Victini Soars 6990.6% as Market Sentiment Turns Bullish
A significant surge in card values highlights a thriving collector's market.
Tracked
41,928
Up
1,153
Down
513
Top move
+6990.6%
Today in one read
Today, the Pokémon card market exhibits a bullish sentiment with 69% of the 41,928 tracked cards experiencing price increases. Notably, 1,153 cards are up, while only 513 are down, and 40,262 remain flat. Historical context reveals a 7-day market average ch...
Signal 1 / Signal read
Market Overview
Today, the Pokémon card market exhibits a bullish sentiment with 69% of the 41,928 tracked cards experiencing price increases. Notably, 1,153 cards are up, while only 513 are down, and 40,262 remain flat. Historical context reveals a 7-day market average change of +7.3%, with 79,681 total sales recorded this week. The average composite score across all cards is a mere 1 out of 100, indicating a significant opportunity for value-driven collectors.
Signal 2 / Momentum leader
Top Movers
Leading the charge this week is Victini (Master Ball Pattern) (SV Black Bolt #012/086), skyrocketing to $22.69 with an astonishing increase of 6990.6%. Following closely is Musharna (Master Ball Pattern) (SV Black Bolt #036/086) at $32.32, up 5198.4%. Other notable gainers include Swadloon (Master Ball Pattern) (SV White Flare #002/086) at $21.34, up 4750.0%, and Simisage (Master Ball Pattern) (SV Black Bolt #005/086) at $23.30, up 4655.1%.
Supporting cards
Signal 3 / Volume watch
Volume Watch
Unusual trading activity has been observed in several cards, indicating heightened demand. For instance, Mega Greninja ex (ME04 Chaos Rising) saw a 4.2x increase in volume, yet its price decreased by 7.8%. Meanwhile, Drifblim - 006 (Cosmos Holo) (ME Mega Evolution Promo) experienced a remarkable 4.2x volume spike alongside a price increase of 236.7%, signaling strong buying interest. These trends suggest a potential shift in collector focus towards specific cards.
Signal 4 / Sector map
Sector Analysis
7-Day Performance vs Market Average
The SV Black Bolt (2025) set has outperformed the market significantly with an average 7-day price change of +301.7%, far exceeding the market average of +7.3%. This set features 424 cards, with Victini leading as the top gainer. In contrast, the ME Mega Evolution Promo (2025) set is underperforming, showing a 7-day decline of -7.3% and a total value of $2,859.16, indicating a lack of collector interest despite a composite score of 22. The SV White Flare (2025) also shines with a 7-day increase of +255.5%, driven by cards like Swadloon, reflecting strong market momentum and collector enthusiasm in the current environment.
Signal 5 / Cooling tape
Notable Declines
Several cards have seen significant drops, presenting potential buy opportunities. Tinkaton - 020 (Prerelease) (SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards #020) plummeted by 95.3% to $5.64, while Snorlax (SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards #051) fell 92.6% to $22.55. These declines may be overreactions, especially considering the fair value context; for instance, Tinkaton has a composite score of 28, suggesting it could rebound as market sentiment shifts.
Signal 6 / Set spotlight
Set Spotlight: SV Black Bolt (2025)
The SV Black Bolt (2025) set has emerged as a standout in the current market, with an average 7-day price change of +301.7%. This set comprises 424 cards, with an average price of $9.82 per card. The top card, Cubchoo, is gaining traction, reflecting the set's overall strong performance and collector interest. With 9,074 sales recorded, the set's momentum indicates a robust demand that collectors should monitor closely.
Signal 7 / Grading watch
Grading Watch
| Card | Premium | RAW Price | PSA 10 Price | PSA 10 Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pikachu ex (Pikachu 60) | 78.0x | 10.00 | 779.23 | 5.00 |
| Gengar | 65.9x | 5.99 | 394.99 | 6.00 |
| Dragonite | 59.4x | 5.99 | 355.97 | 3.00 |
| Litten | 55.7x | 9.99 | 555.99 | 3.00 |
| N's Zekrom | 43.0x | 11.99 | 515.99 | 6.00 |
| Mega Charizard X ex | 37.8x | 7.82 | 295.23 | 15.00 |
PSA 10 premiums continue to show impressive returns, particularly for Pikachu ex (Pikachu 60), which commands a staggering 78.0x premium with a PSA 10 price of $779.23. Gengar also stands out with a 65.9x premium, priced at $394.99 for PSA 10. These trends highlight the potential for high returns on graded cards, making them attractive investments for serious collectors.
Signal 8 / Fair value
Fair Value Buys
| Card | Signal | Upside % | Confidence | Fair Value | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shining Volcanion | STRONG_BUY | 792.70 | 51% | 63.65 | 7.13 |
| Nemona | STRONG_BUY | 728.30 | 85% | 59.06 | 7.13 |
| Darkrai EX | STRONG_BUY | 682.00 | 55% | 82.81 | 10.59 |
| Ho-Oh EX | STRONG_BUY | 644.30 | 53% | 43.32 | 5.82 |
| Arven | STRONG_BUY | 482.70 | 85% | 62.06 | 10.65 |
| Flaaffy (Secret) | STRONG_BUY | 410.10 | 51% | 37.03 | 7.26 |
Several undervalued cards present compelling buying opportunities. Shining Volcanion, currently priced at $7.13, has a fair value of $63.65, indicating a potential upside of +792.7%. Similarly, Nemona at $7.13 has a fair value of $59.06 (+728.3% upside), making it a STRONG_BUY. Darkrai EX and Ho-Oh EX also show significant upside potential, with projected returns of +682.0% and +644.3%, respectively.
Signal 9 / Set spotlight
Set Value Tracker
| Set | Cards | 7d Change | Avg Price | Card Sales | Total Value | Sealed Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Black Bolt (2025) | 424.00 | 29.80 | 9.82 | 9,074 | 4,164.42 | 278.00 |
| SV White Flare (2025) | 411.00 | 25.10 | 8.91 | 9,014 | 3,662.97 | 187.00 |
| ME Mega Evolution Promo (2025) | 89.00 | -22.50 | 32.13 | 14,152 | 2,859.16 | 0 |
| SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards (2023) | 290.00 | -16.10 | 28.53 | 10,391 | 8,272.85 | 0 |
| SV Prismatic Evolutions (2025) | 456.00 | 10.90 | 13.07 | 13,721 | 5,958.08 | 285.00 |
| ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) | 201.00 | -7.00 | 6.01 | 17,646 | 1,207.43 | 150.00 |
The SV Black Bolt (2025) set has gained the most total value this week, increasing by 29.8% to a total value of $4,164.42. In contrast, the ME Mega Evolution Promo (2025) set has lost value, declining by 22.5% to $2,859.16. The SV White Flare (2025) also performed well, increasing by 25.1% to $3,662.97, showcasing strong interest in these newer sets compared to older ones.
Signal 10 / Pack tape
Pack Value Breakdown
| Set | Packs | Price | $/Pack | Product | 30d Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 (2024) | 6.00 | 2.11 | 0.35 | Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 - Mini Booster Pack | 22.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.03 | 6.03 | Perfect Order Booster Pack | 31.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 36.00 | 220.19 | 6.12 | Perfect Order Booster Box | 31.00 |
| ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) | 36.00 | 236.55 | 6.57 | Chaos Rising Booster Box | 15.00 |
| ME01 Mega Evolution (2025) | 1.00 | 6.71 | 6.71 | Mega Evolution Booster Pack | 30.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 6.00 | 40.50 | 6.75 | Perfect Order Booster Bundle | 31.00 |
The Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 offers the best value at $0.35 per pack, making it an attractive option for collectors looking to maximize their investment. In comparison, the Perfect Order Booster Pack (ME03 Perfect Order 2026) costs $6.03 per pack, while the Chaos Rising Booster Box (ME04 Chaos Rising 2026) is priced at $6.57 per pack. These price points indicate that newer products still carry a premium, while older sets may provide better entry points.
Signal 11 / Forward read
Looking Ahead
As the market continues to show bullish sentiment, collectors should focus on the SV Black Bolt and SV White Flare sets, which are significantly outperforming the market average. Monitoring arbitrage opportunities will also be crucial, particularly those favoring eBay purchases. With several undervalued cards identified, investors should act swiftly to capitalize on these potential gains as the market evolves.