Wiglett Surges 146.6% as Market Sentiment Remains Bullish
A strong week for Pokémon cards with 80% of tracked cards seeing gains.
Tracked
38,970
Up
1,242
Down
313
Top move
+146.6%
Today in one read
The Pokémon card market is experiencing a bullish sentiment, with 1,242 cards (80%) gaining value, while only 313 cards declined. The total number of tracked cards stands at 38,970, reflecting a robust trading environment. Historical context shows the marke...
Signal 1 / Signal read
Market Overview
The Pokémon card market is experiencing a bullish sentiment, with 1,242 cards (80%) gaining value, while only 313 cards declined. The total number of tracked cards stands at 38,970, reflecting a robust trading environment. Historical context shows the market averaged a 7-day change of +0.4% and a 30-day change of +0.6%, indicating steady growth. The current momentum suggests a continued upward trajectory, particularly for high-demand cards.
Signal 2 / Momentum leader
Top Movers
Leading the charge this week is Wiglett from the SV01 Scarlet and Violet Base Set, which skyrocketed to $30.33, marking a staggering increase of 146.6%. Mewtwo from SV Scarlet and Violet 151 also saw impressive gains, now priced at $3.61, up 143.0%. Entei from SV Paldean Fates rose to $29.17, reflecting a 137.2% increase. Terapagos ex from SV07 Stellar Crown reached $79.53, up 130.0%, while Pikachu - 225 from the World Championship 2025 promo surged to $11.92, a 115.6% rise.
Signal 3 / Volume watch
Volume Watch
Notable volume spikes indicate heightened demand for several cards. Pikachu ex from SV Prismatic Evolutions experienced a 4.2x increase in volume, signaling strong collector interest despite a stable price. Similarly, Oricorio ex from ME Mega Evolution Promo saw a 3.5x volume increase with a price rise of 14.6%. These spikes suggest that collectors are actively seeking these cards, potentially leading to further price increases.
Signal 4 / Sector map
Sector Analysis
7-Day Performance vs Market Average
Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery (2023) is outperforming the market average with a 7-day price change of +9%, surpassing the market by 8.5%. This set has a composite score of 33 and has recorded 11,279 sales, indicating strong collector engagement. In contrast, SWSH10 Astral Radiance (2022) has seen a 7-day increase of +7.2%, outperforming the market by 6.8%, with a total of 349 cards tracked. However, its low composite score of 2 suggests limited high-demand cards within the set. SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery (2022) also performed well, with a 7-day change of +6.9%, indicating a healthy sector overall but still trailing behind the top performers.
Signal 5 / Cooling tape
Notable Declines
The market also saw some notable declines, presenting potential buy opportunities. Mega Froslass ex from ME Ascended Heroes dropped to $5.76, down 36.5%, while Team Rocket's Nidoking ex fell to $13.64, a decrease of 30.8%. These cards may be undervalued compared to their fair value, suggesting that investors could capitalize on these dips for future gains.
Signal 6 / Set spotlight
Set Spotlight: SWSH10 Astral Radiance
The SWSH10 Astral Radiance set has shown an average 7-day price change of +7.2% and a total value of $461.89. With a composite score of 2, it has 349 cards tracked but lacks high momentum cards. The top card, Roxanne (Secret), remains a focal point for collectors, though overall interest appears limited compared to more dynamic sets.
Signal 7 / Grading watch
Grading Watch
| Card | Premium | RAW Price | PSA 10 Price | PSA 10 Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mega Charizard X ex | 69.7x | 7.49 | 522.40 | 4.00 |
| Mega Charizard Y ex | 54.5x | 6.99 | 380.72 | 4.00 |
| Dragonite | 37.7x | 5.31 | 200.00 | 3.00 |
| Charizard ex | 35.2x | 7.70 | 270.54 | 21.00 |
| Chimchar | 27.8x | 8.99 | 250.00 | 8.00 |
| Turtwig | 27.7x | 9.25 | 255.83 | 6.00 |
PSA 10 premiums are notably high for several cards, indicating strong grading ROI. For instance, Mega Charizard X ex has a raw price of $7.49, but its PSA 10 value skyrockets to $522.40, yielding a 69.7x premium. Similarly, Mega Charizard Y ex, priced at $6.99 raw, commands $380.72 in PSA 10, reflecting a 54.5x premium. These trends highlight the lucrative potential of investing in high-grade cards.
Signal 8 / Fair value
Fair Value Buys
| Card | Signal | Upside % | Confidence | Fair Value | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nemona | STRONG_BUY | 836.90 | 85% | 56.68 | 6.05 |
| Shining Volcanion | STRONG_BUY | 791.00 | 51% | 59.52 | 6.68 |
| Darkrai EX | STRONG_BUY | 661.60 | 55% | 82.48 | 10.83 |
| Ho-Oh EX | STRONG_BUY | 590.00 | 53% | 42.99 | 6.23 |
| Arven | STRONG_BUY | 518.10 | 85% | 59.65 | 9.65 |
| Flaaffy (Secret) | STRONG_BUY | 480.20 | 51% | 33.94 | 5.85 |
Several undervalued cards present strong buy signals. Nemona, currently priced at $6.05, has a fair value of $56.68, indicating an upside of +836.9%. Shining Volcanion at $6.68 shows a fair value of $59.52 (+791.0% upside). Darkrai EX, priced at $10.83, has a fair value of $82.48 (+661.6% upside), signaling excellent investment potential.
Signal 9 / Set spotlight
Set Value Tracker
| Set | Cards | 7d Change | Avg Price | Card Sales | Total Value | Sealed Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV07 Stellar Crown (2024) | 305.00 | 13.80 | 2.28 | 4,660 | 694.55 | 188.00 |
| SV05 Temporal Forces (2024) | 360.00 | 13.50 | 3.36 | 4,680 | 1,207.96 | 44.00 |
| SWSH12 Silver Tempest Trainer Gallery (2022) | 30.00 | 13.50 | 15.40 | 2,877 | 461.89 | 0 |
| SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery (2022) | 30.00 | 12.10 | 19.38 | 2,668 | 581.26 | 0 |
| SWSH09 Brilliant Stars Trainer Gallery (2022) | 30.00 | 11.10 | 22.33 | 2,966 | 670.04 | 0 |
| SV Paldean Fates (2024) | 333.00 | 10.40 | 8.06 | 5,886 | 2,682.93 | 48.00 |
The SV07 Stellar Crown set gained a total value of $694.55, reflecting a 13.8% increase over the past week, with an average card price of $2.28. Conversely, the SWSH12 Silver Tempest Trainer Gallery saw a total value of $461.89, with a more modest increase of 13.5%. The demand for sealed products remains strong, particularly for sets like SV Paldean Fates, which recorded 5,886 card sales, indicating a healthy trading environment.
Signal 10 / Pack tape
Pack Value Breakdown
| Set | Packs | Price | $/Pack | Product | 30d Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 (2024) | 6.00 | 1.61 | 0.27 | Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 - Mini Booster Pack | 13.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 36.00 | 210.44 | 5.85 | Perfect Order Booster Box | 90.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.05 | 6.05 | Perfect Order Booster Pack | 32.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 6.00 | 40.06 | 6.68 | Perfect Order Booster Bundle | 43.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 7.17 | 7.17 | Perfect Order Sleeved Booster Pack | 14.00 |
| ME01 Mega Evolution (2025) | 1.00 | 7.38 | 7.38 | Mega Evolution Booster Pack | 41.00 |
The Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 offers the best value at $1.61 for 6 packs, translating to $0.27 per pack. In contrast, the Perfect Order Booster Box (ME03 Perfect Order 2026) is priced at $210.44 for 36 packs, equating to $5.85 per pack. This analysis highlights the significant savings available for collectors seeking to maximize their investment through sealed products.
Signal 11 / Forward read
Looking Ahead
As the market maintains its bullish sentiment, collectors should monitor high-performing sets like Crown Zenith and SWSH10 Astral Radiance for further investment opportunities. The notable price increases in cards like Wiglett and Mewtwo suggest a growing interest in newer sets. Investors should also keep an eye on the arbitrage opportunities, particularly for Charizard variants, which remain highly sought after. Overall, the market indicates a promising outlook for both collectors and investors.