Market Sentiment Soars: 68% of Cards Gain Value
Bullish momentum continues as collectors capitalize on rising card values.
Tracked
39,768
Up
991
Down
466
Top move
+152.6%
Today in one read
The Pokémon card market is experiencing a bullish sentiment, with 991 cards (68%) showing gains, while only 466 cards declined and 38,311 remained flat. This trend is reflected in the historical context, where the average market change over the past 7 days...
Signal 1 / Signal read
Market Overview
The Pokémon card market is experiencing a bullish sentiment, with 991 cards (68%) showing gains, while only 466 cards declined and 38,311 remained flat. This trend is reflected in the historical context, where the average market change over the past 7 days was a modest +0.2%, indicating that the current surge is significant. With a total of 39,768 cards tracked, the market is poised for further growth as collectors respond to rising demand and value appreciation.
Signal 2 / Momentum leader
Top Movers
Leading the charge this week is Ditto from the SV Scarlet and Violet 151 set, skyrocketing to $5.28 with a staggering 152.6% increase. Mewtwo also saw impressive growth, now valued at $3.77, up 143.0%. Pikachu from SWSH11 Lost Origin is now priced at $8.01, marking a 102.8% rise. Other notable gainers include Gyarados ex at $14.33 (+43.3%) and Quaquaval ex at $7.61 (+46.1%), showcasing strong momentum across various sets.
Signal 3 / Volume watch
Volume Watch
Unusual volume spikes indicate robust demand, particularly for Raticate from ME03 Perfect Order, which saw a 3.9x increase in sales volume, rising to 55 units sold despite a price increase of 20.5%. Ho-Oh GX (Full Art) also experienced a volume surge with 10 sales, tripling its average. These spikes suggest that collectors are actively seeking specific cards, potentially signaling future price increases.
Signal 4 / Sector map
Sector Analysis
7-Day Performance vs Market Average
The SWSH10 Astral Radiance (2022) set has outperformed the market with a 7-day price change of +6.7%, significantly exceeding the market average of +0.2%. This set, with an average composite score of 2, has 351 cards tracked and 1,149 sales. The top gainer, Roxanne (Full Art), is indicative of the set's solid performance, while the overall demand reflects a healthy interest in Trainer cards. Conversely, the ME Mega Evolution Promo (2025) set is underperforming, with a 7-day change of -1.4%, indicating a potential oversupply or waning collector interest. This set has a composite score of 21 and 9,812 sales, suggesting that while it has volume, it lacks the price appreciation seen in other sets like Astral Radiance.
Signal 5 / Cooling tape
Notable Declines
Several cards have seen notable declines, presenting potential buy opportunities. Wooper from SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards has dropped to $6.33, down 38.9%, while N's PP Up from ME Ascended Heroes is now priced at $3.07, reflecting a 37.7% decrease. With fair value assessments suggesting substantial upside potential for these cards, collectors may find value in acquiring these dips.
Signal 6 / Set spotlight
Set Spotlight: SWSH10 Astral Radiance
SWSH10 Astral Radiance (2022) continues to impress with an average 7-day price change of +6.7%. This set, comprising 351 cards, has demonstrated resilience with a composite score of 2. The top card, Roxanne (Full Art), exemplifies the set's appeal, and with 1,149 sales, it indicates strong collector interest. The set's performance is further bolstered by the absence of high momentum cards, suggesting steady demand across the board.
Signal 7 / Grading watch
Grading Watch
| Card | Premium | RAW Price | PSA 10 Price | PSA 10 Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Litten | 57.3x | 10.32 | 590.99 | 4.00 |
| Gengar | 65.9x | 5.99 | 394.99 | 6.00 |
| Eevee V | 43.8x | 6.99 | 306.24 | 3.00 |
| Mega Charizard Y ex | 52.0x | 7.32 | 380.72 | 5.00 |
| Larvitar | 35.6x | 8.42 | 299.99 | 3.00 |
| Poochyena | 35.1x | 6.32 | 222.01 | 3.00 |
The premium for PSA 10 graded cards remains robust, with Litten commanding a staggering 57.3x premium, selling at $590.99 compared to its raw price of $10.32. Gengar follows closely with a 65.9x premium, priced at $394.99. Other notable cards include Mega Charizard Y ex, which has a 52.0x premium, indicating that collectors are willing to pay significantly more for graded cards, making grading a lucrative avenue for investment.
Signal 8 / Fair value
Fair Value Buys
| Card | Signal | Upside % | Confidence | Fair Value | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nemona | STRONG_BUY | 743.10 | 85% | 57.92 | 6.87 |
| Shining Volcanion | STRONG_BUY | 698.60 | 51% | 61.33 | 7.68 |
| Darkrai EX | STRONG_BUY | 675.80 | 55% | 82.55 | 10.64 |
| Ho-Oh EX | STRONG_BUY | 605.10 | 53% | 43.01 | 6.10 |
| Arven | STRONG_BUY | 514.70 | 85% | 60.67 | 9.87 |
| Flaaffy (Secret) | STRONG_BUY | 423.10 | 51% | 34.84 | 6.66 |
Several undervalued cards present compelling buying opportunities. Nemona is currently priced at $6.87, with a fair value of $57.92, representing a staggering 743.1% upside. Shining Volcanion also shows promise, priced at $7.68 with a fair value of $61.33 (+698.6% upside). Other strong buy signals include Darkrai EX at $10.64 (+675.8% upside) and Ho-Oh EX at $6.10 (+605.1% upside), making these cards attractive investments for collectors.
Signal 9 / Set spotlight
Set Value Tracker
| Set | Cards | 7d Change | Avg Price | Card Sales | Total Value | Sealed Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery (2023) | 70.00 | 4.20 | 34.11 | 12,020 | 2,387.36 | 0 |
| SWSH09 Brilliant Stars Trainer Gallery (2022) | 30.00 | 3.90 | 23.52 | 3,430 | 705.71 | 0 |
| McDonalds Promos 2024 (2025) | 15.00 | -3.50 | 1.29 | 521.00 | 19.40 | 5.00 |
| SWSH10 Astral Radiance Trainer Gallery (2022) | 30.00 | 3.10 | 12.97 | 1,476 | 389.20 | 0 |
| ME Ascended Heroes (2026) | 758.00 | 3.00 | 10.71 | 28,231 | 8,121.3 | 266.00 |
| ME02 Phantasmal Flames (2025) | 226.00 | -2.90 | 6.46 | 5,965 | 1,461.02 | 228.00 |
The Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery (2023) set has seen a total value increase of $2387.36, reflecting a +4.2% change over the past week. With an average card price of $34.11 and 12,020 sales, this set demonstrates strong demand. In contrast, the ME Ascended Heroes (2026) set, despite having a total value of $8,121.30, only gained +3% this week, indicating a potential plateau in value appreciation despite high sales volume.
Signal 10 / Pack tape
Pack Value Breakdown
| Set | Packs | Price | $/Pack | Product | 30d Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 (2024) | 6.00 | 1.92 | 0.32 | Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 - Mini Booster Pack | 12.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.32 | 6.32 | Perfect Order Booster Pack | 19.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 36.00 | 229.07 | 6.36 | Perfect Order Booster Box | 19.00 |
| ME01 Mega Evolution (2025) | 36.00 | 250.00 | 6.94 | Mega Evolution Half Booster Box | 18.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.96 | 6.96 | Perfect Order Sleeved Booster Pack | 19.00 |
| ME01 Mega Evolution (2025) | 1.00 | 7.21 | 7.21 | Mega Evolution Booster Pack | 18.00 |
The Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 offers the best value at $1.92 for 6 packs, translating to just $0.32 per pack. In comparison, the Perfect Order Booster Pack from ME03 Perfect Order is priced at $6.32 for a single pack, while the Perfect Order Booster Box costs $229.07 for 36 packs, equating to $6.36 per pack. Collectors seeking value should consider the Trick or Trade offering for the lowest entry point.
Signal 11 / Forward read
Looking Ahead
As the market continues to show bullish sentiment, sectors like SWSH10 Astral Radiance and Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery are poised for further growth. Investors should monitor the performance of undervalued cards like Nemona and Shining Volcanion, as their potential upside is significant. Additionally, the ongoing arbitrage opportunities suggest that savvy collectors can capitalize on price discrepancies between platforms, particularly favoring eBay sales for higher returns.