Market Surges with 65% of Cards Rising; Archaludon Leads with 1580% Gain
Bullish sentiment dominates as collectors spotlight key cards and arbitrage opportunities.
Tracked
42,353
Up
1,018
Down
537
Top move
+1580.0%
Today in one read
The Pokémon card market is exhibiting strong bullish sentiment today, with 1018 cards (65%) showing upward movement, while only 537 cards are declining. The total number of tracked cards stands at 42,353, reflecting a vibrant trading environment. Historical...
Signal 1 / Signal read
Market Overview
The Pokémon card market is exhibiting strong bullish sentiment today, with 1018 cards (65%) showing upward movement, while only 537 cards are declining. The total number of tracked cards stands at 42,353, reflecting a vibrant trading environment. Historical context shows a market average 7-day change of +0.2% and a 30-day change of +1.8%, indicating a slight upward trend overall. The current market dynamics suggest a robust interest in specific cards, particularly those from recent sets.
Signal 2 / Momentum leader
Top Movers
Leading the charge this week is Archaludon (Master Ball Pattern) from the SV Prismatic Evolutions set, skyrocketing to $4.85 with an astonishing 1580.0% increase. Drifblim - 006 (Cosmos Holo) follows closely at $4.62, up 236.7%. Notable mentions include Ditto (SV Scarlet and Violet 151) at $3.21 (+142.6%) and Meowscarada ex (SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards) at $7.76 (+69.4%), showcasing significant momentum in the market.
Signal 3 / Volume watch
Volume Watch
Unusual trading activity has been noted, particularly with Drifblim - 006 (Cosmos Holo), which experienced a volume spike of 4.2x its normal sales, indicating heightened demand. Hilda (SV White Flare) also saw a volume increase of 4.3x, suggesting collectors are actively seeking these cards. Such spikes often precede price adjustments, signaling potential future gains.
Signal 4 / Sector map
Sector Analysis
7-Day Performance vs Market Average
The SWSH10 Astral Radiance set is outperforming the overall market with a 7-day price change of +6.7%, significantly above the market average of +0.2%. This set, comprising 353 cards, has a composite score of 2 and has recorded 962 sales, with Machamp VMAX being the standout card. In contrast, the SV Prismatic Evolutions set, while showing a 7-day change of +3.8%, has a higher composite score of 4 but is lagging in sales volume compared to Astral Radiance. The SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery set also outperformed with a +4.1% increase, indicating a strong interest in Trainer Gallery cards, particularly Chandelure which gained 52.9%.
Signal 5 / Cooling tape
Notable Declines
Several cards have experienced notable declines, presenting potential buy opportunities for savvy investors. Mist Energy has dropped to $5.65, down 41.6%, while Archeops - 051 (Fossil Museum Exclusive) fell to $70.64, down 34.3%. Such declines, especially in cards with established popularity, could signal undervalued assets ready for a rebound.
Signal 6 / Set spotlight
Set Spotlight: SWSH10 Astral Radiance
The SWSH10 Astral Radiance set continues to shine, with an average 7-day price change of +6.7%. This set includes 353 cards, with Machamp VMAX leading the charge. Despite its low composite score of 2, the set's strong sales volume and positive price momentum make it a focal point for collectors and investors alike.
Signal 7 / Grading watch
Grading Watch
| Card | Premium | RAW Price | PSA 10 Price | PSA 10 Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pikachu ex (Pikachu 60) | 77.8x | 9.99 | 777.48 | 4.00 |
| Gengar | 65.9x | 5.99 | 394.99 | 6.00 |
| Charizard | 61.0x | 5.02 | 305.99 | 5.00 |
| Litten | 57.4x | 9.68 | 555.99 | 4.00 |
| Rowlet | 43.2x | 8.93 | 385.99 | 3.00 |
| N's Zekrom | 43.2x | 11.94 | 515.99 | 7.00 |
PSA 10 premiums are showing promising trends, particularly for Pikachu ex (Pikachu 60), which commands a staggering 77.8x premium with a PSA 10 price of $777.48 from a raw price of $9.99. Gengar also demonstrates strong potential with a 65.9x premium, highlighting the lucrative returns on graded cards. Investors should consider these cards for grading, as the market continues to reward high-quality specimens.
Signal 8 / Fair value
Fair Value Buys
| Card | Signal | Upside % | Confidence | Fair Value | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shining Volcanion | STRONG_BUY | 815.80 | 51% | 64.47 | 7.04 |
| Nemona | STRONG_BUY | 738.60 | 85% | 62.39 | 7.44 |
| Ho-Oh EX | STRONG_BUY | 620.90 | 53% | 43.40 | 6.02 |
| Darkrai EX | STRONG_BUY | 606.50 | 55% | 83.30 | 11.79 |
| Arven | STRONG_BUY | 545.60 | 85% | 65.08 | 10.08 |
| Silvally GX | STRONG_BUY | 399.10 | 55% | 42.32 | 8.48 |
Several undervalued cards present strong buying opportunities, including Shining Volcanion at $7.04, which has a fair value of $64.47, indicating an upside of +815.8%. Similarly, Nemona at $7.44 shows a fair value of $62.39 (+738.6% upside). These cards, along with Ho-Oh EX and Darkrai EX, are rated with STRONG_BUY signals, suggesting they are ripe for investment.
Signal 9 / Set spotlight
Set Value Tracker
| Set | Cards | 7d Change | Avg Price | Card Sales | Total Value | Sealed Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) | 203.00 | -6.00 | 5.54 | 20,229 | 1,124.98 | 180.00 |
| SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery (2022) | 30.00 | 4.90 | 20.67 | 3,542 | 620.07 | 0 |
| SWSH10 Astral Radiance Trainer Gallery (2022) | 30.00 | 4.80 | 14.81 | 1,625 | 444.35 | 0 |
| SV Paldean Fates (2024) | 340.00 | 4.20 | 8.62 | 5,242 | 2,931.71 | 18.00 |
| SWSH11 Lost Origin (2022) | 378.00 | 4.10 | 3.86 | 898.00 | 1,458.09 | 14.00 |
| SV Scarlet and Violet 151 (2023) | 368.00 | 3.90 | 7.02 | 13,841 | 2,581.97 | 37.00 |
In the past week, the ME04 Chaos Rising set saw a total value decline of 6% to $1,124.98, while the SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery gained 4.9%, reaching a total value of $620.07. The SWSH10 Astral Radiance Trainer Gallery also increased by 4.8%, indicating a strong demand for sealed products, as evidenced by the 1,625 card sales in that set.
Signal 10 / Pack tape
Pack Value Breakdown
| Set | Packs | Price | $/Pack | Product | 30d Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 (2024) | 6.00 | 2.45 | 0.41 | Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 - Mini Booster Pack | 17.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 36.00 | 210.64 | 5.85 | Perfect Order Booster Box | 26.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.43 | 6.43 | Perfect Order Booster Pack | 26.00 |
| ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) | 36.00 | 233.49 | 6.49 | Chaos Rising Booster Box | 18.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 6.00 | 41.37 | 6.90 | Perfect Order Booster Bundle | 26.00 |
| ME01 Mega Evolution (2025) | 36.00 | 250.00 | 6.94 | Mega Evolution Half Booster Box | 24.00 |
The Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 offers the best value at $0.41 per pack, significantly lower than the Perfect Order Booster Box at $5.85 per pack. This price advantage makes the Trick or Trade bundle an attractive option for collectors looking to maximize their investment per pack.
Signal 11 / Forward read
Looking Ahead
As the market maintains its bullish sentiment, investors should closely monitor the SWSH10 Astral Radiance and SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery sets for continued growth. The arbitrage opportunities, particularly for high-demand cards like Shining Tyranitar and Charizard, present actionable strategies for profit. Collectors should also consider the undervalued cards highlighted in the fair value section as potential long-term investments.