Mewtwo Soars 143% as Market Sentiment Hits 79% Gains
A bullish day in the Pokémon card market with 79% of tracked cards rising.
Tracked
38,859
Up
1,241
Down
324
Top move
+143.0%
Today in one read
Today, the Pokémon card market showcases a bullish sentiment, with 1,241 cards (79%) registering gains, while 324 cards declined and 37,294 remained flat. This positive trend reflects a significant increase in activity, with a total of 38,859 cards tracked....
Signal 1 / Signal read
Market Overview
Today, the Pokémon card market showcases a bullish sentiment, with 1,241 cards (79%) registering gains, while 324 cards declined and 37,294 remained flat. This positive trend reflects a significant increase in activity, with a total of 38,859 cards tracked. Historical context reveals that over the past week, the market averaged a 7-day change of +0.4%, with 76,224 total sales. Notably, the average composite score across the market remains low at 1/100, indicating that while many cards are rising, the overall quality and desirability may still be lacking.
Signal 2 / Momentum leader
Top Movers
Leading the gainers this week is Mewtwo from the SV Scarlet and Violet 151 set, which surged to $3.61, marking an impressive 143.0% increase. Entei from SV Paldean Fates closely follows at $28.84, up 134.3%. Wiglett from SV01 Scarlet and Violet Base Set also saw a significant rise, reaching $29.32, a 133.8% increase. Terapagos ex from SV07 Stellar Crown is now priced at $78.80, up 126.1%, while Hero's Cape from SV05 Temporal Forces gained 113.6%, now at $27.58.
Signal 3 / Volume watch
Volume Watch
Unusual volume spikes indicate heightened demand for several cards. Notably, N's Reshiram from SV09 Journey Together saw a 4.3x increase in volume, with 13 sales compared to an average of 3, and a price increase of 12.3%. Similarly, Pikachu ex from SV08 Surging Sparks also experienced a 4.3x volume spike with 37 sales, although its price remained stable. These volume increases suggest strong collector interest and potential future price movements.
Signal 4 / Sector map
Sector Analysis
7-Day Performance vs Market Average
The Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery (2023) set outperformed the market with a 7-day change of +9.5%, significantly exceeding the market average of +0.4%. This set boasts a composite score of 33 and 30 cards tracked, with a total of 11,306 sales. The top gainer within this set, Magnezone, increased by 45.1%, demonstrating the set's overall strength. In contrast, the SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery (2022) also performed well, with a 7-day change of +7.6%, outperforming the market by 7.2%. This set has a composite score of 24 and 30 cards tracked, with 2,668 sales. However, the SWSH12 Silver Tempest Trainer Gallery (2022) lagged slightly behind at +7.5%, indicating a healthy but less aggressive growth compared to its peers. Overall, both Crown Zenith and Lost Origin are strong sectors to watch as they continue to gain traction.
Signal 5 / Cooling tape
Notable Declines
Among the notable declines, Rosa's Encouragement from ME03 Perfect Order dropped 32.2% to $8.40, presenting a potential buy opportunity given its composite score of 16. Similarly, Team Rocket's Crobat ex fell 27.7% to $15.04, while Mega Froslass ex decreased by 33.7% to $6.13. These cards may be undervalued in the current market, especially considering the potential for rebounds in future trading.
Signal 6 / Set spotlight
Set Spotlight: SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery (2022)
The SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery has shown a robust average 7-day price change of +7.6%, outperforming the overall market. With a total of 30 cards tracked and an average composite score of 24, the set's top card, Hisuian Arcanine, is gaining traction among collectors. This set's consistent performance indicates a solid investment opportunity as it continues to attract buyer interest.
Signal 7 / Grading watch
Grading Watch
| Card | Premium | RAW Price | PSA 10 Price | PSA 10 Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mega Charizard X ex | 71.4x | 7.32 | 522.40 | 4.00 |
| Mega Charizard Y ex | 55.1x | 6.91 | 380.72 | 4.00 |
| Dragonite | 38.1x | 5.25 | 200.00 | 3.00 |
| Charizard ex | 36.1x | 7.50 | 270.54 | 21.00 |
| Gengar | 32.3x | 7.25 | 234.50 | 6.00 |
| Duskull | 25.4x | 5.08 | 128.98 | 3.00 |
The PSA 10 premium trends reveal significant returns for graded cards. For instance, Mega Charizard X ex commands a staggering 71.4x premium, with raw prices at $7.32 and PSA 10 values reaching $522.40. Similarly, Mega Charizard Y ex offers a 55.1x premium, priced at $6.91 raw and $380.72 in PSA 10. These substantial premiums highlight the value of investing in high-grade cards, particularly those from iconic sets.
Signal 8 / Fair value
Fair Value Buys
| Card | Signal | Upside % | Confidence | Fair Value | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nemona | STRONG_BUY | 822.80 | 85% | 56.66 | 6.14 |
| Shining Volcanion | STRONG_BUY | 790.90 | 51% | 59.51 | 6.68 |
| Darkrai EX | STRONG_BUY | 661.60 | 55% | 82.48 | 10.83 |
| Ho-Oh EX | STRONG_BUY | 589.40 | 53% | 42.95 | 6.23 |
| Arven | STRONG_BUY | 504.40 | 85% | 59.65 | 9.87 |
| Flaaffy (Secret) | STRONG_BUY | 480.00 | 51% | 33.87 | 5.84 |
Several undervalued cards present strong buying opportunities. Notably, Nemona is currently priced at $6.14, with a fair value of $56.66, indicating an impressive 822.8% upside. Shining Volcanion also stands out at $6.68, with a fair value of $59.51, representing a 790.9% potential increase. These cards, among others, are rated with STRONG_BUY signals, suggesting a compelling entry point for investors.
Signal 9 / Set spotlight
Set Value Tracker
| Set | Cards | 7d Change | Avg Price | Card Sales | Total Value | Sealed Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SWSH12 Silver Tempest Trainer Gallery (2022) | 30.00 | 14.70 | 15.37 | 2,858 | 461.25 | 0 |
| SV05 Temporal Forces (2024) | 360.00 | 13.10 | 3.33 | 4,696 | 1,197.17 | 51.00 |
| SV07 Stellar Crown (2024) | 305.00 | 12.80 | 2.25 | 4,647 | 686.79 | 193.00 |
| SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery (2022) | 30.00 | 12.80 | 19.19 | 2,668 | 575.76 | 0 |
| SWSH09 Brilliant Stars Trainer Gallery (2022) | 30.00 | 11.30 | 22.27 | 2,956 | 668.04 | 0 |
| SV Paldean Fates (2024) | 333.00 | 11.20 | 8.04 | 5,913 | 2,676.65 | 55.00 |
This week, the SWSH12 Silver Tempest Trainer Gallery gained the most total value, with a total value of $461.25, reflecting a 14.7% increase over 7 days. In contrast, the SV05 Temporal Forces set saw a total value of $1,197.17, up 13.1% this week. Both sets demonstrate strong demand, particularly in sealed product sales, with Silver Tempest showing a higher average card price of $15.37 compared to Temporal Forces' $3.33.
Signal 10 / Pack tape
Pack Value Breakdown
| Set | Packs | Price | $/Pack | Product | 30d Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 (2024) | 6.00 | 1.62 | 0.27 | Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 - Mini Booster Pack | 13.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 36.00 | 213.25 | 5.92 | Perfect Order Booster Box | 104.00 |
| SV09 Journey Together (2025) | 1.00 | 6.07 | 6.07 | Journey Together Booster Pack | 13.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 6.21 | 6.21 | Perfect Order Booster Pack | 41.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 6.00 | 40.33 | 6.72 | Perfect Order Booster Bundle | 42.00 |
| ME01 Mega Evolution (2025) | 1.00 | 7.21 | 7.21 | Mega Evolution Booster Pack | 45.00 |
The Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 offers the best value at $1.62 for 6 packs, translating to just $0.27 per pack. In contrast, the Perfect Order Booster Box (ME03 Perfect Order 2026) is priced at $213.25 for 36 packs, equating to $5.92 per pack. These comparisons highlight the varying entry points for collectors looking to maximize their investment in sealed products.
Signal 11 / Forward read
Looking Ahead
As the market continues to show bullish sentiment, sectors like Crown Zenith and Lost Origin are primed for further growth. Investors should monitor volume spikes and price movements closely, particularly for cards with strong momentum. The arbitrage opportunities also present a compelling avenue for profit, especially for high-demand cards like Charizard. Overall, the market's upward trajectory suggests a favorable environment for both collectors and investors alike.