Bullish Pokemon TCG market pulse
Top-mover data crossed the public outlier threshold; this report focuses on market breadth until the source signal is clean.
Tracked
42,374
Up
990
Down
554
Top move
Under review
Today in one read
PokeLoupe suppressed the stored top-mover candidate from this report because its seven-day move was at or above the 500% public quality threshold. Use the market breadth, volume, set, and table signals while the source row is reviewed.
Signal 1 / Signal read
Top mover data under review
PokeLoupe suppressed the stored top-mover candidate from this report because its seven-day move was at or above the 500% public quality threshold. Use the market breadth, volume, set, and table signals while the source row is reviewed.
Signal 2 / Signal read
Market Overview
Today's market sentiment is decidedly bullish, with 990 cards up (64%), 554 cards down, and 40,830 remaining flat, reflecting a total of 42,374 tracked cards. Over the past week, the average market change is a modest +0.2%, but the 30-day trajectory shows a stronger +1.8%. Historical context reveals that only 2% of cards have gained in the last week, while 3% have done so over the past month, indicating selective strength in certain segments.
Signal 3 / Volume watch
Volume Watch
Unusual trading volume was observed for Drifblim - 006, which experienced a 4.2x increase in sales, indicating strong demand and investor interest as its price surged by +236.7%. Additionally, Hilda from the SV White Flare set saw a dramatic 4.3x volume spike, suggesting potential future value appreciation as collectors take notice.
Signal 4 / Sector map
Sector Analysis
7-Day Performance vs Market Average
SWSH10 Astral Radiance (2022) has outperformed the market average with a 7-day change of +6.7%, significantly beating the overall market's +0.2%. This set boasts an average card price of $14.96, with a total value of $448.66 from 30 cards sold, indicating strong collector interest. In contrast, ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) has seen a decline of -4.6% over the past week, with an average card price of $5.48, suggesting that this set may be losing traction among investors. Meanwhile, SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery (2022) also outperformed the market with a +4.2% change, highlighting the strength of certain cards like Chandelure, which gained +45.6%.
Signal 5 / Cooling tape
Notable Declines
Several cards have seen significant declines, presenting potential buy opportunities. Mist Energy dropped -37.4% to $5.57, while Roxie's Performance fell -33.7% to $3.84. These declines could represent undervalued assets, particularly if their fair values are reassessed positively in the near future.
Signal 6 / Set spotlight
Set Spotlight: SWSH10 Astral Radiance
This set has shown resilience with an average 7-day price change of +6.7% and a total value of $448.66. The top card, Path to the Peak (Secret), remains a focal point for collectors, while the set's overall performance indicates a healthy trading environment, supported by 1,628 card sales.
Signal 7 / Grading watch
Grading Watch
| Card | Raw | PSA 10 | Premium | PSA 10 Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | $5.99 | $394.99 | 65.9x | 6 |
 | $9.50 | $549.99 | 57.9x | 5 |
 | $10.01 | $526.96 | 52.6x | 6 |
 | $11.94 | $528.24 | 44.2x | 9 |
 | $8.81 | $385.99 | 43.8x | 3 |
| $6.82 | $287.00 | 42.1x | 6 |
The premium for PSA 10 graded cards remains robust, with Gengar achieving a staggering 65.9x premium, translating to $394.99 from a raw price of $5.99. Litten also shows a strong return with a 57.9x premium, making these cards prime candidates for grading investment.
Signal 8 / Fair value
Fair Value Buys
| Card | Signal | Market | Fair Value | Upside | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | STRONG BUY | $7.08 | $65.85 | +830.1% | 51% |
 | STRONG BUY | $7.69 | $62.80 | +716.6% | 85% |
 | STRONG BUY | $6.02 | $43.39 | +620.8% | 53% |
 | STRONG BUY | $11.79 | $83.36 | +607.0% | 55% |
 | STRONG BUY | $10.07 | $65.40 | +549.5% | 85% |
 | STRONG BUY | $7.80 | $38.65 | +395.5% | 51% |
Several undervalued cards present strong upside potential, including Shining Volcanion at $7.08, with a fair value of $65.85, indicating an 830.1% upside. Similarly, Nemona at $7.69 has a fair value of $62.80, suggesting a 716.6% upside, making these cards compelling additions to any portfolio.
Signal 9 / Set spotlight
Set Value Tracker
| Set | Cards | 7d Change | Avg Price | Card Sales | Total Value | Sealed Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery (2022) | 30.00 | +4.8% | $20.68 | 3,518 | $620.50 | 0 |
| ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) | 203.00 | -4.6% | $5.48 | 20,633 | $1,111.67 | 180 |
| SWSH10 Astral Radiance Trainer Gallery (2022) | 30.00 | +4.2% | $14.96 | 1,628 | $448.66 | 0 |
| SWSH11 Lost Origin (2022) | 378.00 | +4.2% | $3.88 | 935 | $1,466.51 | 14 |
| SV Paldean Fates (2024) | 340.00 | +3.6% | $8.68 | 5,109 | $2,951.63 | 18 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 210.00 | -3.1% | $4.14 | 13,398 | $868.46 | 313 |
SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery has gained the most total value this week, with a total value of $620.50, reflecting a +4.8% change. In contrast, ME04 Chaos Rising has lost value, totaling $1,111.67 with a -4.6% change, indicating a potential shift in collector focus towards sets with stronger performance metrics.
Signal 10 / Pack tape
Pack Value Breakdown
| Market | 30d Sales | Set | Packs | $/Pack | Product |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2.48 | 17 | Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 (2024) | 6.00 | 0.41 | Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 - Mini Booster Pack |
| $217.18 | 26 | ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 36.00 | 6.03 | Perfect Order Booster Box |
| $6.39 | 26 | ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.39 | Perfect Order Booster Pack |
| $234.85 | 18 | ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) | 36.00 | 6.52 | Chaos Rising Booster Box |
| $6.80 | 26 | ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.80 | Perfect Order Sleeved Booster Pack |
| $250.00 | 24 | ME01 Mega Evolution (2025) | 36.00 | 6.94 | Mega Evolution Half Booster Box |
The Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 offers the best value at $2.48 for 6 packs, translating to just $0.41 per pack. In comparison, the Perfect Order Booster Box (ME03) is priced at $217.18 for 36 packs, equating to $6.03 per pack, making it less attractive for budget-conscious collectors.
Signal 11 / Forward read
Looking Ahead
Investors should monitor the SWSH10 Astral Radiance set for continued momentum, while also exploring undervalued cards like Shining Volcanion and Nemona for potential high returns. The arbitrage opportunities present a lucrative avenue for profit, particularly in high-demand cards, suggesting a dynamic trading environment ahead.