Market Surges 77% Bull; Blaziken ex Rockets 275% in Epic Rally
Bullish sentiment dominates as 1,170 cards climb while arbitrage opportunities hit $86,282 profit pool
Tracked
37,524
Up
1,170
Down
341
Top move
+275.2%
Today in one read
Pokemon cards are experiencing a powerful bullish surge with 77% of tracked cards posting gains across 37,524 monitored positions. The market delivered a modest but positive 0.3% average gain over 7 days, with 30-day momentum at 0.5%, while total trading vo...
Signal 1 / Signal read
Market Overview
Pokemon cards are experiencing a powerful bullish surge with 77% of tracked cards posting gains across 37,524 monitored positions. The market delivered a modest but positive 0.3% average gain over 7 days, with 30-day momentum at 0.5%, while total trading volume reached 29,235 transactions in the past week against 240,005 over 30 days. Only 341 cards declined while an overwhelming 36,013 remained flat, creating an exceptionally stable foundation beneath the rally. The average composite score sits at just 1 out of 100, indicating significant room for technical improvement, while 15 cards are flashing high momentum signals above 70, suggesting concentrated strength in select positions rather than broad-based speculation.
Signal 2 / Momentum leader
Top Movers
Blaziken ex from Journey Together leads the charge with an explosive 275.2% gain to $5.59, though zero volume over 30 days suggests limited liquidity for profit-taking. Mimikyu from Paldean Fates delivered a massive 154.3% surge to $61.75 with solid 65-unit volume, while its PSA 10 commands $150.00. Mewtwo from Scarlet and Violet 151 jumped 143.0% to $3.64 on heavy 291-unit volume, with PSA 10s at $114.98. Jigglypuff from Paldean Fates climbed 93.3% to $19.39, and Charizard V from Crown Zenith gained 73.2% to $10.13 with healthy 196-unit volume supporting the move.
Signal 3 / Volume watch
Volume Watch
Pikachu ex from Surging Sparks is generating intense interest with 4.3x normal volume despite flat pricing, suggesting accumulation ahead of a potential breakout. Ho-Oh GX Full Art from Burning Shadows spiked to 3.9x normal volume with prices holding steady, while Charizard Base Set Shadowless jumped to 3.5x normal activity. Raticate from Perfect Order surged 3.9x normal volume with a 20.5% price gain, indicating genuine demand behind the move. The volume without immediate price action across multiple cards suggests institutional or large collector accumulation, potentially setting up for coordinated moves ahead.
Signal 4 / Sector map
Sector Analysis
7-Day Performance vs Market Average
Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery is dominating sector performance with a 9% average 7-day gain, outperforming the 0.3% market average by 8.7 percentage points. The 2023 set posted 30-day gains of 17.9% across 70 cards with a strong composite score of 29 and robust 8,161 sales volume. Darkrai VSTAR led with a 41.7% surge while only Melony declined 6.4%. SWSH09 Brilliant Stars Trainer Gallery delivered the second-best performance at 6.9%, beating the market by 6.6 points with 30-day gains of 11.2% across 30 cards and 2,111 sales. Rapid Strike Urshifu V jumped 29.0% while Gloria posted the only decline at 1.7%. SWSH12 Silver Tempest Trainer Gallery rounded out the top three with 5% gains, outperforming by 4.7 points with 6% monthly returns across 30 cards despite lower volume at 1,196 sales, led by Rayquaza VMAX's 35.1% surge. The pattern shows vintage Trainer Gallery sets significantly outperforming newer releases, with Crown Zenith's premium composite score of 29 versus Silver Tempest's 16 highlighting quality differentiation. SV Paldean Fates managed 3.2% gains but trails with a weak composite score of 5 across 333 cards, suggesting broad-based mediocrity despite Mimikyu's 154.3% standout performance offsetting Gardevoir ex's 15.4% decline.
Signal 5 / Cooling tape
Notable Declines
Yanmega ex from Prize Pack Series Cards declined 41.6% to $5.06 but presents a compelling contrarian play given its 42-unit monthly volume. N's PP Up from Ascended Heroes dropped 37.7% to $3.95 with strong 147-unit volume, creating potential value at current levels. Meowth ex from Perfect Order fell 32.8% to $6.71 despite massive 999-unit volume, suggesting institutional selling that may have created an oversold condition. Fair value analysis supports this contrarian thesis, with Shining Volcanion showing 718.6% upside potential from $6.61 to fair value of $54.11, while Nemona offers 643.9% upside from $6.43 to $47.83 with 85% confidence.
Signal 6 / Set spotlight
Set Spotlight: SWSH09 Brilliant Stars Trainer Gallery
SWSH09 Brilliant Stars Trainer Gallery continues its impressive run with a 6.9% average 7-day gain across 30 tracked cards, delivering 11.2% monthly returns with an average composite score of 21. The 2022 set generated 2,111 sales over 30 days with Jolteon leading as the top-valued card despite no cards showing high momentum signals above 70. Rapid Strike Urshifu V drove sector performance with a 29.0% surge while Gloria posted the set's only decline at 1.7%. The set's consistent outperformance versus the 0.3% market average by 6.6 percentage points reflects sustained collector demand for Trainer Gallery premium artwork and relatively constrained supply from the 2022 release window.
Signal 7 / Grading watch
Grading Watch
| Card | Premium | RAW Price | PSA 10 Price | PSA 10 Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Secret Box | 381.7x | 8.52 | 3,250 | 7.00 |
| Charizard ex | 36.7x | 6.00 | 220.00 | 7.00 |
| Kingdra | 27.9x | 8.79 | 245.00 | 4.00 |
| Sandile | 27.4x | 5.29 | 145.00 | 3.00 |
| Charizard ex | 25.3x | 6.31 | 159.74 | 13.00 |
| Larvitar | 25.1x | 5.97 | 149.99 | 5.00 |
Secret Box offers the most extreme PSA 10 premium at 381.7x, jumping from $8.52 raw to $3,250.00 graded with 7 PSA 10 sales providing liquidity. Charizard ex from multiple sets shows consistent 25-36x premiums, with one jumping from $6.00 raw to $220.00 PSA 10 on 7 sales, while another moves from $6.31 to $159.74 on 13 sales. Kingdra delivers a 27.9x premium from $8.79 to $245.00 on 4 sales, and Sandile offers 27.4x upside from $5.29 to $145.00. Pikachu ex Pikachu 60 shows strong grading economics at 24.3x, moving from $15.00 raw to $365.00 PSA 10 with solid 11-unit sales volume supporting the premium.
Signal 8 / Fair value
Fair Value Buys
| Card | Signal | Upside % | Confidence | Fair Value | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shining Volcanion | STRONG_BUY | 718.60 | 51% | 54.11 | 6.61 |
| Nemona | STRONG_BUY | 643.90 | 85% | 47.83 | 6.43 |
| Darkrai EX | STRONG_BUY | 628.10 | 55% | 78.20 | 10.74 |
| Ho-Oh EX | STRONG_BUY | 616.70 | 53% | 42.86 | 5.98 |
| Tyranitar EX | STRONG_BUY | 554.90 | 59% | 41.98 | 6.41 |
| Silvally GX | STRONG_BUY | 514.70 | 55% | 38.97 | 6.34 |
Fair value analysis reveals massive disconnects in current pricing, led by Shining Volcanion at $6.61 versus fair value of $54.11, representing 718.6% upside with a STRONG_BUY signal. Nemona trades at $6.43 against $47.83 fair value for 643.9% upside with 85% confidence, while Darkrai EX offers 628.1% upside from $10.74 to $78.20 with 55% confidence. Ho-Oh EX presents 616.7% potential from $5.98 to $42.86, and Tyranitar EX shows 554.9% upside from $6.41 to $41.98 with 59% confidence. Arven demonstrates 504.8% upside potential from $9.19 to $55.58 with high 85% confidence, suggesting fundamental mispricing in trainer cards.
Signal 9 / Set spotlight
Set Value Tracker
| Set | Cards | 7d Change | Avg Price | Card Sales | Total Value | Sealed Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ME Ascended Heroes (2026) | 758.00 | 18.50 | 10.10 | 18,037 | 7,657.49 | 3,655 |
| SWSH12 Silver Tempest Trainer Gallery (2022) | 30.00 | 14.70 | 13.55 | 1,196 | 406.40 | 0 |
| SV Paldean Fates (2024) | 333.00 | 13.80 | 7.28 | 3,440 | 2,423.41 | 223.00 |
| Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery (2023) | 70.00 | 12.00 | 29.79 | 8,161 | 2,085.51 | 0 |
| SWSH09 Brilliant Stars Trainer Gallery (2022) | 30.00 | 10.40 | 20.07 | 2,111 | 602.22 | 0 |
| SV02 Paldea Evolved (2023) | 457.00 | 10.10 | 3.92 | 3,797 | 1,789.49 | 323.00 |
ME Ascended Heroes commands the highest total set value at $7,657.49 with an impressive 18.5% weekly gain across 758 cards, averaging $10.10 per card with massive 18,037 card sales and 3,655 sealed sales showing balanced demand. SWSH12 Silver Tempest Trainer Gallery posted the strongest percentage gain at 14.7% to $406.40 total value across 30 cards averaging $13.55 each, though with lower 1,196 sales and zero sealed volume indicating pure singles demand. SV Paldean Fates gained 13.8% to $2,423.41 across 333 cards averaging $7.28 each with 3,440 card sales and 223 sealed sales. Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery increased 12% to $2,085.51 with the highest per-card average at $29.79 across 70 cards and strong 8,161 sales volume but no sealed activity. The data reveals ME Ascended Heroes as the most balanced ecosystem with strong sealed and singles demand, while Trainer Gallery sets show pure collector premium without sealed product support, creating potential supply constraints as boxes get opened over time.
Signal 10 / Pack tape
Pack Value Breakdown
| Set | Packs | Price | $/Pack | Product | 30d Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 36.00 | 203.40 | 5.65 | Perfect Order Booster Box | 549.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 1.00 | 5.83 | 5.83 | Perfect Order Booster Pack | 65.00 |
| ME03 Perfect Order (2026) | 6.00 | 37.39 | 6.23 | Perfect Order Booster Bundle | 252.00 |
| SV08 Surging Sparks (2024) | 1.00 | 6.28 | 6.28 | Surging Sparks Booster Pack | 58.00 |
| ME01 Mega Evolution (2025) | 1.00 | 6.58 | 6.58 | Mega Evolution Booster Pack | 98.00 |
| SV08 Surging Sparks (2024) | 36.00 | 248.74 | 6.91 | Surging Sparks Booster Box | 225.00 |
Perfect Order Booster Box from ME03 Perfect Order offers the best pack value at $5.65 per pack through the 36-pack box format with 549 sales over 30 days, compared to $5.83 for individual Perfect Order packs with 65 sales. The Perfect Order Booster Bundle delivers $6.23 per pack across 6 packs with 252 sales, while Surging Sparks individual packs cost $6.28 with 58 sales. Mega Evolution Booster Packs hit $6.58 per pack with 98 sales, and Surging Sparks Booster Box reaches $6.91 per pack despite the 36-pack format. Scarlet & Violet Base Set Booster Box costs $7.00 per pack with strong 472 sales volume, while Perfect Order Elite Trainer Box delivers the worst value at $7.79 per pack across 9 packs despite leading sales at 1,290 units, indicating collectors prioritize the ETB experience over pure pack economics.
Signal 11 / Forward read
Looking Ahead
The 77% bullish reading with 1,170 cards advancing creates a foundation for sustained momentum, particularly in Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery and Brilliant Stars Trainer Gallery where vintage premium positioning continues driving outperformance. Watch for Pikachu ex from Surging Sparks to break higher given the 4.3x volume surge without price movement, while the $86,282 arbitrage pool suggests continued pricing inefficiencies favoring eBay sourcing into TCGPlayer sales. The concentration of fair value opportunities above 500% upside in cards like Shining Volcanion and Nemona indicates fundamental repricing ahead, while grading premiums above 25x in Charizard variants support continued PSA submission activity. Monitor ME Ascended Heroes for sustained growth given its balanced card and sealed demand, and consider accumulating undervalued trainers where confidence levels exceed 80% in fair value analysis.