Market Surges with 68% of Cards Rising: Numel Leads with 6963.6% Gain
A bullish sentiment drives significant price movements across the Pokémon card market.
Tracked
41,858
Up
1,067
Down
497
Top move
+6963.6%
Today in one read
Today, the Pokémon card market showcases a bullish sentiment, with 1,067 cards up (68%) against 497 cards down and 40,294 remaining flat. This reflects a robust market activity, with a total of 41,858 cards tracked. Over the past week, the market average ha...
Signal 1 / Signal read
Market Overview
Today, the Pokémon card market showcases a bullish sentiment, with 1,067 cards up (68%) against 497 cards down and 40,294 remaining flat. This reflects a robust market activity, with a total of 41,858 cards tracked. Over the past week, the market average has increased by 2%, while the historical context shows a consistent upward trend with a 30-day average of 2.5%. The current market dynamics indicate a strong demand for specific cards, particularly from the Pokémon GO and SV Scarlet and Violet Promo sets.
Signal 2 / Momentum leader
Top Movers
Leading the charge this week, Numel (Pokemon GO #013/078) skyrocketed to $23.31, marking an astonishing gain of 6963.6%. Bidoof (Pokemon GO #059/078) follows closely at $20.91, up 4762.8%. Other significant gainers include Spinarak at $17.55 (+3888.6%) and Chi-Yu - 057 (Prerelease) at $70.81 (+2592.4%).
Signal 3 / Volume watch
Volume Watch
Unusual volume spikes are evident, particularly for Venusaur (Celebrations Classic Collection), which saw a 4.1x increase with 72 sales, maintaining a stable price. Fennekin - 080 (Pokemon Center Exclusive) also experienced a notable 4.3x volume increase, now priced at $36.26, indicating strong demand. This heightened activity signals a potential shift in collector interest, particularly towards these sets.
Signal 4 / Sector map
Sector Analysis
7-Day Performance vs Market Average
The SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards (2023) set has outperformed the market significantly, with an average 7-day price change of +166.4%, surpassing the market average by 164.4%. This set features 289 cards, with Chi-Yu - 057 (Prerelease) leading the gains at +2592.4%. In contrast, ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) has underperformed, showing a -2.7% change, with AZ's Tranquility dropping -45.1%. The ME Mega Evolution Promo (2025) has also shown strong performance with a +102.7% change, indicating a healthy market for newer releases. This sector comparison highlights the volatility and opportunities present in emerging sets versus established ones.
Signal 5 / Cooling tape
Notable Declines
Several cards have experienced significant declines, presenting potential buy opportunities. Snorlax (Prize Pack Series Cards #143/196) dropped to $5.50 (-59.3%), while AZ's Tranquility (ME04 Chaos Rising #120/086) fell to $43.02 (-45.1%). These declines may be temporary, and with fair value estimates suggesting potential recoveries, they could be worth monitoring for strategic acquisitions.
Signal 6 / Set spotlight
Set Spotlight: SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards
The SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards set has gained considerable traction, with an average 7-day price change of +166.4%. The top card, Chi-Yu - 057 (Prerelease), has seen a staggering increase of +2592.4%, reflecting the set's strong collector interest. With 289 cards tracked, the set's composite score of 15 indicates a diverse range of card values, making it a focal point for investors.
Signal 7 / Grading watch
Grading Watch
| Card | Premium | RAW Price | PSA 10 Price | PSA 10 Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gengar | 65.9x | 5.99 | 394.99 | 6.00 |
| Litten | 56.0x | 10.24 | 573.49 | 4.00 |
| N's Zekrom | 43.0x | 11.99 | 515.99 | 3.00 |
| Eevee V | 41.8x | 7.32 | 306.24 | 3.00 |
| Pikachu ex (Pikachu 60) | 40.4x | 9.86 | 398.19 | 9.00 |
| Larvitar | 39.1x | 8.33 | 325.97 | 4.00 |
PSA 10 premiums remain robust, with Gengar showing a remarkable 65.9x premium, selling for $394.99 against a raw price of $5.99. Other notable cards include Litten at a 56.0x premium ($573.49) and N's Zekrom at a 43.0x premium ($515.99). These trends suggest that graded cards continue to command significant market value, making them attractive for collectors looking to maximize returns.
Signal 8 / Fair value
Fair Value Buys
| Card | Signal | Upside % | Confidence | Fair Value | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nemona | STRONG_BUY | 768.80 | 85% | 58.56 | 6.74 |
| Shining Volcanion | STRONG_BUY | 692.60 | 51% | 61.74 | 7.79 |
| Darkrai EX | STRONG_BUY | 679.00 | 55% | 82.65 | 10.61 |
| Ho-Oh EX | STRONG_BUY | 588.70 | 53% | 43.11 | 6.26 |
| Arven | STRONG_BUY | 481.20 | 85% | 61.61 | 10.60 |
| Silvally GX | STRONG_BUY | 410.20 | 55% | 41.43 | 8.12 |
Several undervalued cards present strong buying opportunities. Nemona, currently priced at $6.74, has a fair value of $58.56, indicating a potential upside of +768.8% with an 85% confidence level. Similarly, Shining Volcanion at $7.79 has a fair value of $61.74 (+692.6% upside), making it another strong buy. Darkrai EX and Ho-Oh EX also show significant upside potential, at +679.0% and +588.7%, respectively.
Signal 9 / Set spotlight
Set Value Tracker
| Set | Cards | 7d Change | Avg Price | Card Sales | Total Value | Sealed Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards (2023) | 289.00 | 32.70 | 36.98 | 9,763 | 10,687.09 | 0 |
| ME Mega Evolution Promo (2025) | 86.00 | 30.30 | 43.61 | 13,689 | 3,750.14 | 0 |
| ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) | 200.00 | -22.90 | 6.30 | 11,918 | 1,260.66 | 70.00 |
| Pokemon GO (2022) | 165.00 | 13.00 | 3.35 | 2,234 | 552.82 | 5.00 |
| Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery (2023) | 70.00 | 5.60 | 35.54 | 12,267 | 2,487.91 | 0 |
| SV Black Bolt (2025) | 424.00 | 5.10 | 7.55 | 8,839 | 3,203.28 | 183.00 |
The SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards set has seen a total value increase to $10,687.09 (+32.7% 7d), with an average card price of $36.98. In contrast, ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) has lost total value, now at $1,260.66 (-22.9% 7d), highlighting the disparity in demand. The strong sales volume of 9,763 cards in SV Scarlet and Violet indicates a healthy market, while ME04's average card price of $6.30 suggests weaker interest.
Signal 10 / Pack tape
Pack Value Breakdown
| Set | Packs | Price | $/Pack | Product | 30d Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 (2024) | 6.00 | 1.90 | 0.32 | Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 - Mini Booster Pack | 17.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.13 | 6.13 | Perfect Order Booster Pack | 25.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 36.00 | 229.24 | 6.37 | Perfect Order Booster Box | 25.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.59 | 6.59 | Perfect Order Sleeved Booster Pack | 25.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 6.00 | 41.16 | 6.86 | Perfect Order Booster Bundle | 25.00 |
| ME01 Mega Evolution (2025) | 36.00 | 250.00 | 6.94 | Mega Evolution Half Booster Box | 23.00 |
The Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 offers the best value at $1.90 for 6 packs, equating to $0.32 per pack. In contrast, the Perfect Order Booster Pack (ME03 Perfect Order 2026) is priced at $6.13 for a single pack, while the Perfect Order Booster Box costs $229.24 for 36 packs, averaging $6.37 per pack. This analysis indicates that the Trick or Trade bundle provides the most economical entry point for collectors.
Signal 11 / Forward read
Looking Ahead
As the market continues to show bullish sentiment, investors should focus on emerging sets like SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards, which are outperforming the market significantly. Monitoring volume spikes in cards like Fennekin and Venusaur will be crucial for identifying trends. Additionally, the arbitrage opportunities present a compelling case for strategic buying and selling, particularly in high-demand cards. The upcoming weeks will likely reveal further shifts as collectors respond to these dynamic market conditions.