Market Gains Surge: 73% of Cards on the Rise
Bullish sentiment drives significant price increases across the board.
Tracked
39,404
Up
1,064
Down
387
Top move
+143.0%
Today in one read
The Pokémon card market is experiencing a bullish sentiment, with 1,064 cards (73%) reporting price increases today. In contrast, 387 cards declined, while 37,953 remained flat. This comes against a backdrop of historical data showing a 7-day market average...
Signal 1 / Signal read
Market Overview
The Pokémon card market is experiencing a bullish sentiment, with 1,064 cards (73%) reporting price increases today. In contrast, 387 cards declined, while 37,953 remained flat. This comes against a backdrop of historical data showing a 7-day market average change of +0.2% and a 30-day change of +0.6%. The total tracked cards now stand at 39,404, reflecting a robust trading environment. Notably, the average composite score across the market is just 1 out of 100, indicating that while many cards are gaining, overall card quality remains low. The most active set, ME Ascended Heroes, has recorded 22,057 sales, suggesting a strong collector interest in recent releases.
Signal 2 / Momentum leader
Top Movers
Leading the charge this week is Mewtwo from the SV Scarlet and Violet 151 set, which surged to $3.34, marking a staggering gain of 143.0%. Bulbasaur from the ME Mega Evolution Promo also saw impressive growth, now priced at $50.21, up 111.4%. Other notable gainers include Gothitelle at $5.18 (+69.8%), Leafeon ex at $4.57 (+63.7%), and Slowpoke at $19.77 (+56.0%), reflecting strong demand across various sets.
Signal 3 / Volume watch
Volume Watch
Several cards are experiencing unusual trading volumes, signaling heightened demand. Raticate from ME03 Perfect Order saw a volume spike of 3.9 times its normal activity, with a price increase of 20.5%. Similarly, Pikachu from SWSH11 Lost Origin has 4.3 times its average volume, correlating with a 61.5% price jump to $6.51. These spikes indicate that collectors are actively seeking these cards, potentially driving further price appreciation.
Signal 4 / Sector map
Sector Analysis
7-Day Performance vs Market Average
The SWSH10 Astral Radiance set is outperforming the market with a 7-day average change of +6.7%, significantly exceeding the market average of +0.2%. This set has a composite score of 2, with 1,146 sales, and features standout cards like Registeel, which skyrocketed by 2,289.7%. In contrast, the ME Mega Evolution Promo set has a more modest average change of +4.0%, but it still outperforms the market by 3.8%. The top gainer here, Bulbasaur, reflects strong interest, rising 111.4%. The SWSH12 Silver Tempest Trainer Gallery set is underperforming with a +2.9% change, but it has a solid 30-day increase of +10.9%, indicating potential for future growth as collectors revisit this set.
Signal 5 / Cooling tape
Notable Declines
Among the notable decliners, Perrin from SV06 Twilight Masquerade fell 22.6% to $5.03, while Latias ex from SV08 Surging Sparks dropped 22.5% to $5.94. These declines may present buying opportunities, especially considering the fair value context. For example, Gengar ex is currently priced at $6.31, down 27.1%, but its fair value suggests significant upside potential, making it a candidate for savvy investors.
Signal 6 / Set spotlight
Set Spotlight: ME Mega Evolution Promo (2025)
The ME Mega Evolution Promo set has seen a 7-day average price change of +4.0%, with a total of 70 cards tracked. The average composite score is 23, indicating moderate collector interest. The top card, Mega Gardevoir ex, exemplifies the set's potential, while Bulbasaur's 111.4% increase highlights the demand for key cards within this collection.
Signal 7 / Grading watch
Grading Watch
| Card | Premium | RAW Price | PSA 10 Price | PSA 10 Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mega Charizard X ex | 68.5x | 7.63 | 522.40 | 4.00 |
| Gengar | 56.4x | 5.50 | 309.98 | 3.00 |
| Mega Charizard Y ex | 53.0x | 7.18 | 380.72 | 4.00 |
| Dragonite | 36.6x | 5.55 | 202.98 | 4.00 |
| Charizard ex | 35.0x | 7.74 | 270.54 | 21.00 |
| Starly | 28.9x | 11.26 | 325.39 | 3.00 |
PSA 10 premiums remain strong, with Mega Charizard X ex showing a remarkable 68.5x premium, priced at $522.40 from a raw value of $7.63. Gengar also presents a compelling case with a 56.4x premium, selling at $309.98 from a $5.50 raw price. Investors should consider these grading trends as they seek high-ROI cards, particularly those with established market demand.
Signal 8 / Fair value
Fair Value Buys
| Card | Signal | Upside % | Confidence | Fair Value | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nemona | STRONG_BUY | 750.70 | 84% | 57.17 | 6.72 |
| Shining Volcanion | STRONG_BUY | 677.50 | 51% | 59.71 | 7.68 |
| Darkrai EX | STRONG_BUY | 670.60 | 55% | 82.45 | 10.70 |
| Ho-Oh EX | STRONG_BUY | 599.30 | 53% | 43.01 | 6.15 |
| Arven | STRONG_BUY | 518.30 | 84% | 60.16 | 9.73 |
| Silvally GX | STRONG_BUY | 436.90 | 55% | 40.27 | 7.50 |
Several undervalued cards present strong buying signals. Nemona is currently priced at $6.72 with a fair value of $57.17, indicating a potential upside of 750.7%. Shining Volcanion, at $7.68, shows a fair value of $59.71 (+677.5% upside), while Darkrai EX at $10.70 has a fair value of $82.45 (+670.6% upside). These cards are rated with STRONG_BUY signals, suggesting that collectors should act quickly to capitalize on these opportunities.
Signal 9 / Set spotlight
Set Value Tracker
| Set | Cards | 7d Change | Avg Price | Card Sales | Total Value | Sealed Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV03 Obsidian Flames (2023) | 414.00 | 6.20 | 1.45 | 5,616 | 599.06 | 69.00 |
| McDonalds Promos 2023 (2023) | 15.00 | 5.80 | 1.06 | 105.00 | 15.94 | 4.00 |
| SV05 Temporal Forces (2024) | 362.00 | 4.80 | 3.47 | 4,717 | 1,256.94 | 31.00 |
| McDonalds Promos 2024 (2025) | 15.00 | 4.40 | 1.33 | 563.00 | 19.89 | 9.00 |
| SV04 Paradox Rift (2023) | 436.00 | 4.00 | 2.75 | 6,185 | 1,200.78 | 29.00 |
| SWSH12 Silver Tempest Trainer Gallery (2022) | 30.00 | 3.60 | 15.94 | 2,964 | 478.24 | 0 |
In the past week, the SV05 Temporal Forces set gained the most total value, now totaling $1,256.94 with an average price of $3.47 per card across 362 cards. Conversely, the SWSH12 Silver Tempest Trainer Gallery set, despite a 7-day change of +2.9%, has a lower total value of $478.24, reflecting less collector interest. The demand for sealed products remains strong, as evidenced by the 7114 sales in the ME Mega Evolution Promo set, indicating a healthy market for both cards and sealed products.
Signal 10 / Pack tape
Pack Value Breakdown
| Set | Packs | Price | $/Pack | Product | 30d Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 (2024) | 6.00 | 1.67 | 0.28 | Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 - Mini Booster Pack | 15.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 36.00 | 207.09 | 5.75 | Perfect Order Booster Box | 33.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.60 | 6.60 | Perfect Order Booster Pack | 17.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 6.00 | 41.02 | 6.84 | Perfect Order Booster Bundle | 45.00 |
| ME01 Mega Evolution (2025) | 36.00 | 250.00 | 6.94 | Mega Evolution Half Booster Box | 11.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 7.10 | 7.10 | Perfect Order Sleeved Booster Pack | 16.00 |
The Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 offers the best value at $1.67 for 6 packs, translating to just $0.28 per pack. This is significantly lower than the Perfect Order Booster Box, priced at $207.09 for 36 packs ($5.75 per pack). Investors looking for sealed products should consider the Trick or Trade option for cost-effective entry into the market.
Signal 11 / Forward read
Looking Ahead
As the market continues to show bullish trends, collectors should focus on high-momentum cards and undervalued opportunities. The strong performance of sets like SWSH10 Astral Radiance suggests that specific cards within this set may yield significant returns. Additionally, the arbitrage opportunities present a lucrative avenue for profit, particularly with high-demand cards like Shining Charizard and Charizard VMAX. Monitoring these trends will be crucial for informed investment decisions in the coming weeks.