BullishJun 20, 2026Daily report
Market Sentiment Shifts: 65% of Cards Gain Value as Bullish Momentum Builds
Today’s report highlights a sector rotation with significant gains in the SV Black Bolt set, contrasting with notable declines in the ME Mega Evolution Promo cards.
Tracked
42,411
Up
817
Down
431
Top move
+74.9%
Today in one read
The sector analysis reveals that while the overall market is gaining, certain sets like ME04 Chaos Rising are underperforming, with a 7-day decline of -8.6%. In contrast, sets such as SV Black Bolt and SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery are outperforming th...
Signal read
Market Overview
- The sector analysis reveals that while the overall market is gaining, certain sets like ME04 Chaos Rising are underperforming, with a 7-day decline of -8.6%.
- In contrast, sets such as SV Black Bolt and SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery are outperforming the market average, with respective 7-day changes of +5.7% and +6.2%.
- This divergence highlights the shifting dynamics within the Pokémon card market.
DD picks
Signals Worth Watching
Computed signal
Maractus
Market
$5.98
30d comps
N/A
+74.9%
7d trendComputed Signal Picks
| Card | Angle | Market | 7d Move | 7d Sales | 30d Sales | Confidence | Vs 30d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Confirmed momentum | $5.98 | +74.9% | 24 | 97 | High (100/100) | +12.6% |
 | Grading premium | $9.97 | +42.2% | 118 | 312 | High (100/100) | +24.8% |
 | Fair value | $3.64 | +20.4% | 107 | 504 | High (100/100) | -39.9% |
 | Pullback watch | $14.12 | -34.7% | 58 | 60 | High (100/100) | -62.1% |
 | Collector interest | $11.04 | +7.3% | 19 | 67 | High (99/100) | +2.7% |
- Maractus (SV Black Bolt #093/086): High confidence (100/100), $5.98, +74.9% 7d, confirmed momentum.
- Eiscue ex (SV03 Obsidian Flames #222/197): High confidence (100/100), $9.97, +42.2% 7d, grading premium confirmed.
- Grookey (ME Mega Evolution Promo #052): High confidence (100/100), $14.12, -34.7% 7d, data-backed pullback to watch.
Sector map
Sector Analysis
7-Day Performance vs Market Average
Market Avg
+1.1%
ME04 Chaos Rising
-8.6%
SWSH11 Lost Origi...
+6.2%
SV Black Bolt
+5.7%
Crown Zenith Gala...
+5.1%
SV05 Temporal Forces
+4.5%
- The SV Black Bolt set also showcases resilience with a +5.7% increase over the past week, driven by significant gains from cards like Maractus, which rose by +74.9%.
- The overall performance of these sets suggests a rotation towards newer releases, while older sets may be experiencing a cooling off period.
Momentum leader
Top Movers
- Maractus leads the public-quality movers at +74.9% over seven days near $5.98.
- Use it alongside the breadth, volume, and set signals below to judge whether the move has support.
Volume watch
Volume Watch
- Unusual volume activity has been observed in the ME Mega Evolution Promo cards, particularly Scorbunny, which saw a 4.2x increase in sales volume despite a price drop of -41.0%.
- This spike suggests a potential shift in collector interest or a market correction, warranting close observation for future price movements.
Volume spike
Scorbunny
Market
N/A
Volume
4.2x
-41.0%
7d trendCooling tape
Notable Declines
- The ME Mega Evolution Promo cards are facing significant declines, with Scorbunny down -41.0% to $13.11 and Sobble down -39.4% to $12.82.
- These price reductions may present potential buying opportunities, especially given their fair value context, with many of these cards trading below historical averages.
Signal read
Market Gap Watch
Top Arbitrage Opportunities
| Card | Spread % | Direction | TCG Price | Est. Profit | eBay Median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | +88.2% | eBay → TCGPlayer | $4,249.99 | $3,749.99 | $500.00 |
 | +64.1% | eBay → TCGPlayer | $3,998.99 | $2,561.49 | $1,437.50 |
 | +88.4% | eBay → TCGPlayer | $2,146.38 | $1,896.38 | $250.00 |
- Arbitrage opportunities are prevalent, particularly with Shining Tyranitar priced at $4249.99 on TCGPlayer compared to an eBay median of $500.00, indicating an 88.2% spread.
- This suggests a significant profit potential for collectors who can navigate these price discrepancies effectively.
Supporting cards
Card spotlight
Shining Tyranitar
Market
$4,249.99
30d comps
N/A
N/A
7d trendSet spotlight
Set Spotlight: SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery
- This set has experienced a 7-day average price change of +6.2%, with a composite score of 33.
- The top card, Chandelure, has notably increased by +45.6%, reflecting strong collector demand.
- The set consists of 20 tracked cards, none of which currently exhibit high momentum, indicating a stable market position.
Grading watch
Grading Watch
PSA 10 Grading Premiums
| Card | Raw | PSA 10 | Premium | PSA 10 Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | $9.99 | $755.40 | 75.6x | 3 |
 | $5.99 | $394.99 | 65.9x | 6 |
 | $5.07 | $305.99 | 60.4x | 7 |
 | $11.15 | $655.72 | 58.8x | 5 |
 | $11.99 | $530.48 | 44.2x | 10 |
 | $8.25 | $346.15 | 42.0x | 5 |
- PSA 10 premiums remain strong, with Hoothoot commanding a remarkable 75.6x premium, priced at $755.40 for a PSA 10 compared to a raw price of $9.99.
- Other notable cards include Gengar, with a 65.9x premium, and Charizard, at a 60.4x premium, indicating that grading continues to provide substantial returns for collectors.
Grading signal
Hoothoot
Market
$9.99
30d comps
N/A
N/A
7d trendFair value
Fair Value Buys
Undervalued Cards — Fair Value Analysis
| Card | Signal | Market | Fair Value | Upside | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | STRONG BUY | $7.38 | $38.86 | +426.6% | 51% |
 | STRONG BUY | $8.83 | $42.16 | +377.5% | 55% |
 | STRONG BUY | $11.25 | $47.87 | +325.5% | 67% |
 | STRONG BUY | $9.80 | $40.29 | +311.1% | 67% |
 | STRONG BUY | $5.68 | $22.53 | +296.7% | 85% |
- Several undervalued cards present strong buying signals, including Shining Volcanion at $7.15 with a +826.7% upside, and Nemona at $7.73 with a +727.4% upside.
- Both cards carry STRONG_BUY signals with confidence levels of 51% and 85%, respectively, suggesting significant potential for appreciation.
Set spotlight
Set Value Tracker
Set Value Changes (7 Day)
| Set | Cards | 7d Change | Avg Price | Card Sales | Total Value | Sealed Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) | 26.00 | -7.7% | $37.59 | 20,242 | $977.35 | 180 |
| SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery (2022) | 20.00 | +5.1% | $30.90 | 3,458 | $618.02 | 0 |
| Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery (2023) | 60.00 | +4.6% | $45.61 | 11,351 | $2,736.41 | 0 |
| SWSH12 Silver Tempest Trainer Gallery (2022) | 21.00 | +3.6% | $24.77 | 3,348 | $520.08 | 0 |
| SV08 Surging Sparks (2024) | 41.00 | +3.1% | $32.36 | 8,006 | $1,326.96 | 203 |
| SV Black Bolt (2025) | 91.00 | +2.8% | $40.52 | 7,409 | $3,687.64 | 204 |
- The SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery has gained a total value of $618.02 this week, with an average price of $30.90 per card.
- In contrast, ME04 Chaos Rising has lost total value, down to $977.35, averaging $37.59 per card.
- The disparity in performance highlights the demand for newer sets over older ones, particularly in sealed product sales.
Pack tape
Pack Value Breakdown
Best Pack Value — Sealed Product Comparison
| Market | 30d Sales | Set | Packs | $/Pack | Product |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2.37 | 17 | Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 (2024) | 6.00 | 0.40 | Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 - Mini Booster Pack |
| $219.38 | 26 | ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 36.00 | 6.09 | Perfect Order Booster Box |
| $6.12 | 26 | ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.12 | Perfect Order Booster Pack |
| $235.03 | 18 | ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) | 36.00 | 6.53 | Chaos Rising Booster Box |
| $39.91 | 26 | ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 6.00 | 6.65 | Perfect Order Booster Bundle |
| $250.00 | 24 | ME01 Mega Evolution (2025) | 36.00 | 6.94 | Mega Evolution Half Booster Box |
- The Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 offers the best value at $0.40 per pack, significantly lower than the ME04 Chaos Rising Booster Box at $6.53 per pack.
- This price disparity suggests a strategic advantage for collectors seeking the most cost-effective entry into the market.
Forward read
Looking Ahead
- As the market continues to show bullish sentiment, collectors should monitor the SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery and SV Black Bolt sets for further gains.
- The notable declines in the ME Mega Evolution Promo cards may also present strategic buying opportunities.
- Observing volume spikes and grading trends will be crucial for identifying potential market shifts in the coming weeks.