Skip to content
Market Pulse archive
BearishJul 20, 2026Daily report

Volume Watch leads today's Market Pulse

The primary section leads a full evidence-backed report across cards, sets, grading, sales volume, modeled prices, and sealed products.

Tracked

42,914

Up

377

Down

816

Top move

+28.9%

Market breadth

Metric: Share of cards with a recorded direction · Window: 7-day measurement window · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

Breadth uses 1,193 cards with a recorded direction. The 42,914 tracked-card universe is shown separately; unclassified cards are not labeled flat.

Exact market breadth counts
UpDownRecorded directionTracked universe
3778161,19342,914

Since the previous report

What changed

  • 11 fewer cards rose than in the previous report (377 today).
  • New to the lead coverage: Gladion's Final Battle and Mega Darkrai ex.
  • Volume Watch is today's primary read; every available core market domain is covered with non-duplicative evidence.

Volume read

Volume Watch

The current 7-day sales data reveals significant volume spikes, particularly with Gladion's Final Battle (ME05 Pitch Black), which has seen 69 sales, a 4.3x increase over its typical baseline of 16.

  • This surge aligns with an 18.9% price increase.
  • Similarly, Mega Darkrai ex (ME05 Pitch Black) also recorded a 4.3x increase in sales, reaching 33 units sold, although its price declined by 25.3%.
  • These contrasting signals indicate a complex demand landscape, where increased volume does not uniformly correlate with price movement.

Current sales versus typical weekly sales

Metric: Current and typical 7-day sales · Window: Current 7-day sales versus 30-day weekly baseline · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

196 vs 474.1x+28.9%

106 vs 254.2x-64.9%

85 vs 204.3x-2.1%

69 vs 164.3x+18.9%

33 vs 84.3x-25.3%

10 vs 24.3x+8.6%

Inspect exact values6 rowsVolume Spike Evidence
Evidence table — Volume Spike Evidence
Market
$31.07
Price Change
+18.9%
Volume Multiple
4.3x
Current 7d Sales
69
Typical 7d Sales
16
Market
$201.25
Price Change
-25.3%
Volume Multiple
4.3x
Current 7d Sales
33
Typical 7d Sales
8
Market
$21.60
Price Change
+8.6%
Volume Multiple
4.3x
Current 7d Sales
10
Typical 7d Sales
2
Market
$39.61
Price Change
-2.1%
Volume Multiple
4.3x
Current 7d Sales
85
Typical 7d Sales
20
Market
$4.70
Price Change
-64.9%
Volume Multiple
4.2x
Current 7d Sales
106
Typical 7d Sales
25
Market
$5.04
Price Change
+28.9%
Volume Multiple
4.1x
Current 7d Sales
196
Typical 7d Sales
47
Exact values for Volume Spike Evidence
CardSetMarketPrice ChangeVolume MultipleCurrent 7d SalesTypical 7d Sales
Gladion's Final Battle card image
Gladion's Final Battle
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$31.07+18.9%4.3x6916
Mega Darkrai ex card image
Mega Darkrai ex
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$201.25-25.3%4.3x338
Gengar card image
Gengar
SM Crimson Invasion set image
SM Crimson Invasion2017 Pokemon TCG
$21.60+8.6%4.3x102
Gwynn card image
Gwynn
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$39.61-2.1%4.3x8520
Crushing Hammer card image
Crushing Hammer
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$4.70-64.9%4.2x10625
Silvally card image
Silvally
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$5.04+28.9%4.1x19647

Grading read

Grading Watch

The 30-day PSA 10 premium snapshot shows Mew V selling at a raw price of $5.99 and achieving a PSA 10 price of $158.90, resulting in a premium of 26.5x with 3 PSA 10 sales.

  • Palpitoad exhibits a raw price of $15.50 and a PSA 10 price of $369.45, yielding a premium of 23.8x with 3 PSA 10 sales.
  • Other notable premiums include Yveltal ex at 23.7x and Scizor at 23.0x, reflecting consistent collector interest in high-grade cards.

Premium multiple and confirmed sales

Metric: PSA 10 price divided by raw price · Window: 30-day grading premium snapshot · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

$5.99 raw → $158.90 PSA 10

26.5x3 sales

$15.50 raw → $369.45 PSA 10

23.8x3 sales

$6.99 raw → $165.99 PSA 10

23.7x3 sales

$8.99 raw → $210.13 PSA 10

23.4x11 sales

$17.06 raw → $392.50 PSA 10

23.0x6 sales

$7.28 raw → $165.75 PSA 10

22.8x8 sales

Inspect exact values6 rowsPSA 10 Grading Premiums
Evidence table — PSA 10 Grading Premiums
Raw
$5.99
PSA 10
$158.90
Premium
26.5x
PSA 10 Sales
3
Raw
$15.50
PSA 10
$369.45
Premium
23.8x
PSA 10 Sales
3
Raw
$6.99
PSA 10
$165.99
Premium
23.7x
PSA 10 Sales
3
Raw
$8.99
PSA 10
$210.13
Premium
23.4x
PSA 10 Sales
11
Raw
$17.06
PSA 10
$392.50
Premium
23.0x
PSA 10 Sales
6
Raw
$7.28
PSA 10
$165.75
Premium
22.8x
PSA 10 Sales
8
Exact values for PSA 10 Grading Premiums
CardRawPSA 10PremiumPSA 10 Sales
Mew V card image
Mew V
$5.99$158.9026.5x3
Palpitoad card image
Palpitoad
$15.50$369.4523.8x3
Yveltal ex card image
Yveltal ex
$6.99$165.9923.7x3
Snorlax card image
Snorlax
$8.99$210.1323.4x11
Scizor card image
Scizor
$17.06$392.5023.0x6
Clobbopus card image
Clobbopus
$7.28$165.7522.8x8

Momentum read

Top Movers

Among the top gainers, Silvally (ME05 Pitch Black #095/084) increased to $5.04, marking a 28.9% rise with a composite score of 42.

Top Gainers — 14-Day Price Comparison

Metric: Indexed price, first valid observation = 100 · Window: 14-day recorded price history · Source: PokeLoupe recorded market-price history · Graph shows the first 4 series; inspect exact values for all 6.

132.382.9Jul 6Jul 20
Inspect exact values6 rowsTop Gainers — 14-Day Price Comparison
Exact values for Top Gainers — 14-Day Price Comparison
Date
Silvally card image
Silvally - ME05 Pitch Black #095/084
Dachsbun ex card image
Dachsbun ex - SV07 Stellar Crown #160/142
Pecharunt ex card image
Pecharunt ex - SV Shrouded Fable #085/064
Mega Chandelure ex card image
Mega Chandelure ex - ME05 Pitch Black #099/084
Basic Fire Energy card image
Basic Fire Energy - SV03 Obsidian Flames #230/197
Mega Charizard X ex card image
Mega Charizard X ex - ME02 Phantasmal Flames #013/094
Jul 6$4.83$6.01$3.59$4.75
Jul 9$4.90$6.25$3.58$4.36
Jul 12$4.28$6.37$3.87$4.69
Jul 18$3.91$4.25$6.66$6.78$4.19$4.51
Jul 19$3.98$4.35$6.78$8.52$4.02$5.33
Jul 20$5.04$4.17$7.07$8.54$3.98$5.15
Inspect exact values6 rowsTop Mover Evidence
Evidence table — Top Mover Evidence
Market
$5.04
30d Sales
203
7d Change
+28.9%
30d Change
+28.9%
Market
$4.17
30d Sales
61
7d Change
+28.7%
30d Change
+32.7%
Market
$5.15
30d Sales
581
7d Change
+24.1%
30d Change
+9.6%
Market
$8.54
30d Sales
141
7d Change
+26.0%
30d Change
+26.0%
Market
$3.98
30d Sales
31
7d Change
+24.8%
30d Change
+31.0%
Market
$7.07
30d Sales
38
7d Change
+21.7%
30d Change
+11.3%

Price reset

Notable Declines

Armarouge (ME05 Pitch Black #086/084) experienced a drastic decline of 93.3%, now priced at $6.74, with a composite score of 25 and 277 sales.

  • Crushing Hammer (ME05 Pitch Black #105/084) fell by 64.9% to $4.70, while Mega Darkrai ex (ME05 Pitch Black #101/084) dropped 50.9% to $13.88, indicating a sharp pullback in interest for these cards despite previous sales volumes.

Decliners — 14-Day Price Comparison

Metric: Indexed price, first valid observation = 100 · Window: 14-day recorded price history · Source: PokeLoupe recorded market-price history · Graph shows the first 4 series; inspect exact values for all 6.

107.60.0Jul 6Jul 20
Inspect exact values6 rowsDecliners — 14-Day Price Comparison
Exact values for Decliners — 14-Day Price Comparison
Date
Armarouge card image
Armarouge - ME05 Pitch Black #086/084
Primarina card image
Primarina - ME05 Pitch Black #088/084
Toucannon card image
Toucannon - ME05 Pitch Black #094/084
Morpeko ex card image
Morpeko ex - ME05 Pitch Black #117/084
Crushing Hammer card image
Crushing Hammer - ME05 Pitch Black #105/084
Mega Darkrai ex card image
Mega Darkrai ex - ME05 Pitch Black #101/084
Jul 6$99.99$79.99
Jul 9$69.98$79.99$200.00
Jul 12$35.12$53.23$10.05$195.65$19.50$28.29
Jul 18$5.43$7.14$4.77$91.43$5.14$11.35
Jul 19$6.46$7.28$5.00$90.01$4.96$12.84
Jul 20$6.74$7.73$5.17$99.70$4.70$13.88
Inspect exact values6 rowsDecliner Evidence
Evidence table — Decliner Evidence
Market
$6.74
30d Sales
277
7d Change
-93.3%
30d Change
-93.3%
Market
$4.70
30d Sales
109
7d Change
-64.9%
30d Change
-26.1%
Market
$13.88
30d Sales
167
7d Change
-50.9%
30d Change
-50.9%
Market
$99.70
30d Sales
245
7d Change
-50.1%
30d Change
-50.1%
Market
$5.17
30d Sales
215
7d Change
-48.6%
30d Change
-48.6%
Market
$7.73
30d Sales
302
7d Change
-90.3%
30d Change
-90.3%
Exact values for Decliner Evidence
CardSetMarket30d Sales7d Change30d Change
Armarouge card image
Armarouge
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$6.74277-93.3%-93.3%
Crushing Hammer card image
Crushing Hammer
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$4.70109-64.9%-26.1%
Mega Darkrai ex card image
Mega Darkrai ex
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$13.88167-50.9%-50.9%
Morpeko ex card image
Morpeko ex
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$99.70245-50.1%-50.1%
Toucannon card image
Toucannon
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$5.17215-48.6%-48.6%
Primarina card image
Primarina
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$7.73302-90.3%-90.3%

Sector read

Set Comparisons

The ME05 Pitch Black (2026) set underperformed the market with an average 7-day change of -28.5%, significantly below the market average decline of -1.4%.

  • In contrast, ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) showed a lesser decline of -11.1%, indicating a more stable performance relative to the broader market, with a composite score of 26.

7-Day Performance Relative to Market

Metric: Vs Market · Window: 7-day measurement window · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

Inspect exact values2 rowsSet Comparison Evidence
Evidence table — Set Comparison Evidence
30d Sales
5,020
7d Change
-28.5%
Vs Market
-27.1%
30d Change
-27.1%
Cards Tracked
28
30d Sales
9,746
7d Change
-11.1%
Vs Market
-9.7%
30d Change
-28.9%
Cards Tracked
21
Exact values for Set Comparison Evidence
Set30d Sales7d ChangeVs Market30d ChangeCards Tracked
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
5,020-28.5%-27.1%-27.1%28
ME04 Chaos Rising set image
ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
9,746-11.1%-9.7%-28.9%21

Set read

Set Value Tracker

The estimated tracked-card basket value for ME05 Pitch Black (2026) stands at $962.13, reflecting a substantial 37.8% decrease over the past week with 5,020 card sales.

  • Meanwhile, ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) has a basket value of $699.66, down 15.4% with 9,746 sales, showcasing a more resilient performance in comparison.
Inspect exact values6 rowsEstimated Tracked-Card Basket Value Changes (7 Day)
Estimated Tracked-Card Basket Value Changes (7 Day)
7d Change
+2.7%
Card Sales
5,073
Total Value
$3,307.12
7d Change
+0.9%
Card Sales
1,006
Total Value
$334.28
7d Change
-37.8%
Card Sales
5,020
Total Value
$962.13
7d Change
-15.4%
Card Sales
9,746
Total Value
$699.66
7d Change
-9.9%
Card Sales
5,996
Total Value
$620.55
7d Change
+4.5%
Card Sales
217
Total Value
$218.81
Exact values for Estimated Tracked-Card Basket Value Changes (7 Day)
Set7d ChangeCard SalesTotal Value
Prize Pack Series Cards set image
Prize Pack Series Cards2022 Pokemon TCG
+2.7%5,073$3,307.12
SWSH10 Astral Radiance Trainer Gallery set image
SWSH10 Astral Radiance Trainer Gallery2022 Pokemon TCG
+0.9%1,006$334.28
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
-37.8%5,020$962.13
ME04 Chaos Rising set image
ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
-15.4%9,746$699.66
ME03 Perfect Order set image
ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
-9.9%5,996$620.55
Trading Card Game Classic set image
Trading Card Game Classic2023 Pokemon TCG
+4.5%217$218.81

Set read

Set Spotlight: Trading Card Game Classic (2023)

The Trading Card Game Classic (2023) set has shown an average 7-day price change of +3.2% with a composite score of 23.

  • Despite having 11 cards tracked, none exhibit high momentum, with Pikachu being the standout card in this collection.

Featured set profile

Snapshot profile · Window: 7-day measurement window · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

Year
2023
Top Card
Pikachu
Cards Tracked
11
Composite Score
23.00
Inspect exact values1 rowTrading Card Game Classic Evidence
Evidence table — Trading Card Game Classic Evidence
Year
2023
Top Card
Pikachu
Cards Tracked
11
Composite Score
23.00
Average 7d Change
+3.2%
High Momentum Cards
0
Exact values for Trading Card Game Classic Evidence
SetYearTop CardCards TrackedComposite ScoreAverage 7d ChangeHigh Momentum Cards
Trading Card Game Classic set image
Trading Card Game Classic2023 Pokemon TCG
2023Pikachu1123.00+3.2%0

Fair value read

Solid Value Plays

Current pricing for Shining Volcanion at $7.13 shows a modeled reference gap of 921.9% with a confidence level of 58%.

  • Shining Genesect at $12.95 has a modeled reference gap of 492.9% at a 51% confidence level.
  • These significant discrepancies indicate potential areas of interest for collectors examining market valuations.

Market price and modeled reference range

Metric: Market price compared with modeled reference · Window: Latest modeled-reference snapshot · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot

$7.13$72.86+921.9%58%

$12.95$76.78+492.9%51%

$7.49$40.39+439.3%51%

$11.18$49.75+345.0%67%

$9.87$43.25+338.2%53%

$12.10$47.12+289.4%65%

Inspect exact values6 rowsCurrent Price vs Modeled Reference
Evidence table — Current Price vs Modeled Reference
Market
$7.13
Confidence
58%
Model Gap %
+921.9%
Modeled Reference
$72.86
Market
$12.95
Confidence
51%
Model Gap %
+492.9%
Modeled Reference
$76.78
Market
$7.49
Confidence
51%
Model Gap %
+439.3%
Modeled Reference
$40.39
Market
$9.87
Confidence
53%
Model Gap %
+338.2%
Modeled Reference
$43.25
Market
$11.18
Confidence
67%
Model Gap %
+345.0%
Modeled Reference
$49.75
Market
$12.10
Confidence
65%
Model Gap %
+289.4%
Modeled Reference
$47.12
Exact values for Current Price vs Modeled Reference
CardMarketConfidenceModel Gap %Modeled Reference
Shining Volcanion card image
Shining Volcanion
$7.1358%+921.9%$72.86
Shining Genesect card image
Shining Genesect
$12.9551%+492.9%$76.78
Flaaffy (Secret) card image
Flaaffy (Secret)
$7.4951%+439.3%$40.39
Moltres EX (Team Plasma) card image
Moltres EX (Team Plasma)
$9.8753%+338.2%$43.25
Muk card image
Muk
$11.1867%+345.0%$49.75
Electabuzz (Movie Promo) card image
Electabuzz (Movie Promo)
$12.1065%+289.4%$47.12

Pack read

Pack Value Plays

The sealed product price-per-pack comparison reveals the Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon] priced at $21.47 for 3 packs, equating to $7.16 per pack.

  • The Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] is available for $14.62 for 2 packs, resulting in $7.31 per pack, while the Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita] costs $22.11 for 3 packs, or $7.37 per pack.

Lowest observed price per pack

Metric: $/Pack · Window: Latest sealed-product snapshot · Source: PokeLoupe daily market snapshot · Showing 5 of 13 products

  1. 01

    $2.67/ pack$15.99 · 6 packs

  2. 02

    $6.02/ pack$6.02 · 1 packs

  3. 03

    $6.14/ pack$6.14 · 1 packs

  4. 04

    $6.22/ pack$6.22 · 1 packs

  5. 05

    $6.63/ pack$6.63 · 1 packs

Inspect exact values13 rowsPrice per Pack — Sealed Product Comparison
Price per Pack — Sealed Product Comparison

Coverage

42,914 cards

7d sales evidence

67,136

Novelty

73% new entities

Data as of

2026-07-20

Continue the comparison

Related recent reports

Daily delivery

Get the Market Pulse in your inbox

One focused Pokemon TCG market briefing after the daily data refresh.

Market Pulse is generated from PokeLoupe market data and AI-assisted analysis, then checked against its structured source values before publication. It is factual market context for collector research, not a recommendation. Inspect current listing photos, seller details, condition, and live marketplace pricing before acting.