Market Pulse archive
NeutralJun 25, 2026Daily report

Sawk Surges 80.7% as Market Sentiment Holds Steady

Today’s market reflects a neutral sentiment with 60% of tracked cards gaining value, highlighting fresh opportunities for collectors.

Tracked

42,434

Up

711

Down

476

Top move

+80.7%

Today in one read

The Pokémon card market is currently experiencing a neutral sentiment, with 711 cards up (60%), 476 cards down, and 41,247 remaining flat out of a total of 42,434 tracked cards. Historical context shows a market average 7-day change of +1.1% and a 30-day change of +5.3%, indicating a stable environment for collectors. Notably, 25% of cards have shown bullish behavior over the past week, suggesting potential for continued growth in select sectors.

Pulse brief

  • 711 cards rose while 476 declined across 42,434 tracked cards.
  • Sawk posted the top visible move at +80.7%.
  • The Pokémon card market is currently experiencing a neutral sentiment, with 711 cards up (60%), 476 cards down, and 41,247 remaining flat out of a total of 42,434 tracked cards.
  • Sawk (SV White Flare #130/086): confirmed momentum, High confidence (100/100), $17.91, +80.7% 7d, 19 raw sales in 7d / 88 in 30d, +83.9% vs 30d raw median.
  • Sawk leads the public-quality movers at +80.7% over seven days near $17.91.

Cards in this pulse

Market read

Market Overview

  • The Pokémon card market is currently experiencing a neutral sentiment, with 711 cards up (60%), 476 cards down, and 41,247 remaining flat out of a total of 42,434 tracked cards.
  • Historical context shows a market average 7-day change of +1.1% and a 30-day change of +5.3%, indicating a stable environment for collectors.
  • Notably, 25% of cards have shown bullish behavior over the past week, suggesting potential for continued growth in select sectors.

Signal read

Signals Worth Watching

Computed Signal Picks
Angle
Confirmed momentum
Market
$17.91
7d Move
+80.7%
7d Sales
19
30d Sales
88
Confidence
High (100/100)
Angle
Pullback watch
Market
$9.23
7d Move
-56.3%
7d Sales
37
30d Sales
51
Confidence
High (100/100)
Angle
Fair value
Market
$3.64
7d Move
+36.4%
7d Sales
60
30d Sales
219
Confidence
High (100/100)
Angle
Grading premium
Market
$12.76
7d Move
+33.8%
7d Sales
137
30d Sales
342
Confidence
High (100/100)
Angle
Collector interest
Market
$6.07
7d Move
+7.8%
7d Sales
77
30d Sales
384
Confidence
High (99/100)
  • Sawk (SV White Flare #130/086): confirmed momentum, High confidence (100/100), $17.91, +80.7% 7d, 19 raw sales in 7d / 88 in 30d, +83.9% vs 30d raw median.
  • Sobble (ME Mega Evolution Promo #054): pullback watch, High confidence (100/100), $9.23, -56.3% 7d, 37 raw sales in 7d / 51 in 30d, -37.4% vs 30d raw median.
  • Shiinotic (SV08 Surging Sparks #194/191): fair value, High confidence (100/100), $3.64, +36.4% 7d, 60 raw sales in 7d / 219 in 30d, -15.5% vs 30d raw median.

Momentum read

Top Movers

  • Sawk leads the public-quality movers at +80.7% over seven days near $17.91.
  • Use it alongside the breadth, volume, and set signals below to judge whether the move has support.

Volume read

Volume Watch

  • Unusual volume activity has been noted for Tepig (ME Mega Evolution Promo #050), which saw a 4.3x increase in sales volume despite a 51.6% price drop to $10.41.
  • This discrepancy signals potential demand shifts, as collectors may be positioning for a rebound.
  • Similarly, Grookey (ME Mega Evolution Promo #052) experienced a 4.1x volume spike, yet its price fell 37.5% to $13.51.

Sector read

Sector Analysis

7-Day Performance vs Market Average

Market Avg
+1.1%
SV White Flare
+10.0%
ME01 Mega Evolution
+4.3%
SV Scarlet and Violet 151
-1.6%
SV09 Journey Toge...
-1.1%
ME03 Perfect Order
-1.0%
  • The SV White Flare (2025) set has outperformed the market with a 7-day average price change of +10%, significantly above the market average of +1.1%.
  • This set has a composite score of 33 and 86 tracked cards, with Sawk leading as the top gainer.
  • In contrast, the ME01 Mega Evolution (2025) set shows a more modest 7-day increase of +4.3%, indicating steady but less aggressive growth compared to SV White Flare.

Price reset

Notable Declines

  • Sobble (ME Mega Evolution Promo #054) is experiencing a significant decline of 56.3% to $9.23, making it a notable candidate for potential buy opportunities given its high trading volume of 51 sales in the last 30 days.
  • Other declining cards include Tepig (ME Mega Evolution Promo #050) and Scorbunny (ME Mega Evolution Promo #053), which are down 51.6% and 43.7%, respectively, suggesting a broader pullback in the Mega Evolution Promo sector.

Set read

Set Spotlight: SV White Flare (2025)

  • The SV White Flare set has shown a robust average 7-day price change of +10%, with a total value of $3,219.55 and 7,678 sales.
  • The set's top card, Sawk, has surged 80.7% in value, reflecting strong collector interest and market momentum.
  • With a composite score of 33, the set demonstrates a healthy trading environment despite the absence of high momentum cards.

Grading read

Grading Watch

PSA 10 Grading Premiums
Raw
$10.00
PSA 10
$755.40
Premium
75.5x
PSA 10 Sales
3
Raw
$5.99
PSA 10
$394.99
Premium
65.9x
PSA 10 Sales
6
Raw
$5.07
PSA 10
$305.99
Premium
60.4x
PSA 10 Sales
7
Raw
$8.98
PSA 10
$480.35
Premium
53.5x
PSA 10 Sales
4
Raw
$5.39
PSA 10
$245.70
Premium
45.6x
PSA 10 Sales
3
Raw
$12.02
PSA 10
$530.48
Premium
44.1x
PSA 10 Sales
13
  • The trend for PSA 10 premiums remains strong, with Hoothoot commanding a remarkable 75.5x premium, priced at $755.40 compared to its raw value of $10.00.
  • Gengar also shows a substantial premium at 65.9x, with PSA 10 sales averaging $394.99 against a raw price of $5.99.
  • These trends indicate a continued collector preference for graded cards, especially for iconic Pokémon.

Fair value read

Fair Value Buys

Undervalued Cards — Fair Value Analysis
Signal
STRONG BUY
Market
$7.41
Fair Value
$39.05
Upside
+427.0%
Confidence
51%
Signal
STRONG BUY
Market
$9.06
Fair Value
$42.63
Upside
+370.5%
Confidence
55%
Signal
STRONG BUY
Market
$11.27
Fair Value
$48.26
Upside
+328.2%
Confidence
67%
Signal
STRONG BUY
Market
$18.73
Fair Value
$70.05
Upside
+274.0%
Confidence
85%
Signal
STRONG BUY
Market
$5.03
Fair Value
$20.15
Upside
+300.6%
Confidence
85%
  • Several undervalued cards present significant upside potential, including Shining Volcanion at $7.10 with a fair value of $67.01 (+843.8% upside) and Nemona at $7.88 with a fair value of $62.95 (+698.9% upside).
  • Darkrai EX is also notable at $12.04, with a fair value of $83.56 (+594.0% upside), suggesting strong buying signals for collectors looking for value.

Set read

Set Value Tracker

Set performers
Total Value
$3,219.55
7d Change
+4.1%
Card Sales
7,678
Total Value
$524.62
7d Change
+2.4%
Card Sales
3,357
Total Value
$720.45
7d Change
+2.1%
Card Sales
3,152
Set laggers
Total Value
$468.19
7d Change
-4.3%
Card Sales
5,516
Total Value
$1,178.52
7d Change
-3.7%
Card Sales
14,177
Total Value
$2,274.99
7d Change
-3.4%
Card Sales
12,396
  • The SV White Flare (2025) set leads with a total value of $3,219.55 and a 7-day change of +4.1%, indicating strong demand and collector interest.
  • In contrast, the ME Mega Evolution Promo (2025) set has seen a total value of $1,178.52, but it has declined by 3.7% over the same period, suggesting weakening interest in this set.

Pack read

Pack Value Breakdown

Best Pack Value — Sealed Product Comparison

Pack-per-dollar plays focus on standard sealed Pokemon TCG products, with seasonal mini-pack products removed from the comparison.

Forward read

Looking Ahead

  • As we move forward, the SV White Flare set remains a focal point for collectors due to its recent performance and positive sentiment.
  • Monitoring cards like Sawk and Golett will be essential as they may indicate broader trends in the market.
  • Additionally, the pullbacks in the Mega Evolution Promo sector could present buying opportunities for savvy collectors, particularly for cards like Sobble and Tepig, which are in a notable decline.

Data notes

Updated from daily price movement, sales volume, set momentum, and card-level market context.

Card prices are context. Review current listing photos, seller details, and live prices before buying.

Market Pulse is generated from PokeLoupe market data and AI-assisted analysis. It is a collector research aid, not financial advice. Signals and picks are informational market commentary, not buy or sell recommendations. Verify condition, seller context, photos, and current marketplace pricing before buying.