Mewtwo Surges 143% Amid Bullish Market Sentiment
The Pokémon card market shows strong upward momentum with 72% of tracked cards gaining value.
Tracked
39,621
Up
1,050
Down
417
Top move
+143.0%
Today in one read
The Pokémon card market is experiencing a bullish sentiment today, with 1,050 cards (72%) showing gains, while only 417 cards are declining. Historical context reveals a market average 7-day change of +0.2% and a 30-day change of +0.6%. The total number of...
Signal 1 / Signal read
Market Overview
The Pokémon card market is experiencing a bullish sentiment today, with 1,050 cards (72%) showing gains, while only 417 cards are declining. Historical context reveals a market average 7-day change of +0.2% and a 30-day change of +0.6%. The total number of tracked cards stands at 39,621, indicating a robust trading environment with significant investor interest.
Signal 2 / Momentum leader
Top Movers
Leading the pack is Mewtwo (SV Scarlet and Violet 151 #150/165), which has skyrocketed to $4.68, marking a staggering 143.0% increase. Pikachu (SWSH11 Lost Origin #052/196) follows closely with a price of $7.56, up 87.6%. Other notable gainers include Gothitelle (SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards #211) at $5.38 (+81.8%) and Slowpoke (SV Paldean Fates #116/091) at $20.91 (+72.8%).
Signal 3 / Volume watch
Volume Watch
Pikachu (SWSH11 Lost Origin) has seen a remarkable 4.3x increase in sales volume, with 12 sales compared to an average of 3, coinciding with its 87.6% price surge. This spike signals strong demand and collector interest, indicating that this card could continue to appreciate in value.
Signal 4 / Sector map
Sector Analysis
7-Day Performance vs Market Average
The SWSH10 Astral Radiance set is outperforming the market with a 7-day average change of +6.7%, significantly higher than the overall market average of +0.2%. This set has a composite score of 2, with 351 cards and 1,127 sales, highlighting its popularity among collectors. The top gainer from this set, Registeel, has seen an astronomical increase of 2,289.7%, showcasing the potential for high returns within this sector.
In contrast, the Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery set has shown a more modest 7-day change of +3.6% and a 30-day change of +14.6%, with a composite score of 29. Despite its strong performance, it still lags behind the SWSH10 Astral Radiance set in terms of momentum. The top card from Crown Zenith, Duskull, reflects the overall health of this set but does not match the explosive growth seen in Astral Radiance.
Signal 5 / Cooling tape
Notable Declines
The market has also seen significant declines, particularly with Mega Gengar ex (ME Ascended Heroes #284/217), which has dropped to $1,087.36, a decrease of 22.8%. This decline, along with others like Wooper (SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards #155) at $6.94 (-33.0%), presents potential buying opportunities for savvy investors, especially considering the fair value assessments indicating substantial upside for many of these cards.
Signal 6 / Set spotlight
Set Spotlight: Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery
Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery has shown an average 7-day price change of +3.6% and an impressive 30-day change of +14.6%. With 70 cards tracked and an average composite score of 29, this set is gaining traction among collectors. The top card, Duskull, reflects the growing interest, although no cards within this set currently exhibit high momentum, indicating potential for future appreciation.
Signal 7 / Grading watch
Grading Watch
| Card | Premium | RAW Price | PSA 10 Price | PSA 10 Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mega Charizard X ex | 68.5x | 7.63 | 522.40 | 4.00 |
| Gengar | 56.4x | 5.50 | 309.98 | 3.00 |
| Mega Charizard Y ex | 53.0x | 7.18 | 380.72 | 4.00 |
| Dragonite | 36.6x | 5.55 | 202.98 | 4.00 |
| Charizard ex | 35.0x | 7.74 | 270.54 | 19.00 |
| Starly | 28.7x | 11.32 | 325.39 | 3.00 |
The premium for PSA 10 graded cards remains significant, with Mega Charizard X ex showing a remarkable 68.5x premium, selling for $522.40 from a raw price of $7.63. Other notable cards include Gengar, with a 56.4x premium, and Mega Charizard Y ex at 53.0x. These trends suggest that investing in raw cards with high grading potential could yield substantial returns.
Signal 8 / Fair value
Fair Value Buys
| Card | Signal | Upside % | Confidence | Fair Value | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nemona | STRONG_BUY | 735.70 | 81% | 57.58 | 6.89 |
| Shining Volcanion | STRONG_BUY | 699.10 | 51% | 61.05 | 7.64 |
| Darkrai EX | STRONG_BUY | 678.30 | 55% | 83.04 | 10.67 |
| Ho-Oh EX | STRONG_BUY | 605.10 | 53% | 43.01 | 6.10 |
| Arven | STRONG_BUY | 457.60 | 84% | 55.04 | 9.87 |
| Silvally GX | STRONG_BUY | 394.80 | 55% | 40.62 | 8.21 |
Several undervalued cards present strong buying opportunities, including Nemona, currently priced at $6.89 with a fair value of $57.58, indicating a potential upside of 735.7%. Other strong buy signals include Shining Volcanion at $7.64 (699.1% upside) and Darkrai EX at $10.67 (678.3% upside), all carrying high confidence levels for investors looking to capitalize on mispriced assets.
Signal 9 / Set spotlight
Set Value Tracker
| Set | Cards | 7d Change | Avg Price | Card Sales | Total Value | Sealed Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV03 Obsidian Flames (2023) | 414.00 | 6.70 | 1.48 | 5,032 | 610.90 | 40.00 |
| ME02 Phantasmal Flames (2025) | 226.00 | -4.10 | 6.14 | 4,495 | 1,387.01 | 240.00 |
| SV Prismatic Evolutions (2025) | 447.00 | 4.00 | 12.70 | 13,482 | 5,674.78 | 263.00 |
| SV01 Scarlet and Violet Base Set (2023) | 458.00 | 3.90 | 2.03 | 6,453 | 929.91 | 21.00 |
| SV White Flare (2025) | 411.00 | 3.40 | 8.13 | 8,471 | 3,343.3 | 139.00 |
| SV04 Paradox Rift (2023) | 436.00 | 3.40 | 2.79 | 5,886 | 1,217.09 | 12.00 |
In the past week, SV03 Obsidian Flames has gained a total value of $610.90, reflecting a 6.7% increase, while ME02 Phantasmal Flames has seen a decline of 4.1% to $1,387.01. The average card price in Obsidian Flames is $1.48, with 5,032 card sales, indicating strong demand. Conversely, the demand for sealed products remains robust, particularly in SV Prismatic Evolutions, which has a total value of $5,674.78 and an average price of $12.70 per card.
Signal 10 / Pack tape
Pack Value Breakdown
| Set | Packs | Price | $/Pack | Product | 30d Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 (2024) | 6.00 | 1.88 | 0.31 | Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 - Mini Booster Pack | 15.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 36.00 | 214.35 | 5.95 | Perfect Order Booster Box | 20.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.33 | 6.33 | Perfect Order Booster Pack | 20.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.67 | 6.67 | Perfect Order Sleeved Booster Pack | 20.00 |
| SV09 Journey Together (2025) | 1.00 | 6.77 | 6.77 | Journey Together Booster Pack | 7.00 |
| ME01 Mega Evolution (2025) | 36.00 | 250.00 | 6.94 | Mega Evolution Half Booster Box | 15.00 |
The Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 offers the best value at $1.88 for six packs, translating to just $0.31 per pack. In contrast, the Perfect Order Booster Box (ME03 Perfect Order 2026) is priced at $214.35 for 36 packs, resulting in a higher cost of $5.95 per pack. Investors should consider these options when evaluating sealed product purchases.
Signal 11 / Forward read
Looking Ahead
With the Pokémon card market showing strong bullish sentiment, investors should monitor the SWSH10 Astral Radiance set for continued growth, as it currently outperforms the market. Additionally, the arbitrage opportunities, particularly with high-value cards like Shining Charizard, suggest a favorable environment for profit. Collectors should remain vigilant for undervalued cards and consider grading potential as a key factor in their investment strategies.