · Window: 7-day measurement window · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

Inspect exact values11 rowsSet Value Performance — Top 5, Market Average, Bottom 5
Top 5 performers
7d Change
+1.5%
Card Sales
331
Total Value
$385.01
7d Change
+1.3%
Card Sales
4,472
Total Value
$2,995.63
7d Change
+0.6%
Card Sales
219
Total Value
$234.19
7d Change
+0.4%
Card Sales
204
Total Value
$971.45
7d Change
+0.4%
Card Sales
507
Total Value
$739.93
Exact values for Set Value Performance — Top 5, Market Average, Bottom 5
Set7d ChangeCard SalesTotal Value
SWSH10 Astral Radiance set image
SWSH10 Astral Radiance2022 Pokemon TCG
+1.5%331$385.01
Prize Pack Series Cards set image
Prize Pack Series Cards2022 Pokemon TCG
+1.3%4,472$2,995.63
Trading Card Game Classic set image
Trading Card Game Classic2023 Pokemon TCG
+0.6%219$234.19
SWSH11 Lost Origin set image
SWSH11 Lost Origin2022 Pokemon TCG
+0.4%204$971.45
SWSH12 Silver Tempest set image
SWSH12 Silver Tempest2022 Pokemon TCG
+0.4%507$739.93
Market averageEqual-weighted across 132 qualified sets
-1.0%Avg value $1,266.65
Bottom 5 performers
7d Change
-32.9%
Card Sales
7,932
Total Value
$1,028.82
7d Change
-8.1%
Card Sales
1,120
Total Value
$162.08
7d Change
-7.8%
Card Sales
12,203
Total Value
$6,633.37
7d Change
-7.1%
Card Sales
4,591
Total Value
$1,307.06
7d Change
-6.2%
Card Sales
5,621
Total Value
$624.07
Exact values for Set Value Performance — Top 5, Market Average, Bottom 5
Set7d ChangeCard SalesTotal Value
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
-32.9%7,932$1,028.82
Crown Zenith set image
Crown Zenith2023 Pokemon TCG
-8.1%1,120$162.08
ME Ascended Heroes set image
ME Ascended Heroes2026 Pokemon TCG
-7.8%12,203$6,633.37
ME02 Phantasmal Flames set image
ME02 Phantasmal Flames2025 Pokemon TCG
-7.1%4,591$1,307.06
ME03 Perfect Order set image
ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
-6.2%5,621$624.07

Sealed read

Sealed Value Tracker

The Pitch Black Elite Trainer Box has seen a significant increase, currently valued at $34.10, with a 7-day median of $122.58, reflecting a 67.7% rise from the 30-day median.

  • In contrast, the Sinnoh Star Mini Tin Display has decreased to $235.09, down 45% from its 30-day median of $129.99, indicating mixed performance across sealed products.

Sealed Performance — Top 5, Market Average, Bottom 5

Metric: 7-day median vs 30-day median · Window: 7-day median versus 30-day median baseline · Source: PokeLoupe sealed-product price history

Inspect exact values11 rowsSealed Performance — Top 5, Market Average, Bottom 5
Top 5 performers
30d Sales
6
7d Change
+67.7%
7d Median
$122.58
30d Median
$73.10
Current Value
$34.10
30d Sales
5
7d Change
+49.7%
7d Median
$97.50
30d Median
$65.11
Current Value
$101.46
30d Sales
3
7d Change
+20.0%
7d Median
$7,497.99
30d Median
$6,248.50
Current Value
$8,000.00
30d Sales
7
7d Change
+15.5%
7d Median
$17.10
30d Median
$14.81
Current Value
$14.16
Market averageEqual-weighted across 232 qualified sealed products
+1.5%Avg value $677.28
Bottom 5 performers
30d Sales
49
7d Change
-45.0%
7d Median
$71.50
30d Median
$129.99
Current Value
$235.09
30d Sales
18
7d Change
-12.0%
7d Median
$48.61
30d Median
$55.21
Current Value
$39.27
30d Sales
26
7d Change
-11.3%
7d Median
$894.39
30d Median
$1,008.71
Current Value
$965.21
30d Sales
8
7d Change
-6.6%
7d Median
$232.12
30d Median
$248.64
Current Value
$222.51
30d Sales
25
7d Change
-6.4%
7d Median
$6.91
30d Median
$7.38
Current Value
$8.58

Set read

Set Spotlight: SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery

The SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery set has an average 7-day price change of +1.9% and a composite score of 25, with 27 cards tracked.

  • Hisuian Arcanine stands out as the top card, reflecting stable interest despite the overall bearish market sentiment.

Featured set profile

Snapshot profile · Window: 7-day measurement window · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

Year
2022
Top Card
Hisuian Arcanine
Cards Tracked
27
Composite Score
25.00
Inspect exact values1 rowSWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery Evidence
Evidence table — SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery Evidence
Year
2022
Top Card
Hisuian Arcanine
Cards Tracked
27
Composite Score
25.00
Average 7d Change
+1.9%
High Momentum Cards
0
Exact values for SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery Evidence
SetYearTop CardCards TrackedComposite ScoreAverage 7d ChangeHigh Momentum Cards
SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery set image
SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery2022 Pokemon TCG
2022Hisuian Arcanine2725.00+1.9%0

Fair value read

Solid Value Plays

Current pricing for Shining Volcanion at $7.49 shows a modeled reference gap of 889.2% with a 60% confidence level.

  • Shining Genesect at $12.87 has a modeled reference gap of 505.1% with 55% confidence, while Misdreavus at $10.55 shows a 346.4% gap with 53% confidence, indicating substantial discrepancies between market prices and modeled values.

Market price and modeled reference range

Metric: Market price compared with modeled reference · Window: Latest modeled-reference snapshot · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

$7.49$74.09+889.2%60%

$12.87$77.87+505.1%55%

$9.43$42.90+354.9%67%

$11.18$49.92+346.5%67%

$10.55$47.09+346.4%53%

$9.96$43.26+334.3%50%

Inspect exact values6 rowsCurrent Price vs Modeled Reference
Evidence table — Current Price vs Modeled Reference
Market
$7.49
Confidence
60%
Model Gap %
+889.2%
Modeled Reference
$74.09
Market
$12.87
Confidence
55%
Model Gap %
+505.1%
Modeled Reference
$77.87
Market
$10.55
Confidence
53%
Model Gap %
+346.4%
Modeled Reference
$47.09
Market
$9.43
Confidence
67%
Model Gap %
+354.9%
Modeled Reference
$42.90
Market
$11.18
Confidence
67%
Model Gap %
+346.5%
Modeled Reference
$49.92
Market
$9.96
Confidence
50%
Model Gap %
+334.3%
Modeled Reference
$43.26
Exact values for Current Price vs Modeled Reference
CardMarketConfidenceModel Gap %Modeled Reference
Shining Volcanion card image
Shining Volcanion
$7.4960%+889.2%$74.09
Shining Genesect card image
Shining Genesect
$12.8755%+505.1%$77.87
Misdreavus card image
Misdreavus
$10.5553%+346.4%$47.09
Hitmontop card image
Hitmontop
$9.4367%+354.9%$42.90
Muk card image
Muk
$11.1867%+346.5%$49.92
Moltres EX (Team Plasma) card image
Moltres EX (Team Plasma)
$9.9650%+334.3%$43.26

Pack read

Pack Value Plays

The Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister (ME04 Chaos Rising 2026) is priced at $21.79 for 3 packs, equating to $7.26 per pack.

  • The Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister (ME03 Perfect Order 2026) is available for $21.90 for 3 packs, translating to $7.30 per pack, reflecting competitive pricing in the sealed product market.

Lowest observed price per pack

Metric: $/Pack · Window: Latest sealed-product snapshot · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot · Showing 5 of 13 products

  1. 01

    $0.25/ pack$8.99 · 36 packs

  2. 02

    $2.67/ pack$15.99 · 6 packs

  3. 03

    $5.81/ pack$5.81 · 1 packs

  4. 04

    $5.98/ pack$5.98 · 1 packs

  5. 05

    $6.10/ pack$6.10 · 1 packs

Inspect exact values13 rowsPrice per Pack — Sealed Product Comparison
Price per Pack — Sealed Product Comparison

Coverage

42,937 cards

7d sales evidence

77,761

Novelty

50% new entities

Data as of

2026-07-24

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Market Pulse is generated from PokeLoupe market data and AI-assisted analysis, then checked against its structured source values before publication. It is factual market context for collector research, not a recommendation. Inspect current listing photos, seller details, condition, and live marketplace pricing before acting.