Market Sentiment Holds Steady as SV Paldean Fates Surges 1.7% in Value
Today's report highlights the contrasting performance of sets amid a neutral market sentiment, with SV Paldean Fates demonstrating notable gains.
Tracked
42,705
Up
449
Down
577
Top move
+77.7%
Today in one read
Cleffa leads the public-quality movers at +77.7% over seven days near $10.20. Use it alongside the breadth, volume, and set signals below to judge whether the move has support.
Market Pulse brief
- 449 cards rose while 577 declined across 42,705 tracked cards.
- Cleffa posted the top visible move at +77.7%.
- Cleffa leads the public-quality movers at +77.7% over seven days near $10.20.
- Unusual activity is noted for Primarina (ME05 Pitch Black) with a volume spike of 4.3x normal levels, indicating heightened collector interest despite a stable price.
- The Secret Box (SV06 Twilight Masquerade #163/167) has experienced a significant pullback, dropping 31.2% to $4.05, alongside a substantial 49.3% decline compared to its 30-day raw median.
Momentum read
Top Movers
Cleffa leads the public-quality movers at +77.7% over seven days near $10.20.
- Use it alongside the breadth, volume, and set signals below to judge whether the move has support.
Volume read
Volume Watch
Unusual activity is noted for Primarina (ME05 Pitch Black) with a volume spike of 4.3x normal levels, indicating heightened collector interest despite a stable price.
- Similarly, Leafeon VMAX (SWSH07 Evolving Skies) saw a 3.6x increase in volume, reflecting a 37.7% price gain, suggesting strong demand for this card.
Price reset
Notable Declines
The Secret Box (SV06 Twilight Masquerade #163/167) has experienced a significant pullback, dropping 31.2% to $4.05, alongside a substantial 49.3% decline compared to its 30-day raw median.
- Vaporeon (SWSH09 Brilliant Stars Trainer Gallery #TG02/TG30) also saw a decline of 28.2% to $18.99, indicating a fair value context for potential recovery.
Set read
Set Value Tracker
The total set value for SV Paldean Fates (2024) has increased by 1.7%, totaling $2,382.49, outperforming the market average 7-day change of -0.1%.
- Total Value
- $85.91
- 7d Change
- +3.7%
- Card Sales
- 182
- Total Value
- $2,382.49
- 7d Change
- +2.0%
- Card Sales
- 3,118
- Total Value
- $651.67
- 7d Change
- +1.6%
- Card Sales
- 546
| Set | Total Value | 7d Change | Card Sales |
|---|---|---|---|
 | $85.91 | +3.7% | 182 |
 | $2,382.49 | +2.0% | 3,118 |
 | $651.67 | +1.6% | 546 |
- Total Value
- $801.50
- 7d Change
- -5.4%
- Card Sales
- 12,329
- Total Value
- $2,111.97
- 7d Change
- -4.6%
- Card Sales
- 9,723
- Total Value
- $486.09
- 7d Change
- -4.4%
- Card Sales
- 1,907
| Set | Total Value | 7d Change | Card Sales |
|---|---|---|---|
 | $801.50 | -5.4% | 12,329 |
 | $2,111.97 | -4.6% | 9,723 |
 | $486.09 | -4.4% | 1,907 |
- In contrast, sets like SV Scarlet and Violet 151 (2023) have seen a decline of 4.6%, with a total set value of $2,111.97, indicating a divergence in collector interest and demand across different sets.
Set read
Set Spotlight: SWSH10 Astral Radiance
SWSH10 Astral Radiance (2022) has shown a modest average 7-day price change of +3.5%, with an average composite score of 22.
- The top card in this set is Jirachi V (Full Art), which remains a focal point for collectors.
Featured cards
Grading read
Grading Watch
Pikachu's raw price of $7.99 translates to a PSA 10 price of $249.01, yielding a premium multiple of 31.2x with 16 PSA 10 sales.
- Raw
- $7.99
- PSA 10
- $249.02
- Premium
- 31.2x
- PSA 10 Sales
- 16
- Raw
- $20.00
- PSA 10
- $556.70
- Premium
- 27.8x
- PSA 10 Sales
- 8
- Raw
- $7.99
- PSA 10
- $245.47
- Premium
- 30.7x
- PSA 10 Sales
- 5
- Raw
- $60.00
- PSA 10
- $1,606.17
- Premium
- 26.8x
- PSA 10 Sales
- 18
- Raw
- $7.73
- PSA 10
- $205.71
- Premium
- 26.6x
- PSA 10 Sales
- 3
- Raw
- $6.99
- PSA 10
- $205.12
- Premium
- 29.3x
- PSA 10 Sales
- 5
- Similarly, Ditto's raw price of $20.00 leads to a PSA 10 value of $556.70, resulting in a 27.8x premium with 8 sales, indicating strong collector interest in graded cards.
Fair value read
Fair Value Buys
Nemona is currently priced at $7.30, with a calculated fair value of $65.03, presenting a potential upside of 790.8% and a STRONG_BUY signal with 79% confidence.
- Signal
- STRONG BUY
- Market
- $10.30
- Fair Value
- $49.22
- Upside
- +377.9%
- Confidence
- 67%
- Signal
- STRONG BUY
- Market
- $17.59
- Fair Value
- $74.74
- Upside
- +324.9%
- Confidence
- 79%
- Signal
- STRONG BUY
- Market
- $17.88
- Fair Value
- $68.27
- Upside
- +281.8%
- Confidence
- 79%
- Signal
- STRONG BUY
- Market
- $18.25
- Fair Value
- $68.64
- Upside
- +276.1%
- Confidence
- 79%
- Signal
- STRONG BUY
- Market
- $9.04
- Fair Value
- $29.92
- Upside
- +231.0%
- Confidence
- 79%
- Signal
- STRONG BUY
- Market
- $8.25
- Fair Value
- $29.40
- Upside
- +256.4%
- Confidence
- 79%
| Card | Signal | Market | Fair Value | Upside | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | STRONG BUY | $10.30 | $49.22 | +377.9% | 67% |
 | STRONG BUY | $17.59 | $74.74 | +324.9% | 79% |
 | STRONG BUY | $17.88 | $68.27 | +281.8% | 79% |
 | STRONG BUY | $18.25 | $68.64 | +276.1% | 79% |
 | STRONG BUY | $9.04 | $29.92 | +231.0% | 79% |
 | STRONG BUY | $8.25 | $29.40 | +256.4% | 79% |
- Arven, priced at $10.01, has a fair value of $67.24, indicating a 571.7% upside, also marked as a STRONG_BUY with 79% confidence.
Supporting cards
Pack read
Pack Value Breakdown
Pack-per-dollar plays focus on standard sealed Pokemon TCG products, with seasonal mini-pack products removed from the comparison.
- Market
- $15.99
- Packs
- 6
- $/Pack
- 2.67
- Market
- $5.91
- Packs
- 1
- $/Pack
- 5.91
- Market
- $6.35
- Packs
- 1
- $/Pack
- 6.35
- Market
- $6.75
- Packs
- 1
- $/Pack
- 6.75
- Market
- $21.00
- Packs
- 3
- $/Pack
- 7.00
- Market
- $7.04
- Packs
- 1
- $/Pack
- 7.04
- Market
- $7.34
- Packs
- 1
- $/Pack
- 7.34
- Market
- $14.70
- Packs
- 2
- $/Pack
- 7.35
- Market
- $7.39
- Packs
- 1
- $/Pack
- 7.39
- Market
- $22.79
- Packs
- 3
- $/Pack
- 7.60
- Market
- $15.82
- Packs
- 2
- $/Pack
- 7.91
- Market
- $15.92
- Packs
- 2
- $/Pack
- 7.96
| Product | Set | Market | Packs | $/Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster Bundle |  | $15.99 | 6 | 2.67 |
| Perfect Order Booster Pack |  | $5.91 | 1 | 5.91 |
| Chaos Rising Booster Pack | | $6.35 | 1 | 6.35 |
| Journey Together Booster Pack |  | $6.75 | 1 | 6.75 |
| Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita] | | $21.00 | 3 | 7.00 |
| Chaos Rising Single Pack Blister [Toxel] | | $7.04 | 1 | 7.04 |
| Perfect Order Sleeved Booster Pack | | $7.34 | 1 | 7.34 |
| Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] (1-tab) | | $14.70 | 2 | 7.35 |
| Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster Pack | | $7.39 | 1 | 7.39 |
| Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon] | | $22.79 | 3 | 7.60 |
| Lumiose City Mini Tin [Emboar & Inkay] | | $15.82 | 2 | 7.91 |
| Lumiose City Mini Tin [Feraligatr & Budew] | | $15.92 | 2 | 7.96 |
![TAG TEAM Powers Collection [Umbreon & Darkrai GX] product image](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/209533_200w.jpg)
Cards in this Market Pulse
Data notes
Updated from daily price movement, sales volume, set momentum, and card-level market context.
Card prices are context. Review current listing photos, seller details, and live prices before buying.