Victini Soars 7490% as Market Sentiment Turns Bullish
A surge in card values signals a strong demand shift in the Pokémon card market.
Tracked
42,331
Up
1,041
Down
528
Top move
+7490.0%
Today in one read
The Pokémon card market is experiencing a bullish sentiment with 1041 cards up (66%), 528 cards down, and 40,762 flat, indicating a robust demand shift among collectors and investors. The total tracked cards stand at 42,331, showcasing a healthy market dyna...
Signal 1 / Signal read
Market Overview
The Pokémon card market is experiencing a bullish sentiment with 1041 cards up (66%), 528 cards down, and 40,762 flat, indicating a robust demand shift among collectors and investors. The total tracked cards stand at 42,331, showcasing a healthy market dynamic. Historical context reveals a market average 7-day change of +7.6% and a 30-day change of +1.9%, highlighting a significant uptick in activity and interest in specific sets.
Signal 2 / Momentum leader
Top Movers
Leading the charge this week is Victini (Master Ball Pattern) (SV Black Bolt #012/086), skyrocketing to $22.77 with a staggering 7490.0% increase. Following closely is Musharna (Master Ball Pattern) (SV Black Bolt #036/086) at $34.29, up 6023.2%. Other notable gainers include Swadloon (Master Ball Pattern) (SV White Flare #002/086) at $20.15, up 5202.6%, and Timburr (Master Ball Pattern) (SV Black Bolt #047/086) at $13.71, up 4796.4%.
Signal 3 / Volume watch
Volume Watch
Unusual volume spikes are evident, particularly for Hilda (SV White Flare), which saw a 4.3x increase in sales (61 vs. avg 14), suggesting heightened collector interest. Drifblim - 006 (Cosmos Holo) (ME Mega Evolution Promo) also experienced a 4.2x volume surge with a price increase of 236.7%, indicating strong demand for this card.
Signal 4 / Sector map
Sector Analysis
7-Day Performance vs Market Average
The SV Black Bolt (2025) set is outperforming the market significantly, with an average 7-day price change of +304.6%, far exceeding the overall market average of +7.6%. This set features 424 cards with a composite score of 9, indicating strong collector interest. The top gainer, Victini, exemplifies this trend with a 7490.0% increase, suggesting that cards from this set are highly sought after. In contrast, the ME Mega Evolution Promo (2025) is underperforming, with an average 7-day change of -10.4%, indicating a decline in collector interest and potential sell-off, particularly with cards like Fennekin dropping 91.1%.
Signal 5 / Cooling tape
Notable Declines
Several cards have seen significant declines, presenting potential buy opportunities. Fennekin (ME Mega Evolution Promo #080) is down to $5.46, a staggering 91.1% drop, while Alakazam (ME Mega Evolution Promo #003) has fallen to $21.05, down 88.1%. Given their historical value, these cards may present attractive entry points for collectors looking to capitalize on future rebounds.
Signal 6 / Set spotlight
Set Spotlight: SV Black Bolt (2025)
The SV Black Bolt set has demonstrated remarkable performance, with an average 7-day price change of +304.6% and a total of 424 cards tracked. The top card, Cryogonal, reflects the set's overall strength, contributing to its composite score of 9. This set's impressive performance is underscored by the significant sales volume of 8,872, indicating strong collector demand and market confidence.
Signal 7 / Grading watch
Grading Watch
| Card | Premium | RAW Price | PSA 10 Price | PSA 10 Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pikachu ex (Pikachu 60) | 78.0x | 9.99 | 779.23 | 5.00 |
| Gengar | 65.9x | 5.99 | 394.99 | 6.00 |
| Charizard | 61.1x | 5.01 | 305.99 | 6.00 |
| Litten | 57.1x | 9.73 | 555.99 | 4.00 |
| N's Zekrom | 43.7x | 11.82 | 515.99 | 8.00 |
| Rowlet | 43.1x | 8.95 | 385.99 | 3.00 |
PSA 10 premiums are soaring, with Pikachu ex (Pikachu 60) achieving a remarkable 78.0x premium, selling for $779.23 from a raw price of $9.99. Gengar follows with a 65.9x premium at $394.99, while Charizard commands a 61.1x premium at $305.99. These trends indicate a strong return on investment for graded cards, making them attractive options for collectors looking to maximize value.
Signal 8 / Fair value
Fair Value Buys
| Card | Signal | Upside % | Confidence | Fair Value | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shining Volcanion | STRONG_BUY | 801.10 | 51% | 64.43 | 7.15 |
| Nemona | STRONG_BUY | 730.70 | 85% | 60.81 | 7.32 |
| Ho-Oh EX | STRONG_BUY | 646.70 | 53% | 43.31 | 5.80 |
| Darkrai EX | STRONG_BUY | 535.20 | 55% | 83.66 | 13.17 |
| Arven | STRONG_BUY | 531.20 | 85% | 63.56 | 10.07 |
| Flaaffy (Secret) | STRONG_BUY | 393.60 | 51% | 38.55 | 7.81 |
Several cards are currently undervalued, presenting strong buy signals. Shining Volcanion is priced at $7.15 with a fair value of $64.43, indicating an upside potential of +801.1%. Similarly, Nemona at $7.32 has a fair value of $60.81 (+730.7% upside), and Ho-Oh EX at $5.80 has a fair value of $43.31 (+646.7% upside). These cards represent compelling investment opportunities for discerning collectors.
Signal 9 / Set spotlight
Set Value Tracker
| Set | Cards | 7d Change | Avg Price | Card Sales | Total Value | Sealed Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ME Mega Evolution Promo (2025) | 89.00 | -22.80 | 31.67 | 14,250 | 2,818.64 | 0 |
| SV Black Bolt (2025) | 424.00 | 20.80 | 9.98 | 8,872 | 4,230.99 | 242.00 |
| SV White Flare (2025) | 411.00 | 19.40 | 9.07 | 8,917 | 3,728.92 | 165.00 |
| SV Prismatic Evolutions (2025) | 456.00 | 9.90 | 13.15 | 13,558 | 5,998.42 | 232.00 |
| ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) | 203.00 | -6.40 | 5.67 | 19,499 | 1,150.76 | 160.00 |
| SWSH10 Astral Radiance Trainer Gallery (2022) | 30.00 | 6.00 | 14.62 | 1,450 | 438.51 | 0 |
This week, the SV Black Bolt set gained a total value of $4,230.99, reflecting a 20.8% increase, while the ME Mega Evolution Promo set lost $2818.64, down 22.8%. The average card price for SV Black Bolt is $9.98, with strong sealed product sales of 242, indicating healthy demand. In contrast, the ME Mega Evolution Promo set's declining average price of $31.67 and lack of sealed sales suggest waning interest.
Signal 10 / Pack tape
Pack Value Breakdown
| Set | Packs | Price | $/Pack | Product | 30d Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 (2024) | 6.00 | 2.32 | 0.39 | Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 - Mini Booster Pack | 21.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 36.00 | 202.54 | 5.63 | Perfect Order Booster Box | 30.00 |
| ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) | 36.00 | 233.54 | 6.49 | Chaos Rising Booster Box | 16.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.57 | 6.57 | Perfect Order Booster Pack | 30.00 |
| ME01 Mega Evolution (2025) | 36.00 | 250.00 | 6.94 | Mega Evolution Half Booster Box | 28.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 6.00 | 42.06 | 7.01 | Perfect Order Booster Bundle | 30.00 |
The Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 offers the best value at $2.32 for 6 packs, equating to $0.39 per pack. In comparison, the Perfect Order Booster Box (ME03 Perfect Order 2026) is priced at $202.54 for 36 packs, resulting in a higher cost of $5.63 per pack. Collectors should consider these options for maximizing value when purchasing sealed products.
Signal 11 / Forward read
Looking Ahead
As the Pokémon card market continues to show bullish trends, particularly in sets like SV Black Bolt, investors should monitor the momentum of high-performing cards and look for potential rebounds in declining cards like Fennekin and Alakazam. The arbitrage opportunities present a compelling case for strategic buying on eBay, especially for undervalued cards. Overall, the market signals a vibrant environment for collectors and investors alike.