Victini Soars 7325.8%: Market Sentiment Hits Bullish Highs
The Pokémon card market shows strong upward momentum with 64% of tracked cards gaining value.
Tracked
41,972
Up
993
Down
563
Top move
+7325.8%
Today in one read
Today, the Pokémon card market is experiencing a bullish sentiment, with 993 cards up (64%), 563 cards down, and 40,416 remaining flat. The total number of tracked cards stands at 41,972. Historical context reveals that the market average has seen a 7-day c...
Signal 1 / Signal read
Market Overview
Today, the Pokémon card market is experiencing a bullish sentiment, with 993 cards up (64%), 563 cards down, and 40,416 remaining flat. The total number of tracked cards stands at 41,972. Historical context reveals that the market average has seen a 7-day change of +7.6% and a 30-day change of +1.9%. Notably, only 2% of cards have shown bullish momentum over the past week, indicating a selective rally among specific cards.
Signal 2 / Momentum leader
Top Movers
Leading the charge this week is Victini (Master Ball Pattern) (SV Black Bolt #012/086), which has skyrocketed to $23.02, marking an astonishing increase of 7325.8%. Following closely is Musharna (Master Ball Pattern) (SV Black Bolt #036/086) at $33.20, up 5828.6%. Other significant gainers include Swadloon (Master Ball Pattern) (SV White Flare #002/086) at $20.65 (+5334.2%) and Timburr (Master Ball Pattern) (SV Black Bolt #047/086) at $13.46 (+4707.1%).
Supporting cards
Signal 3 / Volume watch
Volume Watch
Unusual volume spikes indicate heightened demand for several cards. Gardevoir (SWSH10 Astral Radiance Trainer Gallery) saw a 3.6x increase in volume with a price rise of 17.0%. Drifblim - 006 (Cosmos Holo) (ME Mega Evolution Promo) experienced a remarkable 4.2x volume surge, resulting in a price hike of 236.7%. Such activity suggests increasing collector interest, particularly in cards from the Mega Evolution and Trainer Gallery sets.
Signal 4 / Sector map
Sector Analysis
7-Day Performance vs Market Average
The SV Black Bolt (2025) set is outperforming the market significantly, with an average 7-day price change of +301.8%, vastly exceeding the market average of +7.6%. This set has a composite score of 9 and has recorded 8,875 sales, demonstrating robust collector engagement. In contrast, the ME Mega Evolution Promo (2025) set is underperforming, showing a 7-day decline of -10%, with a total value of $2,821.96 and an average price per card of $31.71. This stark contrast highlights the growing preference for newer sets over older ones, as collectors seek high-value cards in trending sets like SV Black Bolt and SV White Flare, which also posted a +270.7% change this week.
Signal 5 / Cooling tape
Notable Declines
Several cards are experiencing significant declines, presenting potential buying opportunities. Magneton (SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards #159) has dropped to $9.17, down 87.5%, while Snorlax (SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards #051) is down 92.2% at $23.68. These price drops could indicate undervaluation, especially considering the overall market's bullish sentiment. Investors should consider these cards for potential rebounds as market conditions stabilize.
Signal 6 / Set spotlight
Set Spotlight: SV Black Bolt (2025)
The SV Black Bolt (2025) set has emerged as a frontrunner, with an average 7-day price change of +301.8% and a total of 424 cards tracked. The top card, Klink, reflects the set's overall strength, while the set boasts a composite score of 9. With no cards exhibiting high momentum, the current gains are driven by a select few high-demand cards, indicating a potential for future growth as collectors focus on this set.
Signal 7 / Grading watch
Grading Watch
| Card | Premium | RAW Price | PSA 10 Price | PSA 10 Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pikachu ex (Pikachu 60) | 78.0x | 9.99 | 779.23 | 5.00 |
| Gengar | 65.9x | 5.99 | 394.99 | 6.00 |
| Charizard | 61.1x | 5.01 | 305.99 | 6.00 |
| Litten | 57.1x | 9.73 | 555.99 | 4.00 |
| N's Zekrom | 43.7x | 11.82 | 515.99 | 8.00 |
| Rowlet | 43.1x | 8.95 | 385.99 | 3.00 |
PSA 10 premiums continue to demonstrate significant potential for returns. For instance, Pikachu ex (Pikachu 60) has a raw value of $9.99, translating to a PSA 10 value of $779.23, reflecting a staggering 78.0x premium. Other notable cards include Gengar, with a raw price of $5.99 and a PSA 10 value of $394.99 (65.9x premium), and Charizard, which commands $305.99 in PSA 10 form from a $5.01 raw price (61.1x premium). These trends indicate strong demand for graded cards, making them a strategic investment for collectors.
Signal 8 / Fair value
Fair Value Buys
| Card | Signal | Upside % | Confidence | Fair Value | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shining Volcanion | STRONG_BUY | 792.70 | 51% | 64.45 | 7.22 |
| Nemona | STRONG_BUY | 744.50 | 85% | 60.72 | 7.19 |
| Ho-Oh EX | STRONG_BUY | 646.70 | 53% | 43.31 | 5.80 |
| Darkrai EX | STRONG_BUY | 611.70 | 55% | 83.27 | 11.70 |
| Arven | STRONG_BUY | 528.20 | 85% | 63.51 | 10.11 |
| Flaaffy (Secret) | STRONG_BUY | 395.40 | 51% | 38.49 | 7.77 |
Several undervalued cards present strong buying signals. Shining Volcanion, currently priced at $7.22, has a fair value estimate of $64.45, indicating a potential upside of +792.7%. Similarly, Nemona at $7.19 has a fair value of $60.72 (+744.5% upside), and Ho-Oh EX at $5.80 has a fair value of $43.31 (+646.7% upside). These cards are rated with STRONG_BUY signals, suggesting that investors should act quickly to capitalize on these opportunities.
Signal 9 / Set spotlight
Set Value Tracker
| Set | Cards | 7d Change | Avg Price | Card Sales | Total Value | Sealed Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ME Mega Evolution Promo (2025) | 89.00 | -22.90 | 31.71 | 14,250 | 2,821.96 | 0 |
| SV Black Bolt (2025) | 424.00 | 20.50 | 9.93 | 8,875 | 4,210.88 | 242.00 |
| SV White Flare (2025) | 411.00 | 19.40 | 9.05 | 8,917 | 3,717.86 | 165.00 |
| SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards (2023) | 290.00 | -15.80 | 28.73 | 10,144 | 8,330.91 | 0 |
| SV Prismatic Evolutions (2025) | 456.00 | 9.70 | 13.13 | 13,558 | 5,986.46 | 232.00 |
| ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) | 202.00 | -6.80 | 5.73 | 19,499 | 1,157.31 | 160.00 |
This week, the SV Black Bolt (2025) set gained a total value of $4,210.88, reflecting a 20.5% increase, with an average card price of $9.93. In contrast, the ME Mega Evolution Promo (2025) set saw a total value decline of -22.9%, now at $2,821.96, with an average price of $31.71 per card. Strong sealed product demand is evident in the SV Black Bolt set, which recorded 242 sealed sales, indicating a healthy collector interest compared to the ME Mega Evolution set, which has not seen any sealed sales.
Signal 10 / Pack tape
Pack Value Breakdown
| Set | Packs | Price | $/Pack | Product | 30d Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 (2024) | 6.00 | 2.12 | 0.35 | Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 - Mini Booster Pack | 21.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 36.00 | 220.39 | 6.12 | Perfect Order Booster Box | 30.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.36 | 6.36 | Perfect Order Booster Pack | 30.00 |
| ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) | 36.00 | 234.07 | 6.50 | Chaos Rising Booster Box | 16.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.93 | 6.93 | Perfect Order Sleeved Booster Pack | 30.00 |
| ME01 Mega Evolution (2025) | 36.00 | 250.00 | 6.94 | Mega Evolution Half Booster Box | 28.00 |
The Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 offers the best value at $0.35 per pack, priced at $2.12 for six packs. In contrast, the Perfect Order Booster Box (ME03 Perfect Order 2026) costs $220.39 for 36 packs, translating to $6.12 per pack. This analysis suggests that collectors seeking value should prioritize products like the Trick or Trade bundle, which provides a cost-effective entry into the market.
Signal 11 / Forward read
Looking Ahead
As the market continues to show bullish sentiment, collectors should monitor sets like SV Black Bolt and SV White Flare for further gains. The current wave of momentum in specific cards, such as Victini and Musharna, indicates that targeted investments could yield substantial returns. Additionally, the arbitrage opportunities present a compelling case for active trading strategies, particularly in the eBay to TCGPlayer direction. Investors should remain vigilant for emerging trends and potential rebounds in undervalued cards.