Market Surge: Numel Soars 8148.4% as Sentiment Turns Bullish
A bullish trend emerges with 68% of tracked cards gaining value this week.
Tracked
41,835
Up
1,047
Down
483
Top move
+8148.4%
Today in one read
The Pokémon card market is experiencing a robust bullish sentiment, with 1,047 cards (68%) showing price increases against 483 cards down and 40,305 remaining flat. This trend reflects a total of 41,835 cards tracked, indicating a dynamic market environment...
Signal 1 / Signal read
Market Overview
The Pokémon card market is experiencing a robust bullish sentiment, with 1,047 cards (68%) showing price increases against 483 cards down and 40,305 remaining flat. This trend reflects a total of 41,835 cards tracked, indicating a dynamic market environment. Historical data highlights a market average 7-day change of +2.1%, with a total of 81,798 sales recorded in the past week, suggesting heightened trading activity. The current momentum indicates a strong recovery phase, especially in sets like SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards, which have outperformed the market with a staggering average 7-day increase of +165.9%.
Signal 2 / Momentum leader
Top Movers
Leading the charge this week, Numel (Pokemon GO #013/078) skyrocketed to $25.57, marking an incredible gain of +8148.4%. Following closely, Bidoof (Pokemon GO #059/078) reached $22.10 with a remarkable +6214.3% increase. Chi-Yu - 057 (Prerelease) (SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards #057) also made headlines, climbing to $70.81, a +2562.0% rise, showcasing the volatility and potential in the market.
Signal 3 / Volume watch
Volume Watch
Unusual trading activity was noted in several cards, with Fennekin - 080 (Pokemon Center Exclusive) experiencing a 4.3x increase in volume, signaling strong demand despite a modest price increase of +1.1%. Raticate (ME03 Perfect Order) saw a 3.9x volume spike alongside a price jump of +20.5%, indicating a growing interest that could lead to further price appreciation in the coming days.
Signal 4 / Sector map
Sector Analysis
7-Day Performance vs Market Average
The SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards (2023) have outperformed the overall market significantly, with an average 7-day change of +165.9%, surpassing the market average by 163.9%. This set's total value reached $10,649.10, showing a 32.3% increase this week, driven by standout cards like Chi-Yu - 057 (Prerelease) which surged +2562.0%. In contrast, the ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) set has declined, with a total value of $1,375.52, down -15.9% over the past week, reflecting a weaker demand as evidenced by its average card price of $6.95 and 8,773 sales. The Pokemon GO (2022) set, while also positive at +110.5%, remains a distant second to SV Scarlet and Violet, reflecting a more stable but less explosive market performance.
Signal 5 / Cooling tape
Notable Declines
Several cards have seen notable declines, presenting potential buy opportunities. Snorlax (Prize Pack Series Cards #143/196) fell to $5.50, down -56.0%, while AZ's Tranquility (ME04 Chaos Rising #120/086) dropped -38.5% to $48.13. These declines could be viewed as entry points, especially considering their historical significance and potential for recovery in a bullish market.
Signal 6 / Set spotlight
Set Spotlight: Pokemon GO (2022)
The Pokemon GO (2022) set has seen an average 7-day price change of +110.5%, with a total of 165 cards tracked. The standout card, Radiant Venusaur, remains a focal point for collectors. Despite the overall positive trend, the set's composite score of 4 indicates room for growth, particularly as the market stabilizes and more collectors seek to complete their sets.
Signal 7 / Grading watch
Grading Watch
| Card | Premium | RAW Price | PSA 10 Price | PSA 10 Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gengar | 65.9x | 5.99 | 394.99 | 6.00 |
| Litten | 55.6x | 10.31 | 573.49 | 4.00 |
| Eevee V | 43.6x | 7.02 | 306.24 | 3.00 |
| N's Zekrom | 43.0x | 12.00 | 515.99 | 3.00 |
| Mega Charizard X ex | 40.8x | 7.74 | 315.43 | 8.00 |
| Mega Charizard Y ex | 40.0x | 7.49 | 299.26 | 5.00 |
PSA 10 premiums continue to present lucrative investment opportunities, with Gengar commanding a staggering 65.9x premium, priced at $394.99 from a raw value of $5.99. Other notable cards include Litten, which sees a 55.6x premium at $573.49, and Eevee V with a 43.6x premium at $306.24. These trends suggest that investing in raw cards with high grading potential could yield significant returns.
Signal 8 / Fair value
Fair Value Buys
| Card | Signal | Upside % | Confidence | Fair Value | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nemona | STRONG_BUY | 763.80 | 84% | 58.22 | 6.74 |
| Shining Volcanion | STRONG_BUY | 698.70 | 50% | 61.34 | 7.68 |
| Darkrai EX | STRONG_BUY | 675.80 | 54% | 82.55 | 10.64 |
| Ho-Oh EX | STRONG_BUY | 589.10 | 53% | 43.07 | 6.25 |
| Arven | STRONG_BUY | 511.80 | 84% | 61.00 | 9.97 |
| Silvally GX | STRONG_BUY | 417.80 | 54% | 41.11 | 7.94 |
Several undervalued cards present compelling buying opportunities, including Nemona, currently priced at $6.74 with a fair value of $58.22, signaling a +763.8% upside and a STRONG_BUY signal with 84% confidence. Shining Volcanion also stands out at $7.68, with a fair value of $61.34, indicating a +698.7% upside potential. These cards represent strategic investments for collectors looking to capitalize on market inefficiencies.
Signal 9 / Set spotlight
Set Value Tracker
| Set | Cards | 7d Change | Avg Price | Card Sales | Total Value | Sealed Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards (2023) | 288.00 | 32.30 | 36.98 | 9,271 | 10,649.1 | 0 |
| ME Mega Evolution Promo (2025) | 85.00 | 28.50 | 42.99 | 12,135 | 3,654 | 0 |
| ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) | 198.00 | -15.90 | 6.95 | 8,773 | 1,375.52 | 40.00 |
| Pokemon GO (2022) | 165.00 | 14.10 | 3.35 | 2,159 | 553.41 | 5.00 |
| Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery (2023) | 70.00 | 5.10 | 34.67 | 12,299 | 2,426.59 | 0 |
| SV09 Journey Together (2025) | 343.00 | 4.30 | 1.91 | 7,792 | 654.39 | 47.00 |
The SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards (2023) have gained the most total value this week, reaching $10,649.10, an increase of 32.3%. This set's average card price is $36.98, supported by 9,271 sales, indicating strong demand. In contrast, ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) has seen a total value decrease to $1,375.52, down -15.9%, with an average card price of $6.95 and 8,773 sales, highlighting a decline in collector interest.
Signal 10 / Pack tape
Pack Value Breakdown
| Set | Packs | Price | $/Pack | Product | 30d Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 (2024) | 6.00 | 1.97 | 0.33 | Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 - Mini Booster Pack | 15.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 36.00 | 221.57 | 6.15 | Perfect Order Booster Box | 23.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.26 | 6.26 | Perfect Order Booster Pack | 23.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.75 | 6.75 | Perfect Order Sleeved Booster Pack | 23.00 |
| ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) | 36.00 | 246.99 | 6.86 | Chaos Rising Booster Box | 4.00 |
| ME01 Mega Evolution (2025) | 36.00 | 250.00 | 6.94 | Mega Evolution Half Booster Box | 21.00 |
The Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 offers the best value at $1.97 for six packs, equating to just $0.33 per pack, making it an attractive option for collectors. In comparison, the Perfect Order Booster Box (ME03 Perfect Order 2026) is priced at $221.57 for 36 packs, translating to $6.15 per pack, which is considerably higher. These prices suggest that the Trick or Trade bundle provides a more economical entry point for collectors and investors.
Signal 11 / Forward read
Looking Ahead
As the market trends bullish, investors should focus on sectors like SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards and Pokemon GO, which are showing strong momentum. The recent surge in demand for cards like Numel and Bidoof indicates a potential shift in collector interests, suggesting that cards from these sets may continue to appreciate. Monitoring PSA 10 grading trends and identifying undervalued cards will be crucial for maximizing returns in this dynamic market environment.