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BearishJul 12, 2026Daily report

Market Reset: Armarouge Plummets 64.9% Amid Bearish Sentiment

Today's report highlights significant pullbacks in the Pokémon card market, with notable resets in card values indicating potential watchlist opportunities.

Tracked

42,783

Up

433

Down

676

Top move

+59.1%

Today in one read

Legacy Energy leads the public-quality movers at +59.1% over seven days near $3.70. Use it alongside the breadth, volume, and set signals below to judge whether the move has support.

Market Pulse brief

  • 433 cards rose while 676 declined across 42,783 tracked cards.
  • Legacy Energy posted the top visible move at +59.1%.
  • Legacy Energy leads the public-quality movers at +59.1% over seven days near $3.70.
  • Unusual volume spikes were observed for several cards, indicating shifting demand dynamics.
  • Armarouge (ME05 Pitch Black #086/084) faced a drastic decline of 64.9%, now priced at $35.12, indicating a significant reset.

Momentum read

Top Movers

Legacy Energy leads the public-quality movers at +59.1% over seven days near $3.70.

Volume read

Volume Watch

Unusual volume spikes were observed for several cards, indicating shifting demand dynamics.

  • Notably, Vileplume (Southern Islands) experienced a 3.9x volume increase with a price rise of 2.5%.
  • Conversely, Misty's Vitality (ME05 Pitch Black) saw a 4.3x volume spike but a price decline of 15.6%, suggesting a potential cooling of interest despite increased trading activity.

Price reset

Notable Declines

Armarouge (ME05 Pitch Black #086/084) faced a drastic decline of 64.9%, now priced at $35.12, indicating a significant reset.

  • Primarina (ME05 Pitch Black #088/084) also dropped 33.5% to $53.23, while Mega Floette ex (ME04 Chaos Rising #117/086) fell 27.7% to $32.23.
  • These declines suggest a potential reevaluation of these cards' market positions, making them candidates for closer scrutiny.

Set read

Set Value Tracker

The overall market average saw a 7-day change of -0.6%, with ME05 Pitch Black underperforming at -16.1%.

Set performers
Total Value
$7,222.85
7d Change
+1.0%
Card Sales
12,135
Total Value
$3,520.70
7d Change
+0.5%
Card Sales
4,940
Total Value
$1,409.00
7d Change
+0.5%
Card Sales
6,091
Set laggers
Total Value
$506.81
7d Change
-19.8%
Card Sales
203
Total Value
$747.45
7d Change
-14.6%
Card Sales
11,496
Total Value
$490.47
7d Change
-6.9%
Card Sales
1,767
  • In contrast, Prize Pack Series Cards (2022) showed resilience with a total set value of $7,222.85, reflecting a 1% increase.
  • The stark contrast between set performances highlights the volatility within specific collections, with ME05 Pitch Black experiencing only 203 card sales.

Set read

Set Spotlight: ME05 Pitch Black

ME05 Pitch Black continues to struggle with a composite score of 18 and a 30-day decline of 4.6%.

  • Despite its top gainer, Slowbro, increasing by 21.6%, the overall set value plummeted to $506.81, indicating a lack of sustained interest.

Grading read

Grading Watch

Notable PSA 10 premiums are evident, with Braviary showing a remarkable 28.3x premium, priced at $255.00 compared to a raw price of $9.00.

PSA 10 Grading Premiums
Raw
$9.00
PSA 10
$255.00
Premium
28.3x
PSA 10 Sales
3
Raw
$7.48
PSA 10
$195.00
Premium
26.1x
PSA 10 Sales
3
Raw
$6.37
PSA 10
$135.34
Premium
21.2x
PSA 10 Sales
5
Raw
$6.22
PSA 10
$131.22
Premium
21.1x
PSA 10 Sales
3
Raw
$18.91
PSA 10
$396.60
Premium
21.0x
PSA 10 Sales
4
Raw
$11.91
PSA 10
$239.96
Premium
20.1x
PSA 10 Sales
14
  • Dedenne follows with a 26.1x premium at $195.00 from a raw price of $7.47, highlighting the value potential in graded cards.

Fair value read

Fair Value Buys

Several cards are currently priced below their calculated fair value, presenting strong upside potential.

Undervalued Cards — Fair Value Analysis
Signal
STRONG BUY
Market
$10.29
Fair Value
$49.39
Upside
+380.0%
Confidence
67%
Signal
STRONG BUY
Market
$5.60
Fair Value
$21.90
Upside
+291.1%
Confidence
52%
Signal
STRONG BUY
Market
$5.59
Fair Value
$22.82
Upside
+308.2%
Confidence
77%
Signal
STRONG BUY
Market
$17.66
Fair Value
$74.33
Upside
+320.9%
Confidence
77%
Signal
STRONG BUY
Market
$5.73
Fair Value
$20.70
Upside
+261.3%
Confidence
77%
Signal
STRONG BUY
Market
$6.67
Fair Value
$23.19
Upside
+247.7%
Confidence
77%
  • Nemona at $7.14 has a fair value of $64.75, indicating an upside of 806.9% with a STRONG_BUY signal and 77% confidence.
  • Arven at $10.25 shows a fair value of $66.92, representing a 552.9% upside, also with a STRONG_BUY signal.

Pack read

Pack Value Breakdown

Pack-per-dollar plays focus on standard sealed Pokemon TCG products, with seasonal mini-pack products removed from the comparison.

Best Pack Value — Sealed Product Comparison
Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster Bundle
Market
$15.99
Packs
6
$/Pack
2.67
Perfect Order Booster Pack
Market
$6.09
Packs
1
$/Pack
6.09
Chaos Rising Booster Pack
Market
$6.41
Packs
1
$/Pack
6.41
Journey Together Booster Pack
Market
$6.88
Packs
1
$/Pack
6.88
Chaos Rising Single Pack Blister [Toxel]
Market
$6.99
Packs
1
$/Pack
6.99
Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita]
Market
$21.19
Packs
3
$/Pack
7.06
Perfect Order Sleeved Booster Pack
Market
$7.28
Packs
1
$/Pack
7.28
Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster Pack
Market
$7.29
Packs
1
$/Pack
7.29
Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon]
Market
$22.03
Packs
3
$/Pack
7.34
Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] (1-tab)
Market
$14.70
Packs
2
$/Pack
7.35
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Feraligatr & Budew]
Market
$15.59
Packs
2
$/Pack
7.80
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Emboar & Inkay]
Market
$15.70
Packs
2
$/Pack
7.85

Cards in this Market Pulse

Data notes

Updated from daily price movement, sales volume, set momentum, and card-level market context.

Card prices are context. Review current listing photos, seller details, and live prices before buying.

Market Pulse is generated from PokeLoupe market data and AI-assisted analysis. It is a collector research aid, not financial advice. Signals and picks are informational market commentary, not buy or sell recommendations. Verify condition, seller context, photos, and current marketplace pricing before buying.