Market Surge: 67% of Cards Rise Amid Bullish Sentiment
Investors should focus on top gainers and arbitrage opportunities as market momentum strengthens.
Tracked
41,697
Up
1,001
Down
485
Top move
+193.1%
Today in one read
The Pokémon card market is experiencing a bullish sentiment, with 1001 cards up (67%), 485 cards down, and 40211 remaining flat. This positive trend is reflected in the total tracked cards, which stands at 41697. Historical context shows a market average 7-...
Signal 1 / Signal read
Market Overview
The Pokémon card market is experiencing a bullish sentiment, with 1001 cards up (67%), 485 cards down, and 40211 remaining flat. This positive trend is reflected in the total tracked cards, which stands at 41697. Historical context shows a market average 7-day change of +0.3% and a 30-day change of +0.6%, indicating a gradual upward trajectory. Notably, the average composite score across the market is a low 1/100, suggesting that while many cards are rising, overall market health remains cautious.
Signal 2 / Momentum leader
Top Movers
Leading the charge this week is Ditto from the SV Scarlet and Violet 151 set, skyrocketing to $5.95 with a staggering 193.1% increase. Following closely is Zapdos from the Trading Card Game Classic, now priced at $9.02, reflecting a 115.8% gain. Mewtwo from the same SV Scarlet and Violet 151 set also saw a significant rise, reaching $3.65, up 143.0%. Other notable gainers include Quick Ball at $3.42 (+129.6%) and Leafeon ex at $3.90 (+63.7%).
Signal 3 / Volume watch
Volume Watch
Unusual volume spikes are evident, particularly with AZ's Tranquility from the ME04 Chaos Rising set, which saw a 3.9x increase in volume despite a 37.3% price drop to $49.08. This indicates a potential buy opportunity as collectors may be offloading at a discount, suggesting a market correction. Similarly, Emma from the same set experienced a 3.9x volume increase with a price decrease of 13.4%, signaling heightened interest despite declining values.
Signal 4 / Sector map
Sector Analysis
7-Day Performance vs Market Average
The SWSH10 Astral Radiance set is outperforming the market with a 7-day change of +6.7%, significantly above the market average of +0.3%. This set has a total value of $390.97, with 30 cards tracked and 1501 sales, indicating strong demand. In contrast, the ME04 Chaos Rising set is underperforming, with a 7-day change of -1.9% and a total value of $1453.87, reflecting a 12.5% drop. This set's lack of momentum is evident as it features no major gainers, with AZ's Tranquility leading the declines at -37.3%. The Prize Pack Series Cards also show resilience, with a 7-day increase of +5.6%, outperforming the market by 5.3%.
Signal 5 / Cooling tape
Notable Declines
Several cards are experiencing notable declines, presenting potential buy opportunities. AZ's Tranquility from ME04 Chaos Rising has dropped to $49.08, down 37.3%, while Wooper from the SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards set is down 43.2% to $6.03. These declines may present attractive entry points, especially given the fair value context for AZ's Tranquility, which could rebound as market sentiment shifts.
Signal 6 / Set spotlight
Set Spotlight: Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery (2023)
The Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery set has shown a solid average 7-day price change of +3.7% and an average composite score of 30. With 70 cards tracked and a total value of $2421.10, this set is gaining traction, particularly with cards like Raihan leading the charge. The set's performance is bolstered by 12247 sales, indicating strong collector interest and demand.
Signal 7 / Grading watch
Grading Watch
| Card | Premium | RAW Price | PSA 10 Price | PSA 10 Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gengar | 65.9x | 5.99 | 394.99 | 6.00 |
| Litten | 57.3x | 10.32 | 590.99 | 3.00 |
| N's Zekrom | 43.0x | 12.00 | 515.99 | 3.00 |
| Mega Charizard Y ex | 51.2x | 7.43 | 380.72 | 5.00 |
| Eevee V | 43.8x | 7.00 | 306.24 | 3.00 |
| Mega Charizard X ex | 43.4x | 7.73 | 335.15 | 7.00 |
PSA 10 premiums remain strong, with Gengar achieving a remarkable 65.9x premium, moving from a raw price of $5.99 to $394.99. Litten follows with a 57.3x premium, from $10.32 to $590.99. These trends highlight the potential for significant returns on graded cards, especially for those with lower raw prices but high demand in PSA 10 condition.
Signal 8 / Fair value
Fair Value Buys
| Card | Signal | Upside % | Confidence | Fair Value | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nemona | STRONG_BUY | 757.00 | 85% | 58.45 | 6.82 |
| Shining Volcanion | STRONG_BUY | 687.40 | 51% | 61.34 | 7.79 |
| Darkrai EX | STRONG_BUY | 675.80 | 55% | 82.55 | 10.64 |
| Ho-Oh EX | STRONG_BUY | 605.40 | 53% | 43.03 | 6.10 |
| Arven | STRONG_BUY | 523.10 | 85% | 61.19 | 9.82 |
| Flaaffy (Secret) | STRONG_BUY | 420.80 | 51% | 34.74 | 6.67 |
Several undervalued cards present compelling investment opportunities. Nemona, currently priced at $6.82, has a fair value of $58.45, indicating a potential upside of 757.0% with an 85% confidence level. Similarly, Darkrai EX at $10.64 has a fair value of $82.55, suggesting a 675.8% upside. These cards are strong buy signals for savvy investors looking to capitalize on mispriced assets.
Signal 9 / Set spotlight
Set Value Tracker
| Set | Cards | 7d Change | Avg Price | Card Sales | Total Value | Sealed Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) | 198.00 | -12.50 | 7.34 | 6,105 | 1,453.87 | 20.00 |
| Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery (2023) | 70.00 | 5.10 | 34.59 | 12,247 | 2,421.1 | 0 |
| SV09 Journey Together (2025) | 343.00 | 3.80 | 1.92 | 7,570 | 660.04 | 47.00 |
| ME Ascended Heroes (2026) | 758.00 | 3.70 | 10.76 | 29,699 | 8,154.5 | 291.00 |
| SWSH10 Astral Radiance Trainer Gallery (2022) | 30.00 | 3.40 | 13.03 | 1,501 | 390.97 | 0 |
| SV Scarlet and Violet 151 (2023) | 368.00 | 3.20 | 6.97 | 13,374 | 2,564.61 | 5.00 |
This week, the ME04 Chaos Rising set saw a total value decrease of 12.5% to $1453.87, reflecting weak demand with an average price of $7.34 per card. In contrast, the Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery set gained 5.1%, reaching a total value of $2421.10, with an average card price of $34.59. This disparity indicates a shift in collector interest, with the Crown Zenith set showing strong sealed product demand, evidenced by its 12247 sales.
Signal 10 / Pack tape
Pack Value Breakdown
| Set | Packs | Price | $/Pack | Product | 30d Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 (2024) | 6.00 | 2.00 | 0.33 | Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 - Mini Booster Pack | 14.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 36.00 | 225.04 | 6.25 | Perfect Order Booster Box | 21.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.34 | 6.34 | Perfect Order Booster Pack | 21.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.79 | 6.79 | Perfect Order Sleeved Booster Pack | 21.00 |
| ME01 Mega Evolution (2025) | 36.00 | 250.00 | 6.94 | Mega Evolution Half Booster Box | 19.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 6.00 | 43.19 | 7.20 | Perfect Order Booster Bundle | 21.00 |
The Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 offers the best value, priced at $2.00 for 6 packs, equating to $0.33 per pack. In comparison, the Perfect Order Booster Box (ME03 Perfect Order 2026) is priced at $225.04 for 36 packs, resulting in a higher $6.25 per pack. Investors should consider the Trick or Trade bundle for cost-effective entry into the market.
Signal 11 / Forward read
Looking Ahead
As the market trends bullish, investors should focus on top gainers like Ditto and Zapdos while monitoring the arbitrage opportunities that present substantial profit potential. The sector analysis indicates that sets like SWSH10 Astral Radiance and Prize Pack Series Cards are outperforming, suggesting a strategic focus on these areas. Additionally, the fair value buys highlight significant upside potential, making them attractive targets for investment.