Market Surges 79% with Mewtwo Leading Gains at 143%
Bullish sentiment drives significant price increases across the Pokémon card market.
Tracked
39,226
Up
1,222
Down
325
Top move
+143.0%
Today in one read
The Pokémon card market is experiencing a bullish sentiment today, with 79% of the 39,226 tracked cards showing upward movement. Specifically, 1,222 cards have increased in value, while only 325 have declined, and 37,679 remain flat. Historical context reve...
Signal 1 / Signal read
Market Overview
The Pokémon card market is experiencing a bullish sentiment today, with 79% of the 39,226 tracked cards showing upward movement. Specifically, 1,222 cards have increased in value, while only 325 have declined, and 37,679 remain flat. Historical context reveals that the average market change over the last 7 days is a modest +0.3%, but the current surge indicates a robust demand shift. Notably, the total sales volume over the past 30 days reached 289,446, suggesting a healthy trading environment.
Signal 2 / Momentum leader
Top Movers
Leading the pack this week is Mewtwo from the SV Scarlet and Violet 151 set, skyrocketing to $3.92 with a staggering 143.0% increase. Following closely is Pikachu - 225 from the World Championship 2025 promo, now priced at $13.74, up 129.0%. Terapagos ex from SV07 Stellar Crown also saw significant gains, reaching $76.05, an increase of 128.7%. Other notable gainers include Entei at $28.62 (+120.3%) and Snorlax at $12.55 (+73.6%).
Signal 3 / Volume watch
Volume Watch
Unusual trading volumes are surfacing, indicating heightened interest. Oricorio ex from the ME Mega Evolution Promo experienced a remarkable 4.1x increase in volume, with 298 sales, resulting in a price rise of 7.9%. Gardevoir from the SWSH10 Astral Radiance Trainer Gallery also saw a 4.3x volume spike, leading to a 6.5% price increase. This surge in volume across multiple cards signals a potential shift in collector and investor sentiment, warranting close observation.
Signal 4 / Sector map
Sector Analysis
7-Day Performance vs Market Average
The SWSH12 Silver Tempest Trainer Gallery is outperforming the overall market with a 7-day average price change of +7.7%, significantly higher than the market average of +0.3%. This set has a composite score of 23 and has seen 2,949 sales, indicating strong collector interest. In contrast, the SWSH10 Astral Radiance set, while also performing well with a +7.1% increase, has a lower composite score of 2 and 1,141 sales, suggesting less enthusiasm compared to Silver Tempest. Additionally, the Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery set has a 7-day change of +7.2%, indicating a consistent upward trend, but it still lags behind Silver Tempest in terms of overall performance.
Signal 5 / Cooling tape
Notable Declines
Several cards are experiencing notable declines, presenting potential buying opportunities for savvy investors. Unfair Stamp from the SV06 Twilight Masquerade has dropped 25.6% to $14.83, while Team Rocket's Nidoking ex fell 31.1% to $13.14. With fair value assessments suggesting significant upside, notably for Team Rocket's Nidoking ex, which has a fair value of $19.00, these declines could represent attractive entry points.
Signal 6 / Set spotlight
Set Spotlight: SWSH12 Silver Tempest Trainer Gallery
The SWSH12 Silver Tempest Trainer Gallery continues to shine with an average 7-day price change of +7.7%. This set, comprising 30 cards, has maintained a composite score of 23, indicating moderate collector interest. The top card, Braixen, has contributed to the overall positive performance, with collectors actively trading within this set, evidenced by 2,949 sales.
Signal 7 / Grading watch
Grading Watch
| Card | Premium | RAW Price | PSA 10 Price | PSA 10 Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mega Charizard X ex | 68.9x | 7.58 | 522.40 | 4.00 |
| Mega Charizard Y ex | 54.1x | 7.04 | 380.72 | 4.00 |
| Dragonite | 36.7x | 5.53 | 202.98 | 4.00 |
| Charizard ex | 35.0x | 7.74 | 270.54 | 21.00 |
| Yamask | 27.0x | 6.67 | 179.99 | 3.00 |
| Chimchar | 27.8x | 8.99 | 250.00 | 8.00 |
PSA 10 premiums remain robust, with Mega Charizard X ex commanding a staggering 68.9x premium, now priced at $522.40 from a raw value of $7.58. Similarly, Mega Charizard Y ex shows a 54.1x premium, priced at $380.72. These trends highlight the significant ROI potential for graded cards, making them attractive investments as collector demand continues to rise.
Signal 8 / Fair value
Fair Value Buys
| Card | Signal | Upside % | Confidence | Fair Value | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nemona | STRONG_BUY | 789.40 | 85% | 57.28 | 6.44 |
| Shining Volcanion | STRONG_BUY | 772.90 | 51% | 59.62 | 6.83 |
| Darkrai EX | STRONG_BUY | 664.30 | 55% | 82.47 | 10.79 |
| Ho-Oh EX | STRONG_BUY | 588.30 | 53% | 43.02 | 6.25 |
| Arven | STRONG_BUY | 524.30 | 85% | 60.31 | 9.66 |
| Silvally GX | STRONG_BUY | 441.90 | 55% | 40.21 | 7.42 |
Several undervalued cards present strong buying signals, with Nemona currently priced at $6.44 but showing a fair value of $57.28, indicating a potential upside of 789.4%. Similarly, Shining Volcanion at $6.83 has a fair value of $59.62, offering a 772.9% upside. These cards, among others, are flagged with STRONG_BUY signals, indicating high confidence in their future appreciation.
Signal 9 / Set spotlight
Set Value Tracker
| Set | Cards | 7d Change | Avg Price | Card Sales | Total Value | Sealed Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SWSH11 Lost Origin (2022) | 377.00 | 12.30 | 3.71 | 871.00 | 1,399.43 | 39.00 |
| McDonalds Promos 2023 (2023) | 15.00 | 11.70 | 1.02 | 100.00 | 15.36 | 4.00 |
| SV07 Stellar Crown (2024) | 306.00 | 11.00 | 2.26 | 4,725 | 691.56 | 183.00 |
| SWSH12 Silver Tempest Trainer Gallery (2022) | 30.00 | 10.80 | 15.63 | 2,949 | 468.91 | 0 |
| SV05 Temporal Forces (2024) | 361.00 | 10.70 | 3.42 | 4,676 | 1,235.57 | 39.00 |
| SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery (2022) | 30.00 | 10.10 | 19.59 | 2,818 | 587.79 | 0 |
The SWSH11 Lost Origin set has shown the most significant total value increase this week, now totaling $1,399.43, reflecting a 12.3% rise. This set, with 377 cards and an average price of $3.71 per card, has seen strong trading activity with 871 card sales. In contrast, the McDonalds Promos 2023 set, while gaining 11.7% to $15.36, has a much lower average price of $1.02 per card, indicating less collector interest overall.
Signal 10 / Pack tape
Pack Value Breakdown
| Set | Packs | Price | $/Pack | Product | 30d Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 (2024) | 6.00 | 1.61 | 0.27 | Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 - Mini Booster Pack | 14.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 36.00 | 209.70 | 5.82 | Perfect Order Booster Box | 57.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.06 | 6.06 | Perfect Order Booster Pack | 25.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 6.00 | 40.79 | 6.80 | Perfect Order Booster Bundle | 44.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.92 | 6.92 | Perfect Order Sleeved Booster Pack | 15.00 |
| ME01 Mega Evolution (2025) | 1.00 | 7.10 | 7.10 | Mega Evolution Booster Pack | 26.00 |
For collectors seeking the best value, the Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 offers the most cost-effective entry at $1.61 for six packs, equating to $0.27 per pack. In comparison, the Perfect Order Booster Box (ME03 Perfect Order 2026) is priced at $209.70 for 36 packs, resulting in a higher cost of $5.82 per pack. This analysis highlights the significant variance in pack pricing, making the Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle an attractive option for budget-conscious collectors.
Signal 11 / Forward read
Looking Ahead
As the market shows strong bullish sentiment, attention should be focused on the top-performing sets like SWSH12 Silver Tempest Trainer Gallery and the increasing volume of cards like Mewtwo. Investors should monitor the arbitrage opportunities, particularly in the eBay to TCGPlayer direction, as these could yield substantial profits. Furthermore, the fair value buys present compelling investment opportunities, especially for cards like Nemona and Shining Volcanion, which are significantly undervalued.