Numel Surges 7272.7%: A Bullish Day in the Pokémon Card Market
Market sentiment remains bullish as 68% of tracked cards see gains.
Tracked
41,854
Up
1,064
Down
501
Top move
+7272.7%
Today in one read
Today, the Pokémon card market displays a bullish sentiment with 1,064 cards up (68%), 501 cards down, and 40,289 remaining flat. The total number of tracked cards stands at 41,854, indicating a robust trading environment. Historical context shows an averag...
Signal 1 / Signal read
Market Overview
Today, the Pokémon card market displays a bullish sentiment with 1,064 cards up (68%), 501 cards down, and 40,289 remaining flat. The total number of tracked cards stands at 41,854, indicating a robust trading environment. Historical context shows an average 7-day market change of +2%, with 83,661 total sales in the past week, reflecting an active trading atmosphere. The overall market direction suggests strong upward momentum, particularly in sets like Pokémon GO and ME Mega Evolution Promo.
Signal 2 / Momentum leader
Top Movers
Leading the charge this week is Numel from the Pokémon GO set, priced at $24.33, reflecting a staggering increase of 7272.7%. Bidoof follows closely at $21.33, up 4860.5%, while Spinarak reaches $16.66, marking a 3774.4% rise. Chi-Yu - 057 (Prerelease) from the SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards is now priced at $70.81, up 2602.7%. Bruno from the Prize Pack Series Cards also saw a remarkable increase of 2316.7%, now valued at $5.80.
Signal 3 / Volume watch
Volume Watch
Noteworthy volume spikes indicate heightened demand, particularly for Fennekin (ME Mega Evolution Promo), which saw a 3.7x increase in volume with 72 sales, reflecting a price rise of 481.4%. Additionally, Umbreon (McDonalds Promos 2024) experienced a 4.3x volume surge, although its price remained flat. Such spikes suggest a growing interest in these cards, signaling potential future price increases.
Signal 4 / Sector map
Sector Analysis
7-Day Performance vs Market Average
The SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards (2023) set is outperforming the market significantly, with an average 7-day change of +164.6%, exceeding the market average by 162.6%. This set has recorded 9,568 sales, indicating strong collector interest. Notably, Chi-Yu - 057 (Prerelease) has surged by 2602.7%, demonstrating the set's potential for continued growth. In contrast, the ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) set is underperforming, with a 7-day change of -2.7%, lagging behind the market by 4.7%. Despite having a total value of $1,288.62, its average card price of $6.44 suggests a lack of collector enthusiasm, evidenced by the top gainer Sliggoo's modest increase of only 14.4% amid 10,832 sales. The ME Mega Evolution Promo (2025) also shows strong performance with a 7-day change of +104.8%, outperforming the market by 102.7%, driven by cards like Charcadet, which increased by 1990.0%.
Signal 5 / Cooling tape
Notable Declines
Several cards are experiencing significant declines, presenting potential buy opportunities. Snorlax from the Prize Pack Series Cards has dropped to $5.50, down 58.6%, while Mega Dragalge ex from ME04 Chaos Rising has decreased to $7.47, down 46.3%. AZ's Tranquility also saw a decline of 43.5%, now priced at $44.23. Given the fair value context, these cards may represent undervalued assets worth considering for future appreciation.
Signal 6 / Set spotlight
Set Spotlight: ME Mega Evolution Promo (2025)
The ME Mega Evolution Promo set has shown impressive growth, with an average 7-day price change of +104.8% and a total value of $3,704.15. It features 85 cards, with an average price of $43.58 per card. The standout card, Meloetta, has driven interest, while Charcadet has also made headlines with a 1990.0% increase. The set's composite score of 24 reflects a balanced mix of collector interest and investment potential.
Signal 7 / Grading watch
Grading Watch
| Card | Premium | RAW Price | PSA 10 Price | PSA 10 Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gengar | 65.9x | 5.99 | 394.99 | 6.00 |
| Litten | 55.6x | 10.31 | 573.49 | 4.00 |
| Pikachu ex (Pikachu 60) | 40.9x | 9.73 | 398.19 | 9.00 |
| N's Zekrom | 43.0x | 11.99 | 515.99 | 3.00 |
| Eevee V | 42.1x | 7.28 | 306.24 | 3.00 |
| Mega Charizard X ex | 40.8x | 7.73 | 315.43 | 8.00 |
PSA 10 premiums continue to show strong trends, with Gengar achieving a remarkable 65.9x premium, selling for $394.99 compared to a raw price of $5.99. Litten also commands a significant premium at 55.6x, priced at $573.49, while Pikachu ex (Pikachu 60) holds a 40.9x premium at $398.19. These figures highlight the potential for high returns on graded cards, making them attractive investments for collectors looking to maximize their portfolios.
Signal 8 / Fair value
Fair Value Buys
| Card | Signal | Upside % | Confidence | Fair Value | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nemona | STRONG_BUY | 770.50 | 85% | 58.41 | 6.71 |
| Shining Volcanion | STRONG_BUY | 690.10 | 51% | 61.55 | 7.79 |
| Darkrai EX | STRONG_BUY | 676.90 | 55% | 82.66 | 10.64 |
| Ho-Oh EX | STRONG_BUY | 589.00 | 53% | 43.13 | 6.26 |
| Arven | STRONG_BUY | 483.70 | 85% | 61.41 | 10.52 |
| Silvally GX | STRONG_BUY | 409.50 | 55% | 41.37 | 8.12 |
Several undervalued cards present strong buying signals, including Nemona, currently priced at $6.71 with a fair value of $58.41, indicating a potential upside of 770.5%. Shining Volcanion at $7.79 has a fair value of $61.55 (+690.1% upside), while Darkrai EX at $10.64 offers a fair value of $82.66 (+676.9% upside). These cards carry STRONG_BUY signals, making them compelling options for investors seeking high returns.
Signal 9 / Set spotlight
Set Value Tracker
| Set | Cards | 7d Change | Avg Price | Card Sales | Total Value | Sealed Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards (2023) | 289.00 | 32.60 | 36.93 | 9,568 | 10,674.12 | 0 |
| ME Mega Evolution Promo (2025) | 85.00 | 31.40 | 43.58 | 13,368 | 3,704.15 | 0 |
| ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) | 200.00 | -21.20 | 6.44 | 10,832 | 1,288.62 | 60.00 |
| Pokemon GO (2022) | 165.00 | 12.70 | 3.33 | 2,131 | 549.34 | 5.00 |
| ME02 Phantasmal Flames (2025) | 227.00 | 7.90 | 6.56 | 7,222 | 1,489.98 | 300.00 |
| Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery (2023) | 70.00 | 5.50 | 35.25 | 12,299 | 2,467.18 | 0 |
The SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards (2023) set gained the most total value this week, reaching $10,674.12, a 32.6% increase over 7 days, with an average card price of $36.93. In contrast, ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) saw a total value decline to $1,288.62, a drop of 21.2%, reflecting a lack of collector interest despite 60 sealed sales. The ME Mega Evolution Promo (2025) also performed well, with a total value of $3,704.15, an increase of 31.4%, indicating strong demand for both card and sealed product formats.
Signal 10 / Pack tape
Pack Value Breakdown
| Set | Packs | Price | $/Pack | Product | 30d Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 (2024) | 6.00 | 1.94 | 0.32 | Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 - Mini Booster Pack | 17.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 36.00 | 221.33 | 6.15 | Perfect Order Booster Box | 25.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.17 | 6.17 | Perfect Order Booster Pack | 25.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.57 | 6.57 | Perfect Order Sleeved Booster Pack | 25.00 |
| ME01 Mega Evolution (2025) | 36.00 | 250.00 | 6.94 | Mega Evolution Half Booster Box | 23.00 |
| ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) | 36.00 | 250.07 | 6.95 | Chaos Rising Booster Box | 6.00 |
The Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 offers the best value at $1.94 for 6 packs, translating to $0.32 per pack. In comparison, the Perfect Order Booster Box (ME03 Perfect Order 2026) costs $221.33 for 36 packs, equating to $6.15 per pack. Other products, such as the Chaos Rising Booster Box, are priced similarly at $250.07 for 36 packs, resulting in a $6.95 per pack cost. Collectors should consider these options for the best entry points into sealed products.
Signal 11 / Forward read
Looking Ahead
As the market continues to show bullish sentiment, investors should focus on the SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards and ME Mega Evolution Promo sets, which are outperforming the market significantly. Monitoring cards with high momentum and those experiencing unusual volume spikes will be crucial for identifying future investment opportunities. Additionally, the arbitrage landscape presents lucrative plays, particularly for high-demand cards like Shining Charizard and Charizard VMAX. Keeping an eye on grading trends will also be essential for maximizing returns in this dynamic market.