Market Surges: SV Black Bolt Set Gains 310.7% in 7 Days
A bullish sentiment drives significant price movements across the Pokémon card market.
Tracked
41,964
Up
1,157
Down
479
Top move
+7235.5%
Today in one read
The Pokémon card market is experiencing a bullish sentiment, with 71% of the 41,964 tracked cards showing price increases. Historical context reveals a 7-day average market change of +7.4% and a 30-day change of +1.9%. The current trading environment is cha...
Signal 1 / Signal read
Market Overview
The Pokémon card market is experiencing a bullish sentiment, with 71% of the 41,964 tracked cards showing price increases. Historical context reveals a 7-day average market change of +7.4% and a 30-day change of +1.9%. The current trading environment is characterized by 1,157 cards increasing in value, while only 479 cards have decreased, indicating strong demand and investor confidence.
Signal 2 / Momentum leader
Top Movers
Leading the charge this week is Victini (Master Ball Pattern) (SV Black Bolt #012/086), skyrocketing to $22.74, up an astonishing 7,235.5%. Following closely, Musharna (Master Ball Pattern) (SV Black Bolt #036/086) reached $32.70, marking a 5,636.8% increase. Simisage (Master Ball Pattern) (SV Black Bolt #005/086) and Scolipede (Master Ball Pattern) (SV Black Bolt #056/086) also saw remarkable gains of 4,941.3% and 4,235.1%, respectively.
Supporting cards
Signal 3 / Volume watch
Volume Watch
Unusual trading activity has been noted, particularly with Mega Gengar ex (ME Mega Evolution Promo), which saw a volume spike of 4.3x its normal trading volume, despite a slight price decrease of 4.7%. This indicates heightened interest, suggesting potential future price stabilization or recovery. Drifblim - 006 (Cosmos Holo) (ME Mega Evolution Promo) experienced a notable volume increase of 4.2x, with a price surge of 236.7%, signaling strong demand for this card.
Signal 4 / Sector map
Sector Analysis
7-Day Performance vs Market Average
The SV Black Bolt (2025) set is outperforming the overall market significantly, with an average 7-day price change of +310.7%, eclipsing the market's +7.4% average by a staggering 303.3%. This set boasts a composite score of 10 and has recorded 8,759 sales, indicating robust collector interest. In contrast, the ME Mega Evolution Promo (2025) set has underperformed, with a 7-day change of -8.1%, falling behind the market average by 15.5%. This set has a composite score of 22, but with only 89 cards tracked, its market presence is limited compared to the SV Black Bolt set. The SV White Flare (2025) set also shows strong performance, with a 7-day change of +263.6%, outperforming the market by 256.2%, indicating a healthy demand for cards within this collection.
Signal 5 / Cooling tape
Notable Declines
Several cards have seen significant declines, presenting potential buying opportunities. Snorlax (SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards #051) has plummeted to $22.12, down 92.7%. Similarly, Pikachu - 225 (World Championship 2025) (SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards #225) is down 90.9% to $10.29. These sharp declines suggest that these cards may be undervalued, particularly as collectors look for bargains in a bullish market.
Signal 6 / Set spotlight
Set Spotlight: SV Black Bolt (2025)
The SV Black Bolt (2025) set has emerged as a standout in the current market, with an average 7-day price change of +310.7%. This set includes 424 cards, with Victini (Master Ball Pattern) leading the charge as the top gainer. The overall composite score for this set is 10, and it has seen a total of 8,759 sales, showcasing its popularity among collectors.
Signal 7 / Grading watch
Grading Watch
| Card | Premium | RAW Price | PSA 10 Price | PSA 10 Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pikachu ex (Pikachu 60) | 78.0x | 10.00 | 779.23 | 5.00 |
| Gengar | 65.9x | 5.99 | 394.99 | 6.00 |
| Dragonite | 59.4x | 5.99 | 355.97 | 3.00 |
| Litten | 55.7x | 9.99 | 555.99 | 3.00 |
| N's Zekrom | 43.0x | 11.99 | 515.99 | 6.00 |
| Mega Charizard X ex | 37.8x | 7.82 | 295.23 | 15.00 |
PSA 10 premiums continue to demonstrate significant returns, with Pikachu ex (Pikachu 60) showing a staggering 78.0x premium, selling for $779.23 after a raw price of just $10.00. Other notable cards include Gengar, which commands a 65.9x premium, and Dragonite, with a 59.4x premium. The trend indicates that cards with strong grading potential are becoming increasingly valuable, making them a focus for investors looking to maximize ROI.
Signal 8 / Fair value
Fair Value Buys
| Card | Signal | Upside % | Confidence | Fair Value | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shining Volcanion | STRONG_BUY | 794.50 | 51% | 64.58 | 7.22 |
| Nemona | STRONG_BUY | 749.60 | 84% | 60.07 | 7.07 |
| Ho-Oh EX | STRONG_BUY | 643.20 | 53% | 43.33 | 5.83 |
| Darkrai EX | STRONG_BUY | 611.90 | 55% | 83.29 | 11.70 |
| Arven | STRONG_BUY | 513.40 | 84% | 63.00 | 10.27 |
| Flaaffy (Secret) | STRONG_BUY | 394.40 | 51% | 37.18 | 7.52 |
Several undervalued cards present strong buying signals, including Shining Volcanion, currently priced at $7.22 with a fair value of $64.58, indicating a potential upside of 794.5%. Similarly, Nemona is priced at $7.07 with a fair value of $60.07, suggesting a 749.6% upside. These cards are rated with STRONG_BUY signals, reflecting high confidence in their future appreciation.
Signal 9 / Set spotlight
Set Value Tracker
| Set | Cards | 7d Change | Avg Price | Card Sales | Total Value | Sealed Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Black Bolt (2025) | 424.00 | 28.30 | 9.89 | 8,759 | 4,193.96 | 242.00 |
| SV White Flare (2025) | 411.00 | 25.60 | 9.00 | 8,758 | 3,698.54 | 165.00 |
| ME Mega Evolution Promo (2025) | 89.00 | -22.40 | 32.10 | 14,097 | 2,857.05 | 0 |
| SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards (2023) | 290.00 | -16.40 | 28.58 | 10,004 | 8,288.49 | 0 |
| SV Prismatic Evolutions (2025) | 456.00 | 11.30 | 13.13 | 13,040 | 5,988.15 | 232.00 |
| SWSH10 Astral Radiance Trainer Gallery (2022) | 30.00 | 7.90 | 14.30 | 1,457 | 428.87 | 0 |
This week, the SV Black Bolt (2025) set gained a total value of $4,193.96, reflecting a 28.3% increase over the past 7 days. In comparison, the SV White Flare (2025) set saw a 25.6% increase, with a total value of $3,698.54. Both sets have demonstrated strong sealed product demand, with SV Black Bolt recording 242 sealed sales, indicating collector interest in maintaining sealed product value.
Signal 10 / Pack tape
Pack Value Breakdown
| Set | Packs | Price | $/Pack | Product | 30d Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 (2024) | 6.00 | 2.12 | 0.35 | Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 - Mini Booster Pack | 21.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 36.00 | 220.39 | 6.12 | Perfect Order Booster Box | 30.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.36 | 6.36 | Perfect Order Booster Pack | 30.00 |
| ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) | 36.00 | 234.07 | 6.50 | Chaos Rising Booster Box | 16.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.93 | 6.93 | Perfect Order Sleeved Booster Pack | 30.00 |
| ME01 Mega Evolution (2025) | 36.00 | 250.00 | 6.94 | Mega Evolution Half Booster Box | 28.00 |
The Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 offers the best value, priced at $2.12 for 6 packs, equating to just $0.35 per pack. In contrast, the Perfect Order Booster Box (ME03 Perfect Order 2026) is priced at $220.39 for 36 packs, yielding a higher cost of $6.12 per pack. Investors should consider these options for cost-effective entry points into the market.
Signal 11 / Forward read
Looking Ahead
As the market continues to show bullish trends, sectors such as SV Black Bolt and SV White Flare warrant close monitoring due to their impressive performance metrics. Investors should keep an eye on arbitrage opportunities, particularly those involving high-demand cards like Shining Tyranitar and Shining Charizard. The current landscape suggests a strong potential for price corrections in declining cards, making them attractive for future investment.