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Market Pulse archive
BearishJul 22, 2026Daily report

Pack Value Plays leads today's Market Pulse

The primary section leads a full evidence-backed report across cards, sets, grading, sales volume, modeled prices, and sealed products.

Tracked

42,931

Up

358

Down

855

Top move

+53.4%

Market breadth

Metric: Share of cards with a recorded direction · Window: 7-day measurement window · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

Breadth uses 1,213 cards with a recorded direction. The 42,931 tracked-card universe is shown separately; unclassified cards are not labeled flat.

Exact market breadth counts
UpDownRecorded directionTracked universe
3588551,21342,931

Since the previous report

What changed

  • 6 fewer cards rose than in the previous report (358 today).
  • New to the lead coverage: Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon] and Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] (1-tab).
  • Pack Value Plays is today's primary read; every available core market domain is covered with non-duplicative evidence.

Pack read

Pack Value Plays

Current pricing analysis shows the Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon] at $21.75 for 3 packs, equating to $7.25 per pack.

  • The Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] is priced at $14.62 for 2 packs, resulting in a price of $7.31 per pack.
  • Additionally, the Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita] is available for $22.10 for 3 packs, translating to $7.37 per pack.
  • In contrast, the Pitch Black Booster Pack (ME05 Pitch Black 2026) is priced at $6.20 for a single pack.

Lowest observed price per pack

Metric: $/Pack · Window: Latest sealed-product snapshot · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot · Showing 5 of 13 products

  1. 01

    $2.67/ pack$15.99 · 6 packs

  2. 02

    $5.61/ pack$5.61 · 1 packs

  3. 03

    $6.14/ pack$6.14 · 1 packs

  4. 04

    $6.20/ pack$6.20 · 1 packs

  5. 05

    $6.31/ pack$6.31 · 1 packs

Inspect exact values13 rowsPrice per Pack — Sealed Product Comparison
Price per Pack — Sealed Product Comparison

Grading read

Grading Watch

The 30-day PSA 10 premium snapshot reveals Gengar with a raw price of $8.99 and a PSA 10 price of $749.00, achieving an 83.3x premium from 3 PSA 10 sales.

  • Mew ex shows a raw price of $9.50 and a PSA 10 price of $472.87, resulting in a 49.8x premium with 183 PSA 10 sales.

Premium multiple and confirmed sales

Metric: PSA 10 price divided by raw price · Window: 30-day grading premium snapshot · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

$8.99 raw → $749.00 PSA 10

83.3x3 sales

$5.99 raw → $394.99 PSA 10

65.9x6 sales

$9.50 raw → $472.87 PSA 10

49.8x183 sales

$11.00 raw → $440.50 PSA 10

40.0x21 sales

$7.82 raw → $261.99 PSA 10

33.5x5 sales

$7.85 raw → $195.00 PSA 10

24.9x3 sales

Inspect exact values6 rowsPSA 10 Grading Premiums
Evidence table — PSA 10 Grading Premiums
Raw
$8.99
PSA 10
$749.00
Premium
83.3x
PSA 10 Sales
3
Raw
$5.99
PSA 10
$394.99
Premium
65.9x
PSA 10 Sales
6
Raw
$9.50
PSA 10
$472.87
Premium
49.8x
PSA 10 Sales
183
Raw
$11.00
PSA 10
$440.50
Premium
40.0x
PSA 10 Sales
21
Raw
$7.82
PSA 10
$261.99
Premium
33.5x
PSA 10 Sales
5
Raw
$7.85
PSA 10
$195.00
Premium
24.9x
PSA 10 Sales
3
Exact values for PSA 10 Grading Premiums
CardRawPSA 10PremiumPSA 10 Sales
Gengar card image
Gengar
$8.99$749.0083.3x3
Gengar card image
Gengar
$5.99$394.9965.9x6
Mew ex card image
Mew ex
$9.50$472.8749.8x183
N's Zekrom card image
N's Zekrom
$11.00$440.5040.0x21
Larvitar card image
Larvitar
$7.82$261.9933.5x5
Whirlipede card image
Whirlipede
$7.85$195.0024.9x3

Momentum read

Top Movers

Leading gainers over the past week include Hydrapple ex (SV07 Stellar Crown #156/142) at $3.59, up 53.4%.

Top Gainers — 14-Day Price Comparison

Metric: Indexed price, first valid observation = 100 · Window: 14-day recorded price history · Source: PokeLoupe recorded market-price history · Graph shows the first 4 series; inspect exact values for all 6.

152.174.7Jul 9Jul 22
Inspect exact values7 rowsTop Gainers — 14-Day Price Comparison
Exact values for Top Gainers — 14-Day Price Comparison
Date
Durant card image
Durant - SV White Flare #150/086
Dachsbun ex card image
Dachsbun ex - SV07 Stellar Crown #160/142
Hydrapple ex card image
Hydrapple ex - SV07 Stellar Crown #156/142
Mega Chandelure ex card image
Mega Chandelure ex - ME05 Pitch Black #099/084
Morty's Conviction card image
Morty's Conviction - SV05 Temporal Forces #201/162
Vaporeon card image
Vaporeon - SWSH09 Brilliant Stars Trainer Gallery #TG02/TG30
Jul 9$11.03$4.90$4.16$4.38$18.90
Jul 12$11.10$4.28$5.60$4.38$20.75
Jul 18$12.27$4.25$3.94$6.78$3.96$22.73
Jul 19$12.37$4.35$3.96$8.52$4.04$22.58
Jul 20$13.00$3.95$3.77$8.34$4.17$23.45
Jul 21$12.88$3.92$3.64$8.33$4.14$23.48
Jul 22$13.08$3.95$3.59$9.95$4.15$23.50
Inspect exact values6 rowsTop Mover Evidence
Evidence table — Top Mover Evidence
Market
$3.59
30d Sales
29
7d Change
+53.4%
30d Change
+29.0%
Market
$9.95
30d Sales
192
7d Change
+46.8%
30d Change
+46.8%
Market
$4.15
30d Sales
12
7d Change
+39.2%
30d Change
+108.2%
Market
$13.08
30d Sales
60
7d Change
+28.2%
30d Change
+51.6%
Market
$3.95
30d Sales
62
7d Change
+28.7%
30d Change
+32.7%
Market
$23.50
30d Sales
197
7d Change
+22.5%
30d Change
-12.6%

Volume read

Volume Watch

Snorlax (Pokemon GO) has seen a volume spike of 4.0x typical sales with 15 current sales against a typical 4.

  • This surge indicates heightened collector interest.
  • Gladion's Final Battle (ME05 Pitch Black) also shows significant activity with 110 sales, 4.2x the typical volume, suggesting increased demand.

Current sales versus typical weekly sales

Metric: Current and typical 7-day sales · Window: Current 7-day sales versus 30-day weekly baseline · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

305 vs 823.7x-5.3%

212 vs 573.7x-20.0%

136 vs 334.1x+7.9%

110 vs 264.2x+26.1%

15 vs 44.0x0.0%

10 vs 33.9x0.0%

Inspect exact values6 rowsVolume Spike Evidence
Evidence table — Volume Spike Evidence
Market
$3.17
Price Change
0.0%
Volume Multiple
4.0x
Current 7d Sales
15
Typical 7d Sales
4
Market
$18.83
Price Change
0.0%
Volume Multiple
3.9x
Current 7d Sales
10
Typical 7d Sales
3
Market
$32.95
Price Change
+26.1%
Volume Multiple
4.2x
Current 7d Sales
110
Typical 7d Sales
26
Market
$287.62
Price Change
-5.3%
Volume Multiple
3.7x
Current 7d Sales
305
Typical 7d Sales
82
Market
$3.56
Price Change
-20.0%
Volume Multiple
3.7x
Current 7d Sales
212
Typical 7d Sales
57
Market
$43.68
Price Change
+7.9%
Volume Multiple
4.1x
Current 7d Sales
136
Typical 7d Sales
33
Exact values for Volume Spike Evidence
CardSetMarketPrice ChangeVolume MultipleCurrent 7d SalesTypical 7d Sales
Snorlax card image
Snorlax
Pokemon GO set image
Pokemon GO2022 Pokemon TCG
$3.170.0%4.0x154
Magikarp card image
Magikarp
SWSH02 Rebel Clash set image
SWSH02 Rebel Clash2020 Pokemon TCG
$18.830.0%3.9x103
Gladion's Final Battle card image
Gladion's Final Battle
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$32.95+26.1%4.2x11026
Mega Darkrai ex card image
Mega Darkrai ex
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$287.62-5.3%3.7x30582
Bastiodon card image
Bastiodon
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$3.56-20.0%3.7x21257
Gwynn card image
Gwynn
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$43.68+7.9%4.1x13633

Price reset

Notable Declines

Armarouge (ME05 Pitch Black #086/084) has experienced a drastic decline, now priced at $7.41, down 92.6%.

  • Primarina (ME05 Pitch Black #088/084) also shows a significant drop to $8.05, down 89.9%.
  • These declines are accompanied by substantial sales volumes, indicating a bearish sentiment.

Decliners — 14-Day Price Comparison

Metric: Indexed price, first valid observation = 100 · Window: 14-day recorded price history · Source: PokeLoupe recorded market-price history · Graph shows the first 4 series; inspect exact values for all 6.

107.40.4Jul 9Jul 22
Inspect exact values7 rowsDecliners — 14-Day Price Comparison
Exact values for Decliners — 14-Day Price Comparison
Date
Fomantis card image
Fomantis - ME05 Pitch Black #085/084
Armarouge card image
Armarouge - ME05 Pitch Black #086/084
Primarina card image
Primarina - ME05 Pitch Black #088/084
Morpeko ex card image
Morpeko ex - ME05 Pitch Black #102/084
Crushing Hammer card image
Crushing Hammer - ME05 Pitch Black #105/084
Mega Darkrai ex card image
Mega Darkrai ex - ME05 Pitch Black #101/084
Jul 9$69.98$79.99$23.98
Jul 12$19.37$35.12$53.23$21.65$19.50$28.29
Jul 18$4.35$5.43$7.14$4.58$5.14$11.35
Jul 19$4.84$6.46$7.28$4.60$4.96$12.84
Jul 20$4.42$6.45$7.45$4.95$5.16$13.77
Jul 21$4.78$6.60$7.65$4.79$4.54$13.51
Jul 22$5.08$7.41$8.05$5.86$5.15$13.80
Inspect exact values6 rowsDecliner Evidence
Evidence table — Decliner Evidence
Market
$7.41
30d Sales
350
7d Change
-92.6%
30d Change
-92.6%
Market
$8.05
30d Sales
373
7d Change
-89.9%
30d Change
-89.9%
Market
$5.08
30d Sales
280
7d Change
-73.8%
30d Change
-73.8%
Market
$5.86
30d Sales
212
7d Change
-75.6%
30d Change
-75.6%
Market
$5.15
30d Sales
151
7d Change
-73.6%
30d Change
-73.6%
Market
$13.80
30d Sales
213
7d Change
-51.2%
30d Change
-51.2%
Exact values for Decliner Evidence
CardSetMarket30d Sales7d Change30d Change
Armarouge card image
Armarouge
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$7.41350-92.6%-92.6%
Primarina card image
Primarina
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$8.05373-89.9%-89.9%
Fomantis card image
Fomantis
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$5.08280-73.8%-73.8%
Morpeko ex card image
Morpeko ex
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$5.86212-75.6%-75.6%
Crushing Hammer card image
Crushing Hammer
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$5.15151-73.6%-73.6%
Mega Darkrai ex card image
Mega Darkrai ex
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$13.80213-51.2%-51.2%

Sector read

Set Comparisons

The ME05 Pitch Black (2026) set has underperformed the market average with a 7-day change of -29.8%, significantly below the market average of -1.6%.

7-Day Performance Relative to Market

Metric: Vs Market · Window: 7-day measurement window · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

Inspect exact values3 rowsSet Comparison Evidence
Evidence table — Set Comparison Evidence
30d Sales
9,593
7d Change
-8.7%
Vs Market
-7.1%
30d Change
-25.1%
Cards Tracked
22
30d Sales
2,915
7d Change
-6.2%
Vs Market
-4.6%
30d Change
-8.9%
Cards Tracked
21
30d Sales
6,756
7d Change
-29.8%
Vs Market
-28.2%
30d Change
-31.3%
Cards Tracked
29
Exact values for Set Comparison Evidence
Set30d Sales7d ChangeVs Market30d ChangeCards Tracked
ME04 Chaos Rising set image
ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
9,593-8.7%-7.1%-25.1%22
SV03 Obsidian Flames set image
SV03 Obsidian Flames2023 Pokemon TCG
2,915-6.2%-4.6%-8.9%21
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
6,756-29.8%-28.2%-31.3%29

Set read

Set Value Tracker

The strongest estimated tracked-card basket change is seen in the Trading Card Game Classic (2023), with an estimated basket value of $172.02, reflecting a 5.6% increase over 7 days.

  • Conversely, ME05 Pitch Black (2026) has a basket value of $991.55, experiencing a significant decline of -37.8% over the same period.

Set Value Performance — Top 5, Market Average, Bottom 5

Metric: 7-day basket-value change · Window: 7-day measurement window · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

Inspect exact values11 rowsSet Value Performance — Top 5, Market Average, Bottom 5
Top 5 performers
7d Change
+5.6%
Card Sales
140
Total Value
$172.02
7d Change
+1.9%
Card Sales
4,962
Total Value
$3,159.49
7d Change
+1.8%
Card Sales
307
Total Value
$368.45
7d Change
0.0%
Card Sales
258
Total Value
$1,599.72
7d Change
0.0%
Card Sales
44
Total Value
$2,089.88
Exact values for Set Value Performance — Top 5, Market Average, Bottom 5
Set7d ChangeCard SalesTotal Value
Trading Card Game Classic set image
Trading Card Game Classic2023 Pokemon TCG
+5.6%140$172.02
Prize Pack Series Cards set image
Prize Pack Series Cards2022 Pokemon TCG
+1.9%4,962$3,159.49
SWSH10 Astral Radiance set image
SWSH10 Astral Radiance2022 Pokemon TCG
+1.8%307$368.45
Alternate Art Promos set image
Alternate Art Promos2017 Pokemon TCG
0.0%258$1,599.72
Aquapolis set image
Aquapolis2003 Pokemon TCG
0.0%44$2,089.88
Market averageEqual-weighted across 133 qualified sets
-1.2%Avg value $1,230.90
Bottom 5 performers
7d Change
-37.8%
Card Sales
6,756
Total Value
$991.55
7d Change
-11.6%
Card Sales
9,593
Total Value
$725.30
7d Change
-10.6%
Card Sales
1,118
Total Value
$159.82
7d Change
-9.3%
Card Sales
7,088
Total Value
$981.16
7d Change
-8.0%
Card Sales
5,895
Total Value
$631.03
Exact values for Set Value Performance — Top 5, Market Average, Bottom 5
Set7d ChangeCard SalesTotal Value
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
-37.8%6,756$991.55
ME04 Chaos Rising set image
ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
-11.6%9,593$725.30
Crown Zenith set image
Crown Zenith2023 Pokemon TCG
-10.6%1,118$159.82
ME Mega Evolution Promo set image
ME Mega Evolution Promo2025 Pokemon TCG
-9.3%7,088$981.16
ME03 Perfect Order set image
ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
-8.0%5,895$631.03

Sealed read

Sealed Value Tracker

The Pitch Black Elite Trainer Box (ME05 Pitch Black 2026) shows a current value of $79.87, with a 7-day median of $122.58, indicating a +67.7% change from the 30-day median of $73.10.

  • In contrast, the Chaos Rising Build & Battle Box (ME04 Chaos Rising 2026) is priced at $39.13, down -12% from its 30-day median of $55.21.

Sealed Performance — Top 5, Market Average, Bottom 5

Metric: 7-day median vs 30-day median · Window: 7-day median versus 30-day median baseline · Source: PokeLoupe sealed-product price history

Inspect exact values11 rowsSealed Performance — Top 5, Market Average, Bottom 5
Top 5 performers
30d Sales
6
7d Change
+67.7%
7d Median
$122.58
30d Median
$73.10
Current Value
$79.87
30d Sales
5
7d Change
+49.7%
7d Median
$97.50
30d Median
$65.11
Current Value
$100.51
30d Sales
3
7d Change
+20.0%
7d Median
$7,497.99
30d Median
$6,248.50
Current Value
$8,000.00
30d Sales
7
7d Change
+15.5%
7d Median
$17.10
30d Median
$14.81
Current Value
$14.41
Market averageEqual-weighted across 232 qualified sealed products
+1.5%Avg value $676.91
Bottom 5 performers
30d Sales
49
7d Change
-45.0%
7d Median
$71.50
30d Median
$129.99
Current Value
$235.09
30d Sales
18
7d Change
-12.0%
7d Median
$48.61
30d Median
$55.21
Current Value
$39.13
30d Sales
26
7d Change
-11.3%
7d Median
$894.39
30d Median
$1,008.71
Current Value
$965.21
30d Sales
8
7d Change
-6.6%
7d Median
$232.12
30d Median
$248.64
Current Value
$225.47
30d Sales
25
7d Change
-6.4%
7d Median
$6.91
30d Median
$7.38
Current Value
$8.53

Set read

Set Spotlight: Trading Card Game Classic (2023)

The Trading Card Game Classic (2023) set features an average composite score of 24 with 8 cards tracked.

  • The top card in this set is Pikachu, which has garnered attention for its nostalgic value among collectors.

Featured set profile

Snapshot profile · Window: 7-day measurement window · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

Year
2023
Top Card
Pikachu
Cards Tracked
8
Composite Score
24.00
Inspect exact values1 rowTrading Card Game Classic Evidence
Evidence table — Trading Card Game Classic Evidence
Year
2023
Top Card
Pikachu
Cards Tracked
8
Composite Score
24.00
Average 7d Change
+3.2%
High Momentum Cards
0
Exact values for Trading Card Game Classic Evidence
SetYearTop CardCards TrackedComposite ScoreAverage 7d ChangeHigh Momentum Cards
Trading Card Game Classic set image
Trading Card Game Classic2023 Pokemon TCG
2023Pikachu824.00+3.2%0

Fair value read

Solid Value Plays

Current pricing of Shining Volcanion at $7.13 shows a modeled reference of $73.16, reflecting a 926.1% model gap with 59% confidence.

  • Mightyena ex is currently priced at $69.88 against a modeled reference of $443.17, showing a 534.2% gap with 50% confidence.

Market price and modeled reference range

Metric: Market price compared with modeled reference · Window: Latest modeled-reference snapshot · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

$7.13$73.16+926.1%59%

$69.88$443.17+534.2%50%

$12.87$77.03+498.5%54%

$7.49$40.36+438.9%50%

$11.18$49.97+347.0%67%

$9.91$43.26+336.5%51%

Inspect exact values6 rowsCurrent Price vs Modeled Reference
Evidence table — Current Price vs Modeled Reference
Market
$7.13
Confidence
59%
Model Gap %
+926.1%
Modeled Reference
$73.16
Market
$69.88
Confidence
50%
Model Gap %
+534.2%
Modeled Reference
$443.17
Market
$12.87
Confidence
54%
Model Gap %
+498.5%
Modeled Reference
$77.03
Market
$7.49
Confidence
50%
Model Gap %
+438.9%
Modeled Reference
$40.36
Market
$11.18
Confidence
67%
Model Gap %
+347.0%
Modeled Reference
$49.97
Market
$9.91
Confidence
51%
Model Gap %
+336.5%
Modeled Reference
$43.26
Exact values for Current Price vs Modeled Reference
CardMarketConfidenceModel Gap %Modeled Reference
Shining Volcanion card image
Shining Volcanion
$7.1359%+926.1%$73.16
Mightyena ex card image
Mightyena ex
$69.8850%+534.2%$443.17
Shining Genesect card image
Shining Genesect
$12.8754%+498.5%$77.03
Flaaffy (Secret) card image
Flaaffy (Secret)
$7.4950%+438.9%$40.36
Muk card image
Muk
$11.1867%+347.0%$49.97
Moltres EX (Team Plasma) card image
Moltres EX (Team Plasma)
$9.9151%+336.5%$43.26

Coverage

42,931 cards

7d sales evidence

70,473

Novelty

48% new entities

Data as of

2026-07-22

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Market Pulse is generated from PokeLoupe market data and AI-assisted analysis, then checked against its structured source values before publication. It is factual market context for collector research, not a recommendation. Inspect current listing photos, seller details, condition, and live marketplace pricing before acting.