Market Rally: 69% of Cards Gain Value as Slowpoke Soars 1244.4%
Bullish sentiment dominates the Pokémon card market with significant gains across various sets.
Tracked
41,922
Up
1,132
Down
518
Top move
+1244.4%
Today in one read
The Pokémon card market is experiencing a bullish sentiment, with 1,132 cards (69%) reporting gains, while only 518 cards (31%) are declining. Historical context shows a market average 7-day change of +0.2% and a 30-day change of +1.9%, indicating a positiv...
Signal 1 / Signal read
Market Overview
The Pokémon card market is experiencing a bullish sentiment, with 1,132 cards (69%) reporting gains, while only 518 cards (31%) are declining. Historical context shows a market average 7-day change of +0.2% and a 30-day change of +1.9%, indicating a positive trend. The total tracked card count stands at 41,922, reflecting robust trading activity and investor confidence.
Signal 2 / Momentum leader
Top Movers
Leading the charge this week is Slowpoke (SV07 Stellar Crown #057/142), skyrocketing to $6.05 with a staggering increase of 1244.4%. Other significant gainers include Drifblim - 006 (Cosmos Holo) at $5.05, up 236.7%, and Metapod (SV Scarlet and Violet 151 #011/165) at $3.43, gaining 149.8%. Pansage (SV Black Bolt #089/086) also performed well, reaching $32.18 with a 140.5% increase.
Signal 3 / Volume watch
Volume Watch
Unusual trading activity has been observed in several cards, signaling heightened demand. Notably, Mega Gengar ex (ME Mega Evolution Promo) saw a volume spike of 4.3x its normal, while Drifblim - 006 (Cosmos Holo) experienced a 4.2x increase, correlating with its 236.7% price surge. This increased volume suggests that collectors are actively seeking these cards, potentially indicating future price appreciation.
Signal 4 / Sector map
Sector Analysis
7-Day Performance vs Market Average
The SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards set is underperforming, with an average 7-day change of -6.6%, significantly lagging behind the market average by 6.8%. Despite a 30-day increase of 109.7%, this set's composite score of 13 indicates a lack of overall strength, with the top gainer, Paradise Resort - 150 (World Championships 2024), only increasing by 38.4%. In contrast, the SWSH10 Astral Radiance set is outperforming with a 7-day change of +6.8%, showcasing a solid composite score of 2 and a 30-day increase of 7.3%. This set is characterized by stable demand, with Hisuian Samurott VSTAR (Secret) leading as the top card, indicating a healthier market position compared to its counterparts.
Signal 5 / Cooling tape
Notable Declines
Several cards have seen significant declines, presenting potential buy opportunities. Miraidon (SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards #013) has dropped to $8.80, down 85.8%, while Hop's Snorlax - 184 (Prerelease) is down 84.2% at $19.46. With fair value assessments suggesting these cards could rebound, investors should consider these declines as entry points, especially given the historical volatility of promo cards.
Signal 6 / Set spotlight
Set Spotlight: SWSH10 Astral Radiance (2022)
SWSH10 Astral Radiance has shown resilience with an average 7-day price change of +6.8%. With 353 cards tracked and no high momentum cards, it remains stable in a fluctuating market. The top card, Hisuian Samurott VSTAR (Secret), continues to attract attention, suggesting that collectors are still interested in this set despite the overall market volatility.
Signal 7 / Grading watch
Grading Watch
| Card | Premium | RAW Price | PSA 10 Price | PSA 10 Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pikachu ex (Pikachu 60) | 78.0x | 10.00 | 779.23 | 5.00 |
| Gengar | 65.9x | 5.99 | 394.99 | 6.00 |
| Dragonite | 59.4x | 5.99 | 355.97 | 3.00 |
| Litten | 55.7x | 9.99 | 555.99 | 3.00 |
| N's Zekrom | 43.0x | 11.99 | 515.99 | 6.00 |
| Mega Charizard Y ex | 41.1x | 7.82 | 321.24 | 9.00 |
PSA 10 premiums are commanding attention, with Pikachu ex (Pikachu 60) showing a remarkable 78.0x premium, selling for $779.23 from a raw price of $10.00. Gengar also demonstrates strong potential, with a 65.9x premium, indicating a solid return on investment for graded cards. Investors should focus on cards with high grading premiums, as they tend to outperform raw card values significantly.
Signal 8 / Fair value
Fair Value Buys
| Card | Signal | Upside % | Confidence | Fair Value | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shining Volcanion | STRONG_BUY | 812.60 | 51% | 63.61 | 6.97 |
| Nemona | STRONG_BUY | 725.10 | 85% | 59.08 | 7.16 |
| Darkrai EX | STRONG_BUY | 683.00 | 55% | 82.92 | 10.59 |
| Ho-Oh EX | STRONG_BUY | 644.30 | 53% | 43.32 | 5.82 |
| Arven | STRONG_BUY | 494.80 | 85% | 62.04 | 10.43 |
| Flaaffy (Secret) | STRONG_BUY | 404.20 | 51% | 37.06 | 7.35 |
Several undervalued cards present strong buying opportunities. Shining Volcanion is currently priced at $6.97, with a fair value of $63.61, indicating an upside of 812.6%. Nemona, priced at $7.16, has a fair value of $59.08, reflecting a 725.1% upside. These cards, along with others like Darkrai EX and Ho-Oh EX, show significant potential for appreciation, making them STRONG_BUY candidates.
Signal 9 / Set spotlight
Set Value Tracker
| Set | Cards | 7d Change | Avg Price | Card Sales | Total Value | Sealed Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ME Mega Evolution Promo (2025) | 89.00 | -21.40 | 32.18 | 14,152 | 2,864.44 | 0 |
| SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards (2023) | 290.00 | -16.00 | 28.52 | 10,391 | 8,271.95 | 0 |
| SV Black Bolt (2025) | 424.00 | 11.30 | 8.16 | 9,074 | 3,461.41 | 278.00 |
| ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) | 201.00 | -10.60 | 6.12 | 17,646 | 1,229.18 | 150.00 |
| SV White Flare (2025) | 411.00 | 8.00 | 7.50 | 9,014 | 3,082.87 | 187.00 |
| Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery (2023) | 70.00 | 7.30 | 37.26 | 12,036 | 2,608.16 | 0 |
The ME Mega Evolution Promo set has seen a total value decline of 21.4% over the past week, with a total value of $2,864.44 across 89 cards. In contrast, the SV Black Bolt set gained 11.3%, reaching a total value of $3,461.41, benefiting from strong sales and demand. The average card price in SV Black Bolt is $8.16, indicating a healthier market position compared to ME Mega Evolution Promo, which has an average of $32.18 but is struggling with declining interest.
Signal 10 / Pack tape
Pack Value Breakdown
| Set | Packs | Price | $/Pack | Product | 30d Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 (2024) | 6.00 | 2.11 | 0.35 | Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 - Mini Booster Pack | 22.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.03 | 6.03 | Perfect Order Booster Pack | 31.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 36.00 | 220.19 | 6.12 | Perfect Order Booster Box | 31.00 |
| ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) | 36.00 | 236.55 | 6.57 | Chaos Rising Booster Box | 15.00 |
| ME01 Mega Evolution (2025) | 1.00 | 6.71 | 6.71 | Mega Evolution Booster Pack | 30.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 6.00 | 40.50 | 6.75 | Perfect Order Booster Bundle | 31.00 |
The Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 offers the best value at $0.35 per pack, making it an attractive option for collectors. In contrast, the Perfect Order Booster Box (ME03 Perfect Order 2026) priced at $6.12 per pack, is less competitive despite its popularity. Investors should consider sealed products like the Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle for optimal entry points into the market.
Signal 11 / Forward read
Looking Ahead
The Pokémon card market shows promising signs of growth, particularly in sets like SWSH10 Astral Radiance and SV Black Bolt. Investors should monitor the ongoing performance of promo cards, especially those experiencing declines, as they may present unique buying opportunities. Additionally, the arbitrage landscape remains lucrative, with significant spreads indicating potential profit for those willing to navigate eBay and TCGPlayer effectively.