Market Surges 68% as Numel Soars 8148.4%
A bullish sentiment drives significant gains across the Pokémon card market.
Tracked
41,835
Up
1,047
Down
483
Top move
+8148.4%
Today in one read
The Pokémon card market is experiencing a bullish sentiment today, with 1047 cards (68%) reporting gains, 483 cards down, and 40,305 remaining flat. This positive momentum reflects a total of 41,835 tracked cards. Notably, the market average change over the...
Signal 1 / Signal read
Market Overview
The Pokémon card market is experiencing a bullish sentiment today, with 1047 cards (68%) reporting gains, 483 cards down, and 40,305 remaining flat. This positive momentum reflects a total of 41,835 tracked cards. Notably, the market average change over the past 7 days stands at +2.1%, with a 30-day change of +2.5%. Historical data indicates that only 2% of cards were bullish over the last week, highlighting the current surge as a significant deviation from recent trends.
Signal 2 / Momentum leader
Top Movers
Leading the charge, Numel (Pokemon GO #013/078) skyrocketed to $25.57, marking an astonishing increase of 8148.4%. Bidoof (Pokemon GO #059/078) follows closely at $22.10, up 6214.3%, with a PSA 10 value of $1311.89. Other notable gainers include Chi-Yu - 057 (Prerelease) at $70.81 (+2562.0%) and Charcadet (ME Mega Evolution Promo #022) at $54.09 (+1972.4%).
Signal 3 / Volume watch
Volume Watch
Unusual volume spikes were observed in several cards from the ME04 Chaos Rising set, including Mega Greninja ex, which saw a 4.3x increase in volume (503 sales vs. an average of 118), despite a price drop of 14.3%. This trend indicates heightened interest and potential demand shifts, suggesting that collectors are actively trading these cards, possibly anticipating future value increases.
Signal 4 / Sector map
Sector Analysis
7-Day Performance vs Market Average
The SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards (2023) set is outperforming the market significantly, with an average 7-day price change of +165.9%, exceeding the market average by 163.9%. This set features 288 cards and has seen a total of 9,049 sales, with Chi-Yu - 057 (Prerelease) leading as the top gainer at +2562.0%. In contrast, the Prize Pack Series Cards (2022) have only managed a modest +7.3% increase, with Snorlax (Prize Pack Series Cards #143/196) suffering a substantial decline of 56.0%, indicating a potential buying opportunity for savvy investors. The Pokemon GO (2022) set also performed well, with a 7-day change of +110.5%, driven by Numel's remarkable rise, showcasing its potential as a strong investment area.
Signal 5 / Cooling tape
Notable Declines
Despite the overall market surge, several cards have seen significant declines, presenting potential buy opportunities. Snorlax (Prize Pack Series Cards #143/196) is down 56.0% to $5.50, while AZ's Tranquility (ME04 Chaos Rising #120/086) fell 38.5% to $48.13. With fair value assessments suggesting upside potential, these cards could be attractive for investors looking to capitalize on undervalued assets.
Signal 6 / Set spotlight
Set Spotlight: SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards
The SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards (2023) set has emerged as a powerhouse, with an average 7-day price change of +165.9% and a composite score of 15. This set includes 288 cards, with Chi-Yu - 057 (Prerelease) leading the charge at $70.81, reflecting a staggering 2562.0% increase. The set's overall performance is bolstered by high sales volume, totaling 9,049, indicating strong collector interest and future potential.
Signal 7 / Grading watch
Grading Watch
| Card | Premium | RAW Price | PSA 10 Price | PSA 10 Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gengar | 65.9x | 5.99 | 394.99 | 6.00 |
| Litten | 57.3x | 10.32 | 590.99 | 3.00 |
| Eevee V | 43.7x | 7.00 | 306.24 | 3.00 |
| N's Zekrom | 43.0x | 12.00 | 515.99 | 3.00 |
| Mega Charizard X ex | 42.8x | 7.73 | 330.99 | 9.00 |
| Rowlet | 32.7x | 7.83 | 255.95 | 5.00 |
PSA 10 premiums continue to show impressive returns, with Gengar's raw price at $5.99 translating to a PSA 10 value of $394.99, reflecting a 65.9x premium. Other notable cards include Litten (RAW $10.32, PSA 10 $590.99) and Eevee V (RAW $7.00, PSA 10 $306.24). These trends indicate that investing in cards with grading potential can yield significant returns, making them attractive targets for collectors.
Signal 8 / Fair value
Fair Value Buys
| Card | Signal | Upside % | Confidence | Fair Value | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nemona | STRONG_BUY | 763.80 | 85% | 58.22 | 6.74 |
| Shining Volcanion | STRONG_BUY | 698.70 | 51% | 61.34 | 7.68 |
| Darkrai EX | STRONG_BUY | 675.80 | 55% | 82.55 | 10.64 |
| Ho-Oh EX | STRONG_BUY | 589.10 | 53% | 43.07 | 6.25 |
| Arven | STRONG_BUY | 511.70 | 85% | 60.99 | 9.97 |
| Silvally GX | STRONG_BUY | 417.80 | 55% | 41.11 | 7.94 |
Several undervalued cards present strong buying signals, including Nemona at $6.74 with a fair value of $58.22 (+763.8% upside), and Shining Volcanion at $7.68 with a fair value of $61.34 (+698.7% upside). Other strong buy signals include Darkrai EX ($10.64, fair value $82.55, +675.8% upside) and Ho-Oh EX ($6.25, fair value $43.07, +589.1% upside). These cards represent significant upside potential for investors willing to act.
Signal 9 / Set spotlight
Set Value Tracker
| Set | Cards | 7d Change | Avg Price | Card Sales | Total Value | Sealed Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards (2023) | 288.00 | 32.30 | 36.98 | 9,049 | 10,649.1 | 0 |
| ME Mega Evolution Promo (2025) | 85.00 | 28.50 | 42.99 | 11,629 | 3,654 | 0 |
| ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) | 198.00 | -15.90 | 6.95 | 7,604 | 1,375.52 | 30.00 |
| Pokemon GO (2022) | 165.00 | 14.10 | 3.35 | 2,153 | 553.41 | 5.00 |
| Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery (2023) | 70.00 | 5.10 | 34.67 | 12,260 | 2,426.59 | 0 |
| SV09 Journey Together (2025) | 343.00 | 4.30 | 1.91 | 7,664 | 654.39 | 47.00 |
The SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards (2023) set gained the most total value this week, totaling $10,649.10, reflecting a 32.3% increase over 7 days. The average card price in this set is $36.98, supported by strong sales volume. In contrast, the ME04 Chaos Rising set saw a total value decline of 15.9% to $1,375.52, with an average card price of $6.95, indicating weaker demand. The disparity in sealed product sales further highlights the strength of the SV Scarlet and Violet set compared to others.
Signal 10 / Pack tape
Pack Value Breakdown
| Set | Packs | Price | $/Pack | Product | 30d Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 (2024) | 6.00 | 1.98 | 0.33 | Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 - Mini Booster Pack | 14.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 36.00 | 221.61 | 6.16 | Perfect Order Booster Box | 22.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.35 | 6.35 | Perfect Order Booster Pack | 22.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.71 | 6.71 | Perfect Order Sleeved Booster Pack | 22.00 |
| ME01 Mega Evolution (2025) | 36.00 | 250.00 | 6.94 | Mega Evolution Half Booster Box | 20.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 6.00 | 42.47 | 7.08 | Perfect Order Booster Bundle | 22.00 |
The Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 offers the best value, priced at $1.98 for 6 packs, equating to $0.33 per pack. This is significantly lower than the Perfect Order Booster Box (ME03 Perfect Order 2026), which costs $221.61 for 36 packs ($6.16 per pack). Investors should consider the Trick or Trade bundle for the most cost-effective entry into sealed products.
Signal 11 / Forward read
Looking Ahead
As the market continues to show bullish sentiment, investors should closely monitor the SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards for further growth, given their strong performance and collector interest. Additionally, the arbitrage opportunities available, particularly for high-demand cards like Shining Charizard and Charizard VMAX, present actionable strategies for profit. Keeping an eye on grading trends will also be crucial, as cards with high PSA 10 premiums may provide lucrative returns.