Market Surges 79% with Mewtwo Leading Gains at +143%
Bullish sentiment drives significant price movements in the Pokémon card market.
Tracked
39,288
Up
1,209
Down
321
Top move
+143.0%
Today in one read
The Pokémon card market is experiencing a bullish sentiment, with 79% of tracked cards, totaling 1209, showing price increases. In stark contrast, only 321 cards are down, while 37758 remain flat, indicating a strong upward trend in collector interest. Hist...
Signal 1 / Signal read
Market Overview
The Pokémon card market is experiencing a bullish sentiment, with 79% of tracked cards, totaling 1209, showing price increases. In stark contrast, only 321 cards are down, while 37758 remain flat, indicating a strong upward trend in collector interest. Historical context reveals a 7-day average market change of +0.3% and a 30-day change of +0.5%, suggesting sustained momentum. With a total of 39288 cards tracked, the market is actively responding to recent trends and collector demand.
Signal 2 / Momentum leader
Top Movers
Leading the charge this week is Mewtwo from the SV Scarlet and Violet 151 set, now priced at $3.37, reflecting a staggering +143.0% increase. Entei from SV Paldean Fates follows closely at $28.41, up +123.0%. Pikachu - 225 (World Championship 2025) has surged to $13.88, marking a +109.7% gain. Other notable gainers include Terapagos ex at $75.78 (+96.6%) and Snorlax at $13.27 (+85.9%).
Signal 3 / Volume watch
Volume Watch
Significant volume spikes indicate heightened demand for certain cards. Pikachu from SWSH11 Lost Origin has seen a 4.3x increase in sales volume, reaching 12 sales with a price increase of +61.5%. Similarly, Snorlax from Crown Zenith has also experienced a 4.3x volume increase, maintaining its price at $13.27. Such spikes suggest a growing interest among collectors, which could lead to further price appreciation in the near term.
Signal 4 / Sector map
Sector Analysis
7-Day Performance vs Market Average
The SWSH10 Astral Radiance set has outperformed the market with a 7-day average change of +7.1%, surpassing the market average by 6.8%. This set boasts a composite score of 2 and has recorded 1155 sales, with Registeel leading as the top gainer at an impressive +2289.7%. In comparison, the SWSH12 Silver Tempest Trainer Gallery has also shown strength with a +6.8% change, outperforming the market by 6.5% and achieving a 30-day change of +11.9%. This set has a composite score of 22 with 2962 sales, indicating robust collector interest.
Meanwhile, the Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery has a 7-day change of +6.5%, also outperforming the market by 6.2%. With a composite score of 31 and 11483 sales, it remains a key player. The overall market sentiment is buoyed by these top-performing sets, suggesting a trend towards higher-value cards and collector engagement.
Signal 5 / Cooling tape
Notable Declines
Despite the overall bullish sentiment, several cards have seen significant declines, presenting potential buy opportunities. Mega Venusaur ex from the Prize Pack Series has dropped to $9.40, down -24.4%. Similarly, Mega Dragonite ex is now at $4.99, reflecting a -27.1% decrease. These declines could be strategic entry points for investors, especially considering their historical value and potential for recovery.
Signal 6 / Set spotlight
Set Spotlight: Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery
The Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery has demonstrated resilience with an average 7-day price change of +6.5%. This set features 70 cards with an average composite score of 31, highlighting its overall quality. The top card, Magnezone, has garnered attention, reflecting the set's potential for future growth. With 11483 sales, the demand for this set remains robust, indicating strong collector interest.
Signal 7 / Grading watch
Grading Watch
| Card | Premium | RAW Price | PSA 10 Price | PSA 10 Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mega Charizard X ex | 68.5x | 7.63 | 522.40 | 4.00 |
| Gengar | 56.4x | 5.50 | 309.98 | 3.00 |
| Mega Charizard Y ex | 53.0x | 7.18 | 380.72 | 4.00 |
| Dragonite | 36.6x | 5.55 | 202.98 | 4.00 |
| Charizard ex | 35.0x | 7.74 | 270.54 | 21.00 |
| Manaphy | 30.0x | 5.83 | 175.15 | 4.00 |
PSA 10 premiums are showing notable trends, with Mega Charizard X ex commanding a staggering 68.5x premium, currently priced at $522.40 from a raw price of $7.63. Gengar also shows strong potential with a 56.4x premium, priced at $309.98 from a raw value of $5.50. These high premiums suggest that collectors are increasingly valuing graded cards, particularly those from iconic sets, making them worthy investments.
Signal 8 / Fair value
Fair Value Buys
| Card | Signal | Upside % | Confidence | Fair Value | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nemona | STRONG_BUY | 773.00 | 85% | 57.18 | 6.55 |
| Shining Volcanion | STRONG_BUY | 670.80 | 51% | 59.58 | 7.73 |
| Darkrai EX | STRONG_BUY | 664.30 | 55% | 82.47 | 10.79 |
| Ho-Oh EX | STRONG_BUY | 596.00 | 53% | 43.01 | 6.18 |
| Arven | STRONG_BUY | 518.80 | 85% | 60.21 | 9.73 |
| Silvally GX | STRONG_BUY | 444.20 | 55% | 40.38 | 7.42 |
Several undervalued cards present strong upside opportunities. Nemona is currently priced at $6.55 with a fair value of $57.18, indicating a remarkable +773.0% upside. Shining Volcanion at $7.73 has a fair value of $59.58, offering a +670.8% upside. Darkrai EX, priced at $10.79, has a fair value of $82.47, suggesting a +664.3% upside. These cards represent compelling investment opportunities for savvy collectors.
Signal 9 / Set spotlight
Set Value Tracker
| Set | Cards | 7d Change | Avg Price | Card Sales | Total Value | Sealed Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McDonalds Promos 2023 (2023) | 15.00 | 14.40 | 1.05 | 105.00 | 15.74 | 4.00 |
| SWSH11 Lost Origin (2022) | 377.00 | 12.60 | 3.74 | 886.00 | 1,408.79 | 33.00 |
| SV05 Temporal Forces (2024) | 361.00 | 10.80 | 3.44 | 4,726 | 1,241.89 | 37.00 |
| SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery (2022) | 30.00 | 10.10 | 19.72 | 2,805 | 591.68 | 0 |
| SV07 Stellar Crown (2024) | 306.00 | 10.00 | 2.27 | 4,743 | 694.69 | 169.00 |
| SWSH12 Silver Tempest Trainer Gallery (2022) | 30.00 | 9.40 | 15.78 | 2,962 | 473.35 | 0 |
This week, the SWSH11 Lost Origin set gained a total value of $1408.79, reflecting a +12.6% increase over 7 days. The average card price in this set is $3.74, supported by 886 sales. In contrast, the SV05 Temporal Forces set saw a total value of $1241.89, up +10.8%, with an average price of $3.44 across 361 cards. The demand for sealed products remains strong, particularly in the SWSH11 Lost Origin set, which has 33 sealed sales, indicating a healthy market for collectors.
Signal 10 / Pack tape
Pack Value Breakdown
| Set | Packs | Price | $/Pack | Product | 30d Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 (2024) | 6.00 | 1.62 | 0.27 | Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 - Mini Booster Pack | 14.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 36.00 | 198.93 | 5.53 | Perfect Order Booster Box | 45.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 9.00 | 55.62 | 6.18 | Perfect Order Elite Trainer Box | 235.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.49 | 6.49 | Perfect Order Booster Pack | 18.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.97 | 6.97 | Perfect Order Sleeved Booster Pack | 15.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 6.00 | 42.55 | 7.09 | Perfect Order Booster Bundle | 44.00 |
The Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 offers the best value at $1.62 for 6 packs, translating to $0.27 per pack. In contrast, the Perfect Order Booster Box is priced at $198.93 for 36 packs, equating to $5.53 per pack. The Perfect Order Elite Trainer Box, priced at $55.62 for 9 packs, comes in at $6.18 per pack. These comparisons highlight the significant price variations in sealed products, providing insights for collectors looking to maximize value.
Signal 11 / Forward read
Looking Ahead
As the market continues to show bullish trends, collectors should monitor the SWSH10 Astral Radiance and SWSH12 Silver Tempest Trainer Gallery sets, both of which are outperforming the market. The ongoing demand for high-value cards, particularly those with strong grading potential, suggests that investing in graded cards could yield substantial returns. Investors should also keep an eye on arbitrage opportunities, especially those favoring eBay purchases, as price discrepancies remain significant.