Bullish Pokemon TCG market pulse: Market Overview
The Pokémon card market is experiencing a bullish sentiment today, with 984 cards, or 64%, showing gains. In contrast, 551 cards have declined, while 40,876 remain flat. This positive trend is reflected in the historical context, where the market has averaged a 7-day change of +0.2% and a 30-day change of +1.6%. The total number of tracked cards stands at 42,411, indicating robust activity. With only 2% of cards bullish over the past week, the current momentum suggests a potential shift in collector interest towards undervalued cards.
Tracked
42,411
Up
984
Down
551
Top move
+236.7%
Today in one read
The Pokémon card market is experiencing a bullish sentiment today, with 984 cards, or 64%, showing gains. In contrast, 551 cards have declined, while 40,876 remain flat. This positive trend is reflected in the historical context, where the market has averaged a 7-day change of +0.2% and a 30-day change of +1.6%. The total number of tracked cards stands at 42,411, indicating robust activity. With only 2% of cards bullish over the past week, the current momentum suggests a potential shift in collector interest towards undervalued cards.
Signal read
Market Overview
- The Pokémon card market is experiencing a bullish sentiment today, with 984 cards, or 64%, showing gains.
- In contrast, 551 cards have declined, while 40,876 remain flat.
- This positive trend is reflected in the historical context, where the market has averaged a 7-day change of +0.2% and a 30-day change of +1.6%.
Momentum leader
Top Movers
- Drifblim - 006 (Cosmos Holo) leads the public-quality movers at +236.7% over seven days near $4.09.
- Use it alongside the breadth, volume, and set signals below to judge whether the move has support.
Volume watch
Volume Watch
- Unusual volume activity indicates strong demand for several cards.
- Drifblim - 006 (Cosmos Holo) saw a remarkable 4.2x increase in volume, with 31 sales compared to an average of 7, coinciding with its 236.7% price increase.
- Meanwhile, Cyndaquil from ME Mega Evolution Promo also experienced a 4.1x volume spike, now priced at $38.77 after a 53.8% rise, signaling heightened collector interest.
Volume spike
Moltres
Market
N/A
Volume
3.5x
0.0%
7d trendSector map
Sector Analysis
7-Day Performance vs Market Average
- In the past week, SWSH10 Astral Radiance has outperformed the market average with a 7-day change of +6.7%, significantly surpassing the market's +0.2% average.
- This set has a composite score of 2 and includes 353 cards, with Registeel leading as the top gainer at +2289.7%.
- In contrast, SV07 Stellar Crown, with a 7-day change of +4.0%, has also outperformed the market, driven by Slowpoke's impressive 1244.4% increase.
Cooling tape
Notable Declines
- Sobble from ME Mega Evolution Promo has seen a steep decline of 47.4%, now priced at $11.12, raising questions about its long-term value.
- Scorbunny and Tepig are also down 41.0% and 34.8%, respectively, suggesting potential buy opportunities for savvy investors.
- With Sobble's composite score at 27 and a 30-day volume of 28, it may be undervalued in a recovering market.
Price reset
Sobble
Market
$11.12
30d comps
N/A
-47.4%
7d trendSet spotlight
Set Spotlight: SV07 Stellar Crown
- The SV07 Stellar Crown set has shown an average 7-day price change of +4.0%, with 316 cards tracked.
- Despite its low composite score of 2, the set has produced significant individual gains, particularly with Slowpoke's 1244.4% increase.
- The set's overall performance indicates a growing interest, but investors should remain cautious due to the lack of high momentum cards.
Grading watch
Grading Watch
| Card | Raw | PSA 10 | Premium | PSA 10 Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | $9.99 | $755.40 | 75.6x | 3 |
 | $5.99 | $394.99 | 65.9x | 6 |
 | $5.07 | $305.99 | 60.4x | 7 |
 | $11.15 | $655.72 | 58.8x | 5 |
 | $11.99 | $530.48 | 44.2x | 10 |
 | $8.25 | $346.15 | 42.0x | 5 |
- PSA 10 premiums continue to demonstrate strong returns, with Hoothoot achieving a remarkable 75.6x premium, moving from a raw price of $9.99 to $755.40.
- Gengar also shows a solid 65.9x premium, currently valued at $394.99.
- Other cards like Charizard and Pikachu ex exhibit premiums of 60.4x and 58.8x, respectively, indicating that graded cards are becoming increasingly sought after.
Grading signal
Hoothoot
Market
$9.99
30d comps
N/A
N/A
7d trendFair value
Fair Value Buys
| Card | Signal | Market | Fair Value | Upside | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | STRONG BUY | $7.44 | $38.86 | +422.3% | 51% |
 | STRONG BUY | $12.12 | $47.57 | +292.5% | 56% |
 | STRONG BUY | $9.15 | $42.14 | +360.5% | 55% |
 | STRONG BUY | $19.23 | $74.41 | +286.9% | 85% |
 | STRONG BUY | $5.25 | $20.13 | +283.4% | 85% |
- Several undervalued cards present strong upside potential.
- Shining Volcanion is currently priced at $7.15 with a fair value of $66.26, signaling an impressive +826.7% upside and a STRONG_BUY signal with 51% confidence.
- Similarly, Nemona at $8.05 has a fair value of $64.03, representing a +695.4% upside, also marked as a STRONG_BUY with 85% confidence.
Set spotlight
Set Value Tracker
| Set | Cards | 7d Change | Avg Price | Card Sales | Total Value | Sealed Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) | 203.00 | -8.2% | $5.09 | 21,071 | $1,033.09 | 180 |
| SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery (2022) | 30.00 | +4.7% | $21.58 | 3,457 | $647.42 | 0 |
| Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery (2023) | 70.00 | +4.3% | $39.63 | 11,942 | $2,774.20 | 0 |
| Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 (2024) | 30.00 | +3.5% | $0.45 | 92 | $13.57 | 84 |
| SV08 Surging Sparks (2024) | 427.00 | +3.4% | $3.41 | 14,489 | $1,454.57 | 203 |
| My First Battle (2023) | 48.00 | +3.1% | $3.94 | 0 | $188.90 | 0 |
- This week, ME04 Chaos Rising has seen a total value decrease of 8.2%, now standing at $1,033.09, with an average card price of $5.09.
- In contrast, SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery has gained 4.7%, totaling $647.42 with an average price of $21.58 per card.
- The significant sales volume in SWSH11 indicates strong demand, while ME04's decline suggests waning interest, particularly in sealed products.
Pack tape
Pack Value Breakdown
| Market | 30d Sales | Set | Packs | $/Pack | Product |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $6.09 | 26 | ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.09 | Perfect Order Booster Pack |
| $219.63 | 26 | ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 36.00 | 6.10 | Perfect Order Booster Box |
| $233.62 | 18 | ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) | 36.00 | 6.49 | Chaos Rising Booster Box |
| $40.59 | 26 | ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 6.00 | 6.77 | Perfect Order Booster Bundle |
| $250.00 | 24 | ME01 Mega Evolution (2025) | 36.00 | 6.94 | Mega Evolution Half Booster Box |
| $7.20 | 26 | ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 7.20 | Perfect Order Sleeved Booster Pack |
Pack-per-dollar plays focus on standard sealed Pokemon TCG products, with seasonal mini-pack products removed from the comparison.
Forward read
Looking Ahead
- The current bullish sentiment suggests a potential uptick in collector activity, particularly in undervalued cards identified in the fair value section.
- Investors should monitor the performance of sets like SV07 Stellar Crown and SWSH10 Astral Radiance for further opportunities.
- The arbitrage landscape remains lucrative, especially with significant spreads available for high-demand cards.